| We've covered the music business each day since 21 Jun 2002 Today's email is edition #5198 |
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| | In today's CMU Daily: The Hipgnosis v Hipgnosis saga could finally be over as Concord swoops in to acquire the song rights investment fund. But when something could be over, that also hints that there could still be more drama to come. So obviously we're hoping there might be...
One Liners: RCA hires Harri Davies; IMPALA webinar for Earth Day; warning over Taylor Swift ticket scams; Music Creator Remuneration Working Group meets; new music from Will Young, Pearl Jam, Fontaines DC, Joe Goddard, AG Cook, John Grant, King Hannah, Sevdaliza, Shelf Lives
Also today: US Congress to consider TikTok ban proposals alongside Israel and Ukraine aid packages; Black Lives In Music launches bullying and harassment survey; Everyone* loves golf!
*Live Nation and golf people Plus: Shiv is CMU Approved
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| With the latest Economics Of Streaming working group convening this week to discuss next steps in the evolution of the streaming business model, it's more important than ever that you have a clear understanding and grasp of the key issues in the Economics Of Streaming debate. Get access to our four-part CMU Masterclass series on the Economics Of Streaming that gives you the knowledge you need to be able to understand this complex topic. Get instant on-demand access to all four Economics Of Streaming masterclasses for just ÂŁ129 - a saving of ÂŁ70. |
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| | Hipgnosis debacle might be over as Concord offers to acquire entire share capital of SONG - but thereâs a catch⊠| As dawn broke over the City Of London this morning, and against the background hum of Bishopsgate, commuters were surprised to hear the unmistakable sounds of a full throated woman warming up her voice. The fat lady was practising her scales.
Around the same time, news broke that Hipgnosis Songs Fund, the London Stock Exchange-listed song rights investment fund, had announced that it would be advising shareholders to accept an offer of $1.16 per share from Alchemy Copyrights LLC via its subsidiary Concord Chorus Limited. Privately-owned music acquisition giant Concord has set its sights on SONG - and by all indications will get it.
In March SONG had announced that its Operative NAV per share had been marked down to $1.0765 (then 85.03p) from $1.1657 (92.08p) âfollowing identification of an error due to the double counting of accrued revenueâ. This was part of Shot Tower Capitalâs due diligence investigation, which followed months of high drama name calling between SONG and its investment adviser, Hipgnosis Song Management, the Merck Mercuriadis-helmed company that manages the rights acquired by SONG.
By the time the markets closed today more than 174 million shares in Hipgnosis had changed hands as investors took advantage of the announcement to offload their shares - a 100x increase on yesterdayâs trading volume of 1.7 million shares, and is nearly double the total number of shares traded in the last month - 97.4 million. More than 3.3 million of those trades happened by 8.05am, which compares to the last monthâs daily average trading volume of 4.7 million, according to data from AIC.
With the market price remaining stable around the offer price this suggests that there was significant pent up demand from frustrated investors looking to ditch their Hipgnosis shares - but also that there is support from the market at the offer price, with arbitrage traders willing to buy shares just under the offer price betting on the expectation that when the deal goes through they will be able to collect a small premium.
In fact, that bet may be one worth taking. The Concord offer has a sting in the tail in the shape of a $25 million âcontingent considerationâ. Under the terms of this clause, shareholders stand to get an additional $25 million between them, or around $0.02 per share if - and only if - Hipgnosis Song Management enters into a âtripartite agreementâ with SONG including its subsidiaries, and Concord to âterminate the Investment Advisory Agreementâ.
Already dubbed by some City commentators as the âFO clauseâ this seeks to ensure an âelegant exitâ of HSM from the equation, tidying up one of the key points of contention in the Hipgnosis saga.
A statement from SONG in its 19 Oct statement initiating the âstrategic reviewâ set out the process for terminating its agreement with HSM.
