Today's Economy A Note of Caution on Good Vibrations U.S. confidence measures can send false signals about changes in the economy. New Data Point to Strong Q4 for China Our high-frequency model indicates that the economy will grow 7.5% in the final quarter of 2016. Japan’s New GDP Methodology Points to a Bigger Economy A raft of changes to Japan’s GDP calculations could improve the national accounts in coming years. Economic Briefing: China’s Economy Enters a Cyclical Upswing The U.S. dollar saw solid gains against most currencies on Tuesday. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary U.S. Chartbook: No Curveballs Ahead of Fed Decision Day Incoming data were mixed but unlikely to make the Fed rethink a December move. Latin America Outlook 2017: Mild Recovery The region needs to restore production capacity. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, December 9, 2016 'Tis the season for a Fed rate hike. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 9 December, 2016 Coming data will likely confirm the accelerating pace of inflation. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United Kingdom Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 2017Q1: 13% The Manpower survey indicates that global employment conditions will be fairly steady in the first quarter of 2017. United States Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 2017Q1: 13% The Manpower survey indicates that global employment conditions will be fairly steady in the first quarter of 2017. Germany Consumer Price Index Nov. 2016: 0.7% Germany's annual national measure of CPI rose 0.7% in November, seasonally adjusted, marginally less than the two-year high inflation of 0.8% recorded in October. Spain Consumer Price Index Nov. 2016: 0.7% Spain’s headline inflation held steady in November at 0.7% y/y, following a significant acceleration in the previous month. Italy Industrial Production Oct. 2016: 0% Italy’s industrial production remained unchanged in October from September, when it dropped by 0.8%. United Kingdom Consumer Price Index Nov. 2016: 1.2% The U.K. United Kingdom Producer Price Index Nov. 2016: 2.3% The U.K.'s output producer price index rose 2.3% y/y in November, up from a 2.1% gain in the previous month. Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Dec. 2016: 13.8 Investor confidence in Germany remained unchanged at 13.8 in for the second consecutive month in December. United States NFIB Small Business Survey Nov. 2016: 98.4 Confidence has improved since the election, and if it sticks, it would lend some modest upside risk to growth in early 2017. India Consumer Price Index Nov. 2016: 3.6% Prices in India have decelerated sharply towards the year's end thanks to low food prices and ebbing domestic demand. Brazil Retail Sales Index Oct. 2016: -8.2% Brazil is in recession, and household consumption is contracting as employment remains weak. United States Import and Export Prices Nov. 2016: -0.3% U.S. import prices remain a modest weight on domestic inflation. United States Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index December 09: 69.7 The trend in U.S. economic policy uncertainty has improved, but it may not stick. Chile Monetary Policy Dec. 2016: 3.50% The Central Bank of Chile extended the monetary pause in December, with the policy rate staying expansionary. South Korea Employment Nov. 2016: Japan Tankan Survey 2016Q4: Peru Monetary Policy Dec. 2016: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |