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Today’s edition is brought to you by Sui - discover how their annual flagship conference Sui Basecamp 2025 is the go-to event for builders, creators, and enterprises shaping Web3 and beyond. |
Register with milkroad-20 for 20% off |
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GM. This is Milk Road. When the market gets rough, we’re here to help you stay level headed. |
(We’re like the crypto version of that “Calming Ocean Sounds” CD your mom used to play when you and your siblings were acting up.) |
Here’s what we got for you today: |
✍️ Today’s market nuke explained ✍️ 2025 = A test in ‘tuning out the noise’ 🥛 Milk Road PRO Portfolio updates 🎙️ The Milk Road Show: Crypto Market Crash: Is It Over? Plus Solana, Sonic & Bitcoin Price Predictions w/ Lark Davis 🍪 CZ predicted today’s pullback 4 years ago |
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TODAY’S MARKET NUKE EXPLAINED 💣 |
1) What 2) Happened? |
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If you woke up this morning asking: |
“Did I miss a big news event? What the hell caused this? Do you think I can still pull off a wallet chain in my mid thirties?” |
The answers are: no, we’ll get into it, and you do you (but probably not). |
Everything we’re seeing from today’s market puke appears to be a case of “weakening markets and growing fears causing mass liquidations (across multiple tokens)”. |
Sounds kinda complex (and it is) – but we’re going to walk you through each step of the process in simple terms and take you from “huh?” to “Oh, I get it!” |
Sound good? Let’s go! |
Mass liquidations happen when a whole bunch of leverage builds up at certain price points. |
Which is just a fancy way of saying “a whole bunch of people have taken out loans which they’ll be forced to pay back if prices dip to a certain level”. |
And how do they pay them back? By selling their remaining crypto. |
Which often causes the prices to drop even lower…which can then trigger even more liquidations…and so on – until prices level out, and people start buying back in. |
(Helping to reverse the momentum.) |
So here’s an over simplified version of how it likely went down… |
👉 Markets have been weakening over the past few days (crypto & stocks)… |
👉 Investors decided to start selling… |
👉 This selling pressure helped push prices down... |
👉 Liquidation levels were then hit… |
👉 Leveraged traders were forced to sell their crypto to pay back their loans… |
For example: here's a leverage trader from our PRO discord – thankfully, he has yet to be liquidated, but is getting close to having to sell some assets and add to his collateral. |
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👉 The more liquidation levels are hit, the more selling pressure we get… |
👉 The more the price dips, until all of the local liquidation points been run through… |
Here’s a chart showing you how all of that works… |
The yellow lines represent price points that will cause anywhere between $100M-$200M worth of selling to occur, so loans can be paid back (and this is just on Binance alone). 👇 |
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It’s rough! But here’s the thing… |
This is all par for the course in crypto – hell, the options markets have been telling us to expect a drop to $75k or lower since December (which we covered here, two months back). |
Point is: unless we’re close to the cycle top (which, as Kyle explained in this video last week, we are still far from it) – drops like this are not something that we need to be worried about. |
At worst, it’s a “grit your teeth and take it” kinda situation. |
At best, it’s a “holy hell, this is a buying opportunity!” type of situation. |
Remember: the moment you switch your thinking from “red charts = sell!” to “red charts = buy!” – investing becomes a whooole lot easier! |
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| | Google, Visa, a16z crypto, Binance, Messari, my mate Greg who can eat a New York slice in three bites… | What do they all have in common? They’re all powerhouses, and all but one of them pulled up to Sui Basecamp last year. | And this year is no different! Everyone but Dave will be bringing their A-game to the world’s crypto hub—Dubai on May 1-2, 2025. | Here’s what you can look forward to: | Live-demos of Sui tech? Check ✅ Global builders & degens in one place? Check ✅ Sweet, sweet alpha you won’t find on the TL? Check ✅ Connecting with like-minded individuals? Check ✅ | This is a must-attend event – and we’re looking to make it even better. | 🔥 Milk Road special offer: Use milkroad-20 for 20% off the early bird price. | But move fast—prices go up March 4. | 👉 Register for Sui Basecamp | |