âThe Investment Advisory Agreement can be terminated, other than for cause, by the company on not less than twelve months' notice, with an additional one-time termination fee equal to one year's advisory fee calculated on NAV as at the termination dateâ, it said. That advisory fee is 1.21% - which, curiously enough is almost exactly ÂŁ20 million, or $25 million US dollars at current rates. Those who have been following the Hipgnosis drama over recent months will also note that this is the same amount as the âbungâ offered by HSF to potential acquirers.
So have Concord and SONG cooked up a way to avoid paying HSM a termination fee, by using the bung to fund things? Sources say no. However, the proposal that HSM should agree to exit - or else shareholders donât get another $25 million - can be seen as a strong arm tactic: leave quietly, or weâll ask you to leave.
Whatâs remarkable about this part of the proposal is that it begs the question why HSM would agree to these terms when it could simply accept a standard twelve month notice period on its advisory agreement, and walk away with around ÂŁ20 million for its trouble? Plus, given the complexities around handing off music rights from one manager to another, is there not a benefit to HSM serving out that twelve month notice period and ensuring an amicable transfer of undertakings during that period?
SONGâs current chair, Rob Naylor, who previously sold his Round Hill Music Fund to Concord - and so presumably has both close and good relationships with the potential new owner of SONG - has been accused by some city commentators of being âout to getâ Merck Mercuriadis. At the same time, all parties are presumably keen to avoid a long and costly legal battle, which would only serve to bring yet more attention to the Hipgnosis drama.
Back to the price offered: some in the City have pointed out that although in todayâs money the deal looks fair - on par with the most recent NAV - the current economic climate and backstop for the deal of November means that, with US interest rates high, and UK rates perhaps set to come down, thereâs a potential currency risk as the dollar strengthens against the pound. Over the same period itâs possible - though, perhaps not likely, given the current state of affairs at HSF, that the fundâs NAV could rise over the same period.
As things stand - bar a last minute bid from HSM-associated Blackstone - it seems likely that the deal with Concord will go through. Whether that involves a messy legal undertaking as SONG and HSM conclude their acrimonious divorce only time will tell.
One thingâs for certain: itâs ainât over till the fat lady sings, and that could still be some time.
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| | | | | | | | | | | | Horizon is CMU's new weekly newsletter - published each Friday - that brings you a hand-picked selection of early-stage career opportunities from across the music industry.
Whether you're looking for your first job in music or you're ready to take a step up, Horizon is here to help you find your dream job faster.
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| One Liners: Willi Young, Taylor Swift, RCA + more | APPOINTMENTS
Sony Music has appointed Harri Davies as Head of A&R at RCA Records UK. She joins from Concord Music Publishing. âIâm honoured to step into this role, at a label with a rich history of musical innovationâ, she says. âI look forward to working alongside the incredible RCA team and leveraging my experience to discover new artists togetherâ.
LABELS
IMPALA has announced a free webinar on how the music industry can help to tackle climate change to coincide with this yearâs Earth Day. The session will take place at 3pm on 22 Apr. Contact [email protected] for more information.
LIVE BUSINESS
Lloyds Bank has issued an âurgent warningâ over ticketing scams related to Taylor Swiftâs upcoming UK shows. The bank says that more than 600 of its customers have lost money to scammers offering fake tickets, with its data indicating that Swifties have lost over ÂŁ1 million in total.
DIGITAL
It was the first meeting of the UK government convened Music Creator Remuneration Working Group earlier today, which is bringing together music industry stakeholders to discuss how streaming money is shared out. The Council Of Music Makers has published the statement it delivered as part of that session. We will have a full report on that, and responses from other stakeholder groups, in tomorrow's CMU Daily.
RELEASES
Will Young has released new single âFalling Deepâ. Heâs also announced UK tour dates running for September and November.
Pearl Jam have released new single âWreckageâ. The track arrives ahead of new album âDark Matterâ, which is out tomorrow.
Fontaines DC will release new album âRomanceâ on 23 Aug. First single âStarbursterâ is out now.
Joe Goddard has announced that he will release new solo album âHarmonicsâ on 12 Jul. It will feature guest appearances from Jungleâs Tom McFarland, Alabaster DePlume, Ibibio Sound Machine and his Hot Chip bandmates Alexis Taylor and Al Doyle. Out now is new single âMoments Dieâ featuring Barrie.
