Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Today's Economy


A Note of Caution on Good Vibrations

U.S. confidence measures can send false signals about changes in the economy.

New Data Point to Strong Q4 for China

Our high-frequency model indicates that the economy will grow 7.5% in the final quarter of 2016.

Japan’s New GDP Methodology Points to a Bigger Economy

A raft of changes to Japan’s GDP calculations could improve the national accounts in coming years.

Economic Briefing: China’s Economy Enters a Cyclical Upswing

The U.S. dollar saw solid gains against most currencies on Tuesday.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: No Curveballs Ahead of Fed Decision Day

Incoming data were mixed but unlikely to make the Fed rethink a December move.

Latin America Outlook 2017: Mild Recovery

The region needs to restore production capacity.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, December 9, 2016

'Tis the season for a Fed rate hike.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 9 December, 2016

Coming data will likely confirm the accelerating pace of inflation.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United Kingdom
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
2017Q1: 13%
The Manpower survey indicates that global employment conditions will be fairly steady in the first quarter of 2017.

United States
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
2017Q1: 13%
The Manpower survey indicates that global employment conditions will be fairly steady in the first quarter of 2017.

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2016: 0.7%
Germany's annual national measure of CPI rose 0.7% in November, seasonally adjusted, marginally less than the two-year high inflation of 0.8% recorded in October.

Spain
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2016: 0.7%
Spain’s headline inflation held steady in November at 0.7% y/y, following a significant acceleration in the previous month.

Italy
Industrial Production
Oct. 2016: 0%
Italy’s industrial production remained unchanged in October from September, when it dropped by 0.8%.

United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2016: 1.2%
The U.K.

United Kingdom
Producer Price Index
Nov. 2016: 2.3%
The U.K.'s output producer price index rose 2.3% y/y in November, up from a 2.1% gain in the previous month.

Germany
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment
Dec. 2016: 13.8
Investor confidence in Germany remained unchanged at 13.8 in for the second consecutive month in December.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Nov. 2016: 98.4
Confidence has improved since the election, and if it sticks, it would lend some modest upside risk to growth in early 2017.

India
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2016: 3.6%
Prices in India have decelerated sharply towards the year's end thanks to low food prices and ebbing domestic demand.

Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Oct. 2016: -8.2%
Brazil is in recession, and household consumption is contracting as employment remains weak.

United States
Import and Export Prices
Nov. 2016: -0.3%
U.S. import prices remain a modest weight on domestic inflation.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
December 09: 69.7
The trend in U.S. economic policy uncertainty has improved, but it may not stick.

Chile
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2016: 3.50%
The Central Bank of Chile extended the monetary pause in December, with the policy rate staying expansionary.

South Korea
Employment
Nov. 2016:

Japan
Tankan Survey
2016Q4:

Peru
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2016:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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