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October 30, 2020 Welcome to this edition of The Reader, a weekly roundup of our stories and insights.
Who will win the U.S. presidential election? With days to go, we're all asking this question. The stock market predicts Joe Biden will come out on top, but bettors think Trump can still pull off an upset—and they see him ahead in Florida. A repeat of the 2016 polling error would see Biden win with a 342 electoral vote landslide. Meanwhile, we know Trump’s odds of winning the election drop whenever COVID-19 cases rise.
Read on for more news. Clifton Leaf
MUST READ Trump’s odds of winning rise or fall based on one overriding force
The frenzied events and political maneuvers that should be pluses or negatives for the President are swamped by a single force: the trajectory of the pandemic.
BY SHAWN TULLY OCTOBER 24, 2020
FINANCE
The stock market has made its final prediction: Joe Biden will win the presidential election
BY JEN WIECZNER OCTOBER 30, 2020
POLITICS
Who will decide the election? It may come down to Pennsylvania seniors
The roughly 1.5 million seniors in Pennsylvania are likely to vote. BY SHAWN TULLY OCTOBER 28, 2020
POLITICS
Bettors think Trump can still pull off an upset—and they see him ahead in Florida
Studies have shown that political betting markets frequently outperform polls in predicting events. BY JEREMY KAHN OCTOBER 30, 2020
MUST WATCH Big Tech CEOs describe the election interference they’re seeing on their platforms
Hear from Mark Zuckerberg, Jack Dorsey, and Sundar Pichai.
Content from BCG
It's time to go Beyond Great In this era of social tension, economic nationalism, and technological revolution, great performance is no longer good enough. To rewrite success, you need this new playbook from Boston Consulting Group.
Here's a peek at Fortune Analytics, our exclusive newsletter for Premium subscribers that brings you weekly business insights based on timely data analysis by our editorial team and exclusive polling.
This week, we polled 2,032 U.S. registered voters, including those in battleground states.
52% ... of battleground-state voters say Biden would do a better job handling the economy, whereas 45% say Trump.
To get the full briefing, consider becoming a Fortune Premium subscriber. You'll also get access to all of our stories on the web and in print.
Your support makes our journalism possible. Thank you.
More essential reads
A note from Fortune
In today's world, there's no such thing as "business as usual." Each week on FORTUNE’s Reinvent podcast, hear stories of people, companies, and communities working to find new ways of thriving in our uncertain future. On our latest episode, Lyft co-founder John Zimmer discusses the road ahead.
From the archives
“One Betfair gambler was confident in a Trump victory, with a future that had been widely considered “delusional” and improbable. He was the biggest winner over the presidential elections, collecting $2.5 million through the course of the campaign, according to U.K.-based Betfair. The customer made several bets as the odds of a Trump presidency continued to shift with polls and events. The customer, who wished to remain anonymous, made his or her first bet following the Iowa caucuses in February.” —Here’s how much you could’ve won betting on Trump’s presidency by Lucinda Shen, November 2016 .
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