AG Cook has released new single âSoulbreakerâ.
John Grant has released new single âThe Child Catcherâ. His new album âThe Art Of The Lieâ is out on 14 Jun.
King Hannah have released new single âDavey Saysâ, taken from new album âBig Swimmerâ, which is out on 31 May.
Sevdaliza has released âRide Or Die IIâ, the second part of her 2023 track âRide Or Dieâ. Like the original, it features Villano Antillano and also adds rapper Tokischa to the mix.
Shelf Lives have released new single âUncle Fredâ. Theyâve also announced a headline show at the Moth Club in London on 23 Oct. | Read online | | TikTok ban added to aid bill in US House Of Representatives, which could speed up approval in the Senate | The speaker of the US House Of Representatives, Mike Johnson, has included the TikTok-targeting sell-or-be-banned law in a big new bill that also includes aid for Ukraine and Israel. Itâs a move that could result in the US Senate endorsing a TikTok ban much sooner than originally expected, although this version of the proposed new law would give China-based owner ByteDance more time to sell the app.
Needless to say, TikTok is not impressed. A spokesperson says, âIt is unfortunate that the House Of Representatives is using the cover of important foreign and humanitarian assistance to once again jam through a ban bill that would trample the free speech rights of 170 million Americans, devastate seven million businesses, and shutter a platform that contributes $24 billion to the US economy, annuallyâ.
The House Of Representatives has already passed the proposed sell-or-be-banned law, which gives ByteDance six months to sell TikTok or face a ban in the US. The measure is a response to concerns that the Chinese government has access to TikTok user data via ByteDance.
TikTok has always denied all the concerns about data security, while also talking up Project Texas, its alliance with American tech company Oracle, which has put in place measures to ensure that all US user data is stored on servers within the US, and that it never leaves the country.
However, there have been various media reports that suggest Congress members are right to be concerned about what happens to TikTok user data, claiming that - at the very least - data about American users can still end up with ByteDance employees in China. And that includes a new article published by Fortune which cites a number of former employees who claim that Project Texas is âlargely cosmeticâ.
One of those ex-TikTok team members claims that, while his line manager was in the US, he still really reported to ByteDance execs in Beijing. As well as that, every two or three weeks he would email spreadsheets full of US user data to his colleagues in China who were working on evolving the TikTok algorithm.
Responding to the Fortune article on X, TikTok says that the people interviewed in it are talking about systems that were in place prior to Project Taxes going into effect. Nevertheless, articles like this will only add to the momentum in Congress for some kind of TikTok law to be passed.
The sell-or-be-banned proposals were fast-tracked in the House and already have the support of US President Joe Biden. However, they also need to be voted on by the Senate.
There is definite support for the proposals in the upper house of US Congress, though it is generally thought that the new law will face much more scrutiny there. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has already confirmed that the proposals will be considered, but hasn't yet committed to a timeline.
Some senators have expressed concern that the proposals breach First Amendment free speech rights and will therefore falter in the courts. Others have also said that a six month deadline to negotiate and complete a sale is unrealistic.
The new version of the proposed ban that is included alongside the aid packages deals with that particular concern by providing up to a year for any sale to be completed; basically 270 days with the option for the President to extend the deadline by another 90 days.
Senator Maria Cantwell, chair of the Senate Commerce Committee which has been considering the proposals, noted that fact in a statement, saying, âIâm very happy that Speaker Johnson and House leaders incorporated my recommendation to extend the ByteDance divestment period from six months to a year. Extending the divestment period is necessary to ensure there is enough time for a new buyer to get a deal doneâ.
