|
|
Don Kaufman here, |
With the bond markets closed for Veterans Day and tech left to its own devices, we're seeing some fascinating disconnects that deserve our attention. |
Today's session gave us a perfect case study in market psychology - from Tesla's trillion-dollar dance to what I'm calling the "Trump trade hangover" in financial stocks. |
Let's break down what matters and where the real opportunities lie. |
🎯 The Tesla Reality Check |
Tesla hitting that $1.1 trillion market cap is significant - we haven't seen these levels since 2022. |
But here's what's bothering me: we're seeing these massive moves without the broader market confirmation you'd typically want to see. |
|
|
|
This isn't about chasing Tesla… it's about understanding what this type of move means for market structure. |
And from what we’re seeing, Tesla’s momentum is likely to fade. However, I would like for some confirmation from the options market where put activity outweighs call buying. |
🏦 The Financial Sector Head-Scratcher |
Let me be straight with you - the financial sector strength we're seeing makes absolutely no sense. |
As I mentioned, thinking that "getting rid of Gary over at the SEC" is going to save everything is missing the bigger picture. |
When you see moves that don't align with fundamentals, that's usually your first warning sign. With CPI coming up, financials are in for a wild ride - this Trump trade is looking more like a bad hangover that needs to wear off. |
💡 What's Really Important Here: |
Market leadership is narrow - when you're seeing Tesla dominate while other tech giants like Apple and Meta are soft, that tells you something |
The advanced decline line being only nominally positive despite big headline moves should make you think twice |
We're getting moves that don't match fundamental narratives - especially in financials. |
Watch NVDA carefully - we saw heavy bearish options flow early today that could be telling. |
🎮 What This Means For Traders: |
The market's giving us mixed signals. |
You've got: |
Mega-cap tech showing divergence Financial strength that lacks fundamental backing A market that's moving on light volume |
Remember, sometimes the best position is no position. |
When you're seeing disconnects like these, it might be time to step back and wait for better setups. |
Keep your eyes on these disconnects - they often precede bigger moves. And as always, manage your risk first. |
🎯 Actionable Trade Ideas: |
Fade the Trump Trade - especially in overextended financials, but wait for CPI Look for Tesla reversal setups - the trillion-dollar party won't last Watch for metals entry points as the week progresses Keep an eye on NVDA options flow for tech sector tells Consider defined-risk trades around CPI in financials Metals might be the sleeper trade as this week progresses. |
🎯 Special Alert: Earnings Season Opportunity |
Speaking of opportunities, I need to highlight something crucial. |
While we're watching these market disconnects, there's another pattern playing out that deserves your immediate attention - the "Earnings Flip." |
Since launching this new service, we've captured moves like: |
• 348% on AMZN in 24 hours |
• 182% on AAPL overnight |
• 175% on MSFT in one day |
• 118% in TTWO overnight |
These aren't random wins. |
They're the result of a specific pattern I discovered while analyzing BILLIONS in options order flow at thinkorswim. |
It's particularly relevant now as we watch NVDA's bearish options flow and Tesla's momentum. |
If you haven’t joined yet, you still have time. |
In fact, our first masterclass starts tomorrow. |
🔥 Tomorrow's Masterclass (November 12) |
Blake Young is hosting a special session to reveal: |
• The "profit window" that appears right before tech earnings |
• Why Wall Street tries to hide this pattern |
• How to apply this to upcoming earnings plays |
With the market disconnects we're seeing and earnings season still in full swing, timing couldn't be better to add this strategy to your arsenal. |
Ready to level up your trading? → Watch The Free Video Now |
To your success, |
Don |
P.S. Special thanks to our veterans. Markets come and go, but their service to the country stands forever. |