Kevin Smith predicted the coronavirus crash … and now has a "macro trade of the century" up his sleeves. Kevin Smith knew the math just didn’t add up. “U.S. large-cap stocks are the most overvalued in history, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 and 2000,” the Crescat Capital chief investment officer warned in a letter to investors in November 2017. And so Smith and his Denver-based firm took a huge gamble … and began shorting the longest bull run in history. As unemployment set new lows, Smith held a 50 percent cash position as a bet that a recession was looming. As President Donald Trump touted a stock market that delivered 23 percent returns in 2019, Smith’s firm took out significant stakes in precious metals such as gold and silver. And through it all, the investor remained skeptical of China, even as a market-boosting trade deal seemed tantalizingly close — an outcome that would have been disastrous for Smith and his three-decade career. “It was a little scary,” the 55-year-old admits. And now? He's cashing in. |