Given the urgency of the aid packages for Ukraine and Israel, this new bill should get speedy consideration in the Senate if it is passed by the House this weekend. Hence why it potentially speeds up the TikTok ban getting Senate approval. Though even if it is passed by both chambers of Congress, it is likely court action could further delay the deadline for any forced sale.
| Read online | | Approved: Shiv | Irish singer-songwriter Shiv has dropped her latest single, âLimerenceâ, marking her debut track from the upcoming album 'The Defiance Of A Sad Girl', slated for 4 Jul. Produced during a writing trip at her parentsâ home in Uganda, 'Limerence' embodies Shiv's bold re-entry into independence after parting ways with Warner Music.
With dulcet yet resolute vocals intertwined with R&B melodies, 'Limerence' delves deep into the complexities of unrequited crushes, masterfully capturing the intricate dance of yearning and acquiescence.
âI have the tendency to run away with myself and my feelingsâ, she shares. âSometimes the delusion wins, and I write entire stories in my mind, becoming borderline annoyed with the other party for not carrying their weight in the fictitious relationship Iâve created in my mindâ.
As Shiv embraces her newfound independence, 'Limerence' lays the groundwork for 'The Defiance Of A Sad Girlâ to be brimming with soul.
đ§ Listen to âLimerenceâ here | Read online | | Black Lives In Music launches bullying and harassment survey | Black Lives In Music has launched a new survey on bullying and harassment in the music industry. Anonymous data collected in the YourSafetyYourSay survey will inform the organisationâs own Anti Racist Code of Conduct, as well as the work of the new Creative Industries Independent Standards Authority, and legislation developed by the UK governmentâs Department Of Culture, Media And Sport.
BLiM says that, since publishing its âBeing Black In The Music Industryâ report in 2021, it has been âinundatedâ with calls for support from people who have experienced numerous forms of bullying and harassment.
âWe are flooded with stories from people who have experienced bullying and (sexual) harassment in the music industryâ, says chief exec Charisse Beaumont in a statement. âThey are shocking and itâs clear that high profile cases in the media are the tip of an iceberg. It can happen to anyone and it is often rooted in misogyny, racism, homophobia, transphobia and moreâ.
Referencing the recent âMisogyny In Musicâ inquiry carried out by the UK Parliamentâs Women And Equalities Committee - which found that sexual harassment and abuse is âendemicâ and underreported in the music industry - Beaumont adds, âBullying and harassment is normalised in the music industry, as shown by the âMisogyny In Musicâ inquiry. To turn the inquiry findings into action, we need the informationâ.
âThe data, especially from underrepresented groups, just doesnât existâ, she continues. âThe bullying and harassment survey will be a comprehensive survey to capture everyoneâs voices, especially those rarely heard. We need to understand what is really going on behind closed doors so we can tailor interventionsâ.
Supporting the launch of the research, musician VV Brown comments, "The YourSafetyYourSay survey is needed to help eradicate discrimination, bullying and harassment in the music industry, especially towards black and POC individuals, and to have somewhere to report these incidents. This is such important work, and I fully support Black Lives In Musicâs valiant work, and urge those comfortable to share their storiesâ.
On their own experiences, rock duo Nova Twins say, âWe have to acknowledge the barriers faced by POC talent within the music industry. Far too often, black musicians and industry professionals encounter bullying and harassment, stifling their voices and existence. Discriminatory labels limit our creativity and opportunities, hindering our ability to thriveâ.
âHearing from other artists like us with very similar experiences, both independent and on majors, has been eye-openingâ, they go on. âThese hurdles, and plenty more like them, could've easily held us back from reaching our full potential. It's a story too many of us share. Thatâs why the YourSafetyYourSay survey is a vital step towards amplifying marginalised voices, uncovering untold stories that need to be heardâ. Find out more and complete the survey here.
| Read online | | Setlist Podcast: MPs want to see action on musiciansâ income | In this week's Setlist Podcast: Chris Cooke and Andy Malt discuss the warning from UK politicians that there need to be âtangible steps to improve musiciansâ remuneration and performer rightsâ by this time next year, and Blur drummer Dave Rowntreeâs class action lawsuit against PRS For Music over songwriter royalties, and more.
