|
|
Good morning. The date is June 16th, 2025, and the Israel-Iran conflict is still happening—but there are some key signs of potential peace ahead, and markets are doing well. More on that below. |
Looking to equip yourself even further with intel on what the smartest people are doing with their money? Traders Agency is doing a free live training session: |
|
Legally piggyback on insider trades |
When people hear “insider trading,” they think of Congress. |
And sure, Pelosi’s Tempus AI trade and Susie Lee’s arms stock gains are sketchy. |
But here’s what most don’t realize: Congress isn’t the worst offender. |
The real whales are corporate execs who trade on non-public info legally and have to report their trades within days, thanks to an SEC loophole. |
They know exactly when market-moving news is coming: |
A pharma CEO before FDA approval A tech CTO before a product drop A CFO before a blowout quarter |
When they buy shares? It’s not a hunch. It’s a sure thing. |
Veteran trader Ross Givens has spent years tracking these moves. His strategy — follow the smart money — has delivered gains of up to 1,500% on a single trade. And it hasn’t had a losing year. |
Now Ross is hosting a free live training to show you: |
Where to find these trades before they go public How to identify high-conviction insider moves The 3 rare signals that consistently beat the market |
|
This is free to attend, but the software does cap attendance. |
And just for signing up, Ross will send you a high-potential trade straight to your inbox.
|
|
|
📰 Market Headlines |
|
US stock futures soared on Monday, eyeing a rebound as jitters over the Israel-Iran conflict started to recede. |
The Dow rose 0.5%, S&P 500 climbed 0.6%, and Nasdaq gained 0.7%, recovering from Friday's 700-point Dow plunge. |
Minnesota state Rep. Melissa Hortman and her husband were killed in what authorities called a "politically motivated assassination." Suspect Vance Luther Boelter was apprehended Sunday after the largest manhunt in the state's history. |
Polymarket shows a 98% chance that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its policy committee meeting this week. |
The S&P 500 is back at 6,000 once again, in spite of the conflict between Israel and Iran. It seems that the market believes a peace deal is on the horizon—and there’s some validity to that optimism: |
Iran is “prepared to give up uranium enrichment” to make peace with Israel, according to an exclusive Iran Wire interview with an Iranian diplomat—however, de-escalation must come with a “face-saving solution.” Trump said “We will have peace, soon, between Israel and Iran” on his social media platform yesterday. Oil prices are actually falling, even though Israel has attacked Iran’s oil and gas factories. For now, though, both countries have continued to attack each other. In our Chart of the Day section below, we take a look at how markets have historically responds to geopolitical conflict, as well as what analysts are saying now. |
|
😱 Fear and Greed Index |
|
🧠 Make yourself heard |
What should the Fed do this week? |
|
|
🤖 AI/Future/Tech News |
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Anduril founder Palmer Luckey reconciled after Facebook fallout—now they’re working together. Amazon unveiled plans to invest $13.4 billion in Australia's AI and cloud infrastructure by 2029. |
|
🪙 Crypto | Ripple CTO David Schwartz floated a fee refund model for XRP Ledger where users would only pay the minimum required transaction fee and get any excess refunded. Strategy scooped up 10,100 Bitcoin for $1 billion last week at an average price of $104,080 per coin during Israel-Iran tensions. Crypto user lost $6.9 million after buying a discounted cold wallet through Douyin (Chinese TikTok) with a compromised private key. |
|
|
|
💹 Up 200%—and it wasn’t luck. It was data. |
In 2023, Cloudflare was flying under the radar. But AltIndex's AI-powered stock models lit up. Why? |
Not just earnings—web traffic surges, bullish employee reviews, and social media growth all pointed one way: up. |
So we called it a buy at $60. Today? Cloudflare’s up 200%. |
|
AltIndex uses alternative data—search trends, job postings, Glassdoor reviews, and more—to catch winners before Wall Street does. This isn’t hindsight. It’s how we invest. |
|
|
📊 Chart of the Day |
The stock market is a contradiction in and of itself—it’s highly reactive to unfolding geopolitical news, and yet it is incredibly resistant at the same time. The current Israel-Iran conflict is a prime example: stocks moved sharply in response to Israel’s initial attack, but the S&P is already back above 6,000. |
I think that most investors know this, but sometimes it’s helpful to see the data and be reminded: every single huge market dip due to a global event has turned out to be a massive buying opportunity in the end, because markets have continued to go up and up over time. |
|
Historically, the average recovery time after a geopolitical dip in the S&P 500 has been just 43.2 days, according to LPL Research: |
|
And things move even faster now than they did 4 years ago. |
However, I’ll raise a counterpoint: it could be possible that investors aren’t taking the current conflict in the Middle East seriously enough in short term projections, and that a larger market downturn is inbound. |
And although the market looks convinced the conflict will be over soon, some financial analysts think it could go much longer. Read their more on their thoughts here: |
|
|
|
We’ve gone through and picked out some Twitter posts we think you’ll get value from. |
Investors continue to bet on silver and platinum, driving them both up 10% Politicians on both sides are profiting big time on war stocks right now Poland tripled its GDP in less than one generation Footage of Israel’s Iron Dome intercepting Iranian missiles |
|
💡 Ideas, trends, and analysis |
Only 25% of Americans have a will, leaving families vulnerable to financial chaos after death, with nearly 40% of people turning to credit cards and personal loans to cover expenses when a family member dies. 55% of Americans disapproved of President Trump's performance, with most giving negative marks for tariffs and the cost of living. AI data centers sucked up 4.4% of US electricity in 2023, with projections showing they required an additional 18 gigawatts of power capacity by 2030. |
|
|
|
🌍 International Markets |
| 🇨🇳 China's retail sales jumped 6.4% year-over-year in May, significantly exceeding the expected 5.0% increase, while industrial production rose 5.8%. 🇰🇷 South Korea deployed a high-level task force led by Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo to coordinate US trade negotiations, as businesses face "great difficulties" from American tariff measures affecting automobiles, steel, and semiconductors. 🇯🇵 Japan and the US explored a potential trade agreement during their sixth round of negotiations, with Japan racing to secure exemptions from the 25% auto tariffs before the July deadline. 🇻🇳 The US demanded Vietnam reduce dependence on Chinese technology during recent bilateral talks, with Vietnamese officials signaling willingness to adapt supply chains gradually. |
|
|
|
🎤 What you said last time |
|
“Israel is the willing stick in the Middle East, and the US wants to use it to make other countries accept the rotten carrots we offer to people. I think this is a coordinated attempt by the Trump admin to take the headlines off of the massive protests and illegal ICE actions.” |
|
🚚 Market movers |
Intel began layoffs at its foundry division, targeting mid-level managers in Ireland, Oregon, and Israel’s Kiryat Gat plant. At Home filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, the home goods chain will shed $2 billion in debt, close around 20 stores, and receive $200 million in new funding to stay operational. Warner Bros Discovery bondholders greenlit a plan to split the company into two public entities, and the cable networks will carry most of the $37 billion in debt. |
|
📊 Earnings this week |
|
|
📢 We want to hear from you |
We love hearing from you, and we deeply appreciate your feedback. |
⭐️ What did you think of today's edition? |
|
|
📺 What to watch today |
| Bruce the Bat Dog has been called up by the Nationals! 🐕 ❤️ |
|
|
That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers,
Brandon with Stefan & Wyatt |
|
|
|
|
