This is an OZY Special Briefing, an extension of the Presidential Daily Brief. The Special Briefing tells you what you need to know about an important issue, individual or story that is making news. Each one serves up an interesting selection of facts, opinions, images and videos in order to catch you up and vault you ahead. WHAT TO KNOW What happened? Brazil’s Oct. 7 first-round vote in the presidential election may still be weeks away, but its outcome has never been more uncertain. Last Thursday, the controversial far-right presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro was hospitalized after being stabbed in the stomach with a carving knife during a rally. Then, on Tuesday, former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, in prison for corruption and recently barred from running by the top electoral court, was replaced on the Workers’ Party ticket by the former mayor of São Paulo, Fernando Haddad. Why does it matter? Silva was leading the race early on, but according to recent polls, Bolsonaro — who is unlikely to return to campaigning while he recovers from his stab wounds — is the current front-runner. Bolsonaro’s bump in the polls and his opponents’ hesitance to attack their bedridden rival may make him the candidate to beat, but none of the candidates has a clear majority. If nobody wins 50 percent of the vote in the first round of voting, moderates may rally to block Bolsonaro in a second-round election scheduled for Oct. 28. |