đ§ Click here to listen - or search for 'Setlist Podcast' | |
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| Live Nation is going to show you just how entertaining golf can be. No, really. Prepare yourselves | Whatâs the one thing that you think of when you think of music? If the answer wasnât âgolfâ then whatâs actually wrong with you?
Golf and music go so well together: the silence of the green, the gentle thwack of stick and ball, the ever-so-genteel golf clap. Polyester slacks, diamond patterned sweaters. All of these things sit perfectly alongside the energy of a crowd, a mosh pit and 50,000 people screaming their favourite lyrics wildly off key, revelling in sweat-soaked glory.
If you donât think golf and music go together like bread and butter then you probably need your head checked.
Forget that golf is the sport of choice of comfortably proportioned old men who can huff and puff their way through eighteen holes. Forget that itâs the sport of choice of Donald Trump, possibly the best advert ever for what happens to you if you care more about golf than anything else.
Golf is also the sport of POWER, and those comfortably proportioned old men run the music business. Who can forget Eddy Cue and Irving Azoffâs golf-inspired bromance? And, of course, Live Nation Chair Greg Maffei is a keen fan of waggling his club around, often snapped out and about on the golf course.
Presumably, this is why Live Nation - possibly keen to distract from an apparent looming DOJ antitrust investigation - has teamed up with The R&A to âtake one of golfâs most entertaining championships to the next levelâ. For those less fluent in the vernacular of golf, The R&A is one of golfâs most august bodies, born out of The Royal And Ancient Golf Club of St Andrews and which oversees The Open, the golf worldâs biggest men-only sticks-and-balls face-off.
The âmost entertainingâ of championships, central to Live Nationâs interest, is The Womenâs Open golf championship - though quite why the Womenâs championship is considered more âentertainingâ than the men-only Open is not entirely clear from the frothy press release provided. Thatâs probably a question best not contemplated too closely.
Golf, like many sports, has a long and rich history of misogyny where female athletes have long been subject to everyday sexism - a point recently illustrated when professional golfer Georgia Ball had to fend off unsolicited âswing adviceâ from a male golfer, captured in a viral TikTok video.
But wait! The Womenâs Open is PURE ENTERTAINMENT! Last yearâs event had a fan festival village and ânon-stop entertainment for attendeeâs alongside womenâs golf at the most elite levelâ. This yearâs event will ramp this entertainment up even further by âintegrating live music performancesâ into things. Quite what this will look like is currently somewhat fuzzy. A Live Nation spokesperson said that the new partnership will see that ânon-stop entertainmentâ get even more non-stop, with âmore entertainment and performance all day across the weekend in the Fan Villageâ.
Hopefully that could include choice renditions of favourite golf-related songs, like Glen Everhartâs âThe One Putt Struttâ or âTrouble In The Gorseâ. Indeed, perhaps all play could stop at the ninth tee for a tribute rendition of Caravanâs âGolf Girlâ, which is exactly the sort of song that youâd imagine someone singing about golf might sing.
With Caravan still playing live shows it is to be hoped that Live Nation would see the value in snapping them up for some golf-appropriate entertainment. Whether or not that will happen, only time will tell.
One thing is certain though, and that is that golf is such a core part of Live Nationâs culture that its code of conduct makes specific reference to what you should do if youâre offered a gift of golf clubs. Iâve never been offered a set of golf clubs as a gift, so clearly Iâm moving in the wrong circles. Or, perhaps, the right ones.
Either way, the TLDR of Live Nationâs code of conduct is that itâs fine to accept a gift of golf clubs, but only if they are less than $500. That is a situation that, it would seem, Live Nation finds unlikely, saying that the unlikely Live Nation staffer would âmost likely notâ be allowed to keep the golf clubs as âunfortunatelyâ the code of conduct means that âonly gifts of nominal value may be acceptedâ. Presumably in Live Nation world you donât expect to be gifted a $439 set of golf clubs from CostCo. This is, after all, a company whose CEO legendarily said that Live Nation was part of an $8 billion industry adding âthatâs like cocaine moneyâ, and compared the Taylor Swift ticketing-debacle to a robbery at a Prada store.
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