Muted Market Response to NFP, Euro Holds Strong While Loonie Struggles
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-7-25 |
Muted Market Response to NFP, Euro Holds Strong While Loonie Struggles |
The much-anticipated U.S. non-farm payrolls report came and went without much impact to the markets. With job growth largely in line with forecasts, the data signaled a stable labor market and the balanced outcome offers little guidance to Fed policymakers, who will continue weighing inflation trends, fiscal uncertainties, and global trade risks before committing to any policy shift. Investors, for their part, appear content to sit on the sidelines until more definitive signals emerge, resulting in subdued market reactions. In contrast, Canadian dollar faltered after domestic employment data revealed a near standstill in job growth. Despite a short-lived uplift from fresh tariff exemptions, Loonie found itself on the back foot again, as stagnant employment reignited concerns over economic momentum. Whether the currency will face further downward pressure in the final trading hours of the week may depend heavily on broader risk sentiment, which has already pushed Australian and New Zealand Dollars lower. Meanwhile, European majors are holding their ground, with Euro on track to end the week as the best performer. Sterling and Swiss Franc also remain well-supported, benefiting from the rally tied to Europe’s sweeping fiscal and defence initiatives.... |
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0749; (P) 1.0801; (R1) 1.0837; More... EUR/USD's rally from 1.0176 resumed after brief retreat, and intraday bias is back on the upside for 161.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.0531 from 1.0358 at 1.0932 next. On the downside, below 1.0764 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained above 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0613) to bring another rally. | |
GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
---|
03:02 | CNY | Trade Balance (USD) Feb | 170.5B | 147.5B | 104.8B | 07:00 | EUR | Germany Factory Orders M/M Jan | -7.00% | -2.40% | 6.90% | 5.90% | 07:45 | EUR | France Trade Balance (EUR) Jan | -6.5B | -4.1B | -3.9B | -3.5B | 08:00 | CHF | Foreign Currency Reserves (CHF) Feb | 735B | 736B | 10:00 | EUR | Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q4 | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 13:30 | CAD | Net Change in Employment Feb | 1.1K | 17.8K | 76K | 13:30 | CAD | Unemployment Rate Feb | 6.60% | 6.70% | 6.60% | 13:30 | CAD | Capacity Utilization Q4 | 79.80% | 79.00% | 79.30% | 79.40% | 13:30 | USD | Nonfarm Payrolls Feb | 151K | 156K | 143K | 125K | 13:30 | USD | Unemployment Rate Feb | 4.10% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 13:30 | USD | Average Hourly Earnings M/M Feb | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.50% | 0.40% |
|
|
|