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2025 = A TEST IN ‘TUNING OUT THE NOISE’ |
You know that scene in Old School, where Vince Vaughn’s character says “Ear Muffs” every time he’s about to swear, to signal to his kid to cover his ears? |
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Yeah. Well. We’re stealing that from him. |
There’s going to be a whooole lot of noisy news headlines this year that you’re going to want to engage in – but are actually better left ignored. |
We’ll still fill you in on what’s happening, so you’re up to date – but we’ll tag the story with ‘ear muffs’ to let you know that: |
“Yes, this is what everyone is talking about right now, but you shouldn’t be re-shuffling your portfolio because of it.” |
Let’s retroactively tag some of our stories as an example: |
The President and the First Lady launching rugged memecoins (Ear Muffs) The Central African Republic and Argentina launching rugged memecoins (Ear Muffs) Kanye launching a memecoin (Ear Muffs) ByBit getting hacked for $1.4B (Ear Muffs) CZ hard launching his dog to the memecoin community (Ear Muffs) The $ETH community trying to overthrow the Ethereum Foundation (Ear Muffs) Today’s market puke (Ear Muffs) |
Now, on the flip side, here’s the kind of news that you want to tally up, and recognize as a larger (in this case, positive) trend: |
The SEC has now dropped its enforcement cases against: |
Coinbase Robinhood OpenSea (And as of a few hours ago) Uniswap! 👇 |
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The message to absorb here: |
“It is now safe to build onchain in the US – time to let innovation flourish baaaby!” |
Here’s to tuning out the noise and soaking up the alpha in 2025. 🫡 |
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MILK ROAD PRO PORTFOLIO UPDATES 📊 |
We use fundamental value to guide our investments, and boy can it be powerful! |
While our PRO Portfolio isn’t immune to market dumps like the one we’re experiencing — one of our tokens is still up 60% today (today, of all days!) |
Wanna find out which one it is? Go PRO and keep scrolling to find out. 👇 |
Disclosure: We are not a day trading portfolio so don’t expect a high volume of trades. Read our “how to build a crypto portfolio in 2024” report to learn more about our portfolio strategy. |
Portfolio performance 📉 |
The Milk Road PRO Portfolio saw a significant decrease over the past 7 days. Our portfolio value is at $88.4K, down 13.95% since last week. |
| Portfolio prices are updated daily at 6:00 AM ET. |
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Ouch, that one stings! Our portfolio just took a 14% hit. |
And to make things worse, we just witnessed one of the biggest crypto hacks ever—$1.4 billion stolen from Bybit, the well-known Asian exchange favored by traders. |
Last week, we talked about staying patient while waiting for liquidity to return. Well, after this, that advice feels even more spot-on. |
Portfolio changes 👀 |
| The Milk Road PRO Portfolio is available for Milk Road PRO members only. | Already a PRO member? Log in here. | GO PRO AND UNLOCK: | Full access to the Milk Road PRO Portfolio, our yield strategies & weekly updates to see what we’re actively investing in 👆 NEW: Unlimited access to the Milk Road PRO Token Center with token ratings and insights. 🔓 Weekly “Where Are We In The Cycle?” indicators to help you spot the bull market top before it’s too late 📈 Weekly reports that help you spot early trends, navigate the markets by limiting risk & catch those sweet cha-ching moments 💰 Access to the PRO Community, where the Milk Road crew & 1000s of fellow PROs talk crypto. Don’t miss the monthly live events! 🫂 50% OFF the Crypto Investing Masterclass 📚️ | | PRO REVIEW OF THE WEEK | |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 |
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CZ predicted today’s pullback 4 years ago. Anyone else starting to feel like we’re living in a simulation? |
$USDC and $EURC get the regulatory green light in Dubai. Financial institutions operating in Dubai can now integrate $USDC and $EURC into digital asset services. |
$956M leave US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs. So far, February 2025 has been the worst month for $BTC ETF outflows since the category launched. Ouch! |
Lido + Morpho = Sensible. If staking on Lido or lending on Morpho sounds too complicated, Sensible does it for you.* |
*This is sponsored content. **This is partner content. |
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MILKY MEMES 🤣 |
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research. |