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| | Our art investment bundle is filling up quickly. If youโd like to learn more (and potentially invest), smash the button below. | | Auerbachโs record-breaking piece |
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The World's First Exchange-Listed Portfolio of Pre-IPO Shares |
The problem with secondary markets is that they're all private, right? |
Yeah, not anymore. |
โDestinyโ is the first publicly-traded fund for pre-IPO shares that anyone can invest in. It'll list soon on the NYSE under the ticker โDXYZโ. |
The Destiny Tech 100 is designed to be a portfolio of the Top 100 high-growth companies Invest in private tech unicorns like OpenAI, SpaceX, and Stripe Anyone can invest through a brokerage account when it lists |
| โDestinyโ is building the world's first exchange-listed product for secondaries. |
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DXYZ plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange in March. |
We strongly believe in Destiny's vision to bring secondaries to the masses, and are proud to be one of their first partners. |
In the meantime, Alts subscribers can sign up to โget a free shareโโ in the coming weeks. |
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Destiny Tech100 fund holdings are subject to change and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risk and current as of publication date. |
SPONSOR |
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๐ฐ Market Headlines |
| *past 24-hour performance |
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We are so back to 5,000 on the S&P 500. Solid earnings reports and calming nerves pushed up every major index. "Let's not get amped up when you get one month of CPI that was higher than what you expected it to be. It is totally clear that inflation is coming down." - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee "Market overreacted to the CPI report. [...] monetary policy is not set to analyst expectations. Nothing in the report indicates anything other than a continued trend towards lower inflation" - Former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren Nvidia dethroned Alphabet, becoming Wall Street's third most valuable company at $1.825 trillion. Eight children were wounded, and a mother of two was killed in a mass shooting at the Chiefsโ victory parade. |
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๐ถ๏ธ Market Vibes |
The language above from the Fed is strange. |
It was clearly meant to ease the markets (and they did pump yesterday). |
But CPI clearly isn't coming down at the rate the Fed wants it to. |
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It's observably stalled over the last six or seven months, and it's not going to shift downward until a big catalyst* hits. |
*Probably bankruptcies and foreclosures centered around younger and poorer consumers, leading to a deterioration in spending and the jobs market. |
๐ฐ Market Forecasts and Futures |
The likelihood of a rate cut in March is now microscopic, according to Kalshi, though traders are still pricing in an 8.5% chance. |
So letโs push out to May, where traders are saying thereโs a 36% chance now vs 33% at Kalshi. |
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๐ฑ Fear and Greed Index |
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๐ง What do you think? |
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Kalshi's forecast has the S&P 500 bang on 5k at the end of 2024. Where do you think it ends? |
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๐ค What you said last time |
Free money lost out to confusion & cynicism ๐คท | |
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๐ Trends you need to know | Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends. | |
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Pharma Bees refers to the Nippon India Nifty Pharma ETF, a stock exchange-traded fund that tracks the NIFTY Pharma Index. |
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๐ Stocks |
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Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathawayโs portfolio with just a few clicks. |
Winners and losers |
Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
Cisco beat earnings and revenue expectations but slashed guidance. Shares fell 5%. Lyft whiplashed 62% up after a typo in its earnings report before settling down to a 37% gain. Renesas Electronics acquired software firm Altium for $5.9 billion; Altium shares popped nearly 30%. HubSpot exceeded Q4 earnings and revenue expectations; shares jumped 6%. Instacart dropped 1.8% after Q4 earnings revealed a growth slowdown. Informatica reported strong Q4 earnings from its cloud data management software. It issued positive guidance, and the stock soared 18%. |
Market movers |
New York City sued Meta, Snap, ByteDance, and Google, accusing them of designing addictive platforms that harm kids' mental health. Lockheed Martin fell 2.3% after the Biden administration cut F-35 orders by 18%, a $1.6 billion reduction. Uber launched a $7 billion share repurchase program, forecasting significant growth in bookings and EBITDA. Google and Microsoft are "dogfooding" AI at a massive scale, testing their tools internally. SpaceX moved to Texas, following Tesla and Neuralink. Jeff Bezos sold $4 billion in Amazon shares in prep for his move to Florida. |
Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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๐ Global Perspectives | ๐ฏ๐ต Japan entered a recession. GDP fell 0.4% in Q4 due to weak domestic demand. ๐ฌ๐ง The UK fell into recession last quarter too. ๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ The U.S. warned allies about new Russian space-based nuclear capabilities. ๐จ๐ณ ๐ฆ๐ซ China recognized a Taliban envoy, marking a diplomatic win for the group amid its international isolation. ๐ง๐ท๐ท๐บ๐ฎ๐ณ๐จ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฆ The BRICS nations should see an 85% surge in their millionaire population over the next decade, surpassing G7 growth. ๐บ๐ฆ Ukraine sank the Russian warship Tsezar Kunikov in the Black Sea using naval drones. |
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๐ Crypto | | Bitcoin's market cap blasted past $1 trillion today. All crypto together is up to $2 trillion. SEC Chair Gary Gensler said court cases drove Bitcoin ETF approval and Ethereum ETFs are no guarantee. Coinbase's shares jumped 37% in the past week ahead of its Q4 earnings today. Analysts predict a 22% revenue increase. |
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๐บ What to Watch Today |
| Lyft CEO David Risher on Q4 results, earnings report error and Taylor Swift effect |
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Thatโs all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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