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Chris Pulver has perfected a legal way to spot market-moving news before it breaks — and he’s finally sharing his discovery This Economic Signal Has an Unbeaten Record — and It’s Flashing Recession Traders love to argue about the yield curve — whether it matters, when it matters, and if this time is different. The reality is simple: When the curve disinverts, trouble usually follows. The only question is how long it takes. The Market’s Borrowed Time The 10- and 2-year spread has been inverted for a record amount of time. Historically, when that inversion ends, a recession follows within 12 to 24 months — sometimes as late as 30 months. But it’s the 10-year and 3-month spread that’s the real warning. Every time that disinverts, a recession has followed. No exceptions. So here we are — the disinversion is happening, and the market is acting like nothing’s wrong. That’s not unusual. In fact, markets often climb right up until something breaks. The problem is, no one knows what the catalyst will be. What Could Break First? A lot of things are holding up the economy — strong jobs numbers, consumer resilience, and a stock market that just refuses to quit. But if something cracks, it’ll likely come from one of three places: 1. The Consumer Finally Backs Off Inflation is sticky. Housing is overpriced. Borrowing is expensive. Consumers are still spending, but if that slows, companies will feel it fast. 2. The Bond Market Sends a Final Warning Yields have been all over the place, but if the bond market stops believing in the Fed’s rate-cut plan, things could get ugly. 3. The Stock Market Hits a Wall We’ve seen a relentless rally, but if the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) struggle to hold all-time highs, momentum traders will be the first to bail. When Will the Market Care? This is where it gets tricky. Recessions don’t hit the market all at once. It’s not a switch that flips overnight. Instead, cracks start to appear in different sectors. Health Care (XLV) and Consumer Staples (XLP) tend to hold up the longest, while Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI) feel the pain first. The key is watching for when traders stop ignoring the data. Right now, the market is in a game of chicken — running higher until something forces it to stop. Maybe it’s inflation coming in hot. Maybe it’s another credit event. Maybe it’s something no one sees coming. A disinverting yield curve is always a red flag. The timeline isn’t exact, but history says it matters. The market can ignore reality for a while, but eventually, it reacts. If you’re a trader, the play is simple — don’t fight the trend, but keep an eye on the cracks. When sentiment shifts, it shifts fast. I’ll see you in the markets.Chris Pulver Chris Pulver Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: https://t.me/+av20QmeKC5VjOTc5 Important Note: No one from The TradingPub team or any of its associated brands will ever contact you directly on Telegram. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. _______________________________________________30 Years Of Trading Wisdom Boils Down To 1 Truth: News Moves Markets After managing millions through crashes, bubbles and everything in between, Chris Pulver has perfected a legal way to spot market-moving news before it breaks — and for the first time ever, he's sharing his discovery. Get Access to His Private DropBox Here_______________________________________________Want to get a link to TradingPub content, trade ideas, real-time market analysis and educational tidbits? We have you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here. 3. Then add our channels by clicking these links! Live events: https://t.me/+Z91avyCoq-hiNTQx Lance Ippolito: https://t.me/+-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx Graham Lindman: https://t.me/+abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5 Roger Scott: https://t.me/+_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5 Chris Pulver: https://t.me/+KXgQLaFa1ns5ZDQ5 Jeffry Turnmire: https://t.me/+6TdDE7-F6GlhMmJh See you there! _______________________________________________ |
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ABOUT US Lance Ippolito: Specializing in institutional order flow and event-driven trading, Lance has spent the past seven years focusing on trader education and mentorship. He has developed custom trading strategies and indicators for multiple platforms. Kane Shieh: A former VP and Portfolio Manager at a leading investment management firm, Kane has managed substantial assets and played key roles during significant financial events. He now shares his insights with traders worldwide. Chuck Hughes: Known as "The Trophy Trader," Chuck is a 10-time trading champion who developed a successful trading system early in his career. He continues to actively trade and assist others in applying his strategies.
Options Trading: Options are contracts that give investors the right to buy or sell at a specific price before an expiration date. While they offer opportunities, it's essential to understand the associated risks and rewards. Educational Content: Our platform offers a variety of resources designed to simplify the process of understanding and participating in the markets.
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