Europe could be the first victim of the recent surge of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which stands to benefit the most from the dissatisfaction with the current coalition government in Berlin and could shake up next year’s European elections. Most leaders probably breathed a sigh of relief following the inconclusive results of the Spanish election on Sunday, as the far-right VOX party considerably underperformed and even lost seats compared to the general election in 2019. However, it would be premature to expect that the far-right wave in Europe has ebbed away, as the spectre of right-wing populism is currently on the rise in the continent’s largest economy: Germany. While it has long been seen as a bulwark against nationalist parties, with German society being particularly sensible to anything that could remotely resemble its dark past, the tides seem to have turned. The far-right AfD is consistently polling at second place with over 20% in recent months – outperforming Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD and coming dangerously close to the conservatives who top the polls. In next June’s European election, however, AfD could perform even better, as EU elections are still widely considered to be second-order elections in Germany. |