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Situational awareness - November 5, 2018
Good Monday morning from Salt Lake City.
Today is the last day to enter our 2018 midterm election challenge. Pick the winners and you could win a $50 Amazon gift card - http://bit.ly/2Ed4dhj
Executive summary: Utah's early voting numbers. Democrats favored to win control of the House on Tuesday, but it's not a done deal. Trump would lose the 2020 election to every potential female Democratic challenger.
TICK TOCK
The 2018 midterm elections are tomorrow (11/6/2018)
84 days until the first day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (1/28/2019)
129 days until the final day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (3/14/2019)
210 days until the municipal election filing period opens (6/3/2019)
214 days until the municipal election filing period ends (6/7/2019)
281 days to the 2019 Utah primary elections (8/13/2019)
365 days to the 2019 municipal elections (11/5/2019)
729 days until the 2020 presidential election (11/3/2020)
Today At Utah Policy
Who is voting early in Utah? The number of younger and infrequent voters is up significantly this yearBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor More than half a million Utahns have already cast a ballot in the 2018 election. That number is up 182% over the same time during the 2014 midterm elections....
'Political Insiders' make their predictions for Tuesday's electionsBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor Our "Political Insiders" think the Mia Love/Ben McAdams race is going to be a nailbiter, while Mitt Romney should romp to an easy win on Tuesday....
Guest opinion: Protect Utahns and our economy, oppose a carbon taxBy Sharon Scott Utah has a long history of electing pro-consumer, pro-business conservatives to represent our state in Congress. Last year, thanks in part to the unanimous support of Utah's congressional delegation, historic tax reform passed, lifting the burden off Utah's business communit...
Guest opinion: Voting 101: What will Question 1 do for education funding?By Christine Cooke Utahns are full steam ahead on voting. Many are filling out their ballots at home and trying to figure out the long list of propositions and amendments....
Legendary Utah pollster Dan Jones passes awayBy Bob Bernick, Contributing Editor It's with great sadness that we at UtahPolicy.com hear of the passing Friday of Dan Jones, the leading pollster in the Mountain West for many, many years....
Monday is the last day to enter the UtahPolicy.com 2018 Election ChallengeBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor Election day is upon us. Monday is the last day for you to enter our 2018 Election Challenge with a chance to win a $50 Amazon gift card....
OTHER UTAH HEADLINES
Deseret News
Pignanelli and Webb: Hedging our bets about Tuesday's elections
Chris Stewart: Continuing to fight for freedom and the pursuit of happiness
Shireen Ghorbani: Put the politics of kindness first
Editorial: Flawed Proposition 2 deserves a 'no' vote
Church leader sees confusion over medical marijuana initiative, urges Utahns to vote no
GOP candidates file lawsuit against Salt Lake County clerk
Utah House, Senate races to bring new faces but GOP still firmly in control
Proposition 2 and public safety: 2 police groups have concerns, but not all share their worry
Utah leaders, former students mourn passing of political icon Dan Jones
Will Utah be part of a 'blue wave?'
North Ogden mayor killed while deployed in Afghanistan
Utah has a shortage of primary care physicians. This task force is teaming up with IBM to fix it
This Utah city has one of the top-performing schools in the nation
Herbert: North Ogden mayor killed in Afghanistan was 'personification of love' for God, family, country
Salt Lake Tribune
Op-ed: Marijuana does not meet criteria for acceptable medical use
Op-ed: Holladay Quarter project presents a model of smart growth
Editorial: Don't suffer for nothing. Vote.
Will the special session on medical cannabis happen in mid-November? December? It all depends on whether Prop 2 passes.
Legendary Utah political pollster Dan Jones has died
Republican candidate for Salt Lake County clerk files a lawsuit against her opponent with election nearing
Candidate sues over Utah ballot wording she says suggests unaffiliated are unfit for office
Federal Elections Commission cites Utah congressional hopeful for failing to file financial disclosure
Celebrities Jennifer Lawrence and Ed Helms want Utahns to vote yes on Prop 4
Utah had touted ending homelessness for veterans years ago. Now the numbers are increasing
We fact checked claims made about medical marijuana leading up to the election
Utah County Commission sues Gov. Gary Herbert for refusing to appoint its nominees to the new UTA Board
Draper City Council initiates plan to restrict future expansion of mines
Other
Ann Romney speaks to Utah County Republican Women group, urges them to vote (Daily Herald)
Utah County files lawsuit against Gov. Gary Herbert over UTA board nomination (Daily Herald)
Weber County Dems say House districting shortchanges them as voters weigh Prop 4 (Standard-Examiner)
Brent Taylor, who served as North Ogden mayor, killed in Afghanistan (Standard-Examiner)
Gov. Herbert lauds Brent Taylor's desire to serve after his death in Afghanistan (Standard-Examiner)
Taylor's family hit hard by his death in Afghanistan, but proud of his service (Standard-Examiner)
More than 6,000 voter ballots returned in Summit County so far (Park Record)
NATIONAL HEADLINES
The 2018 midterms are tomorrow. Here's the state of play with less than 24 hours before voters go to the polls:
Democrats are favored to win control of the House on Tuesday, but the outcome hinges on several close races, meaning the outcome is not a sure thing -
https://cnn.it/2Qkuqfc
Early vote levels are skyrocketing across the country ahead of Tuesday's midterms -
https://cnn.it/2QkIaqm
Democrats are consciously avoiding using the word "wave" when talking about their prospects on election day, but they are acknowledging that "the map is huge" for Democrats this year -
http://bit.ly/2QkI3uW
Republicans across the country are trying to duplicate President Trump's 2016 success by stoking racial animus -
https://wapo.st/2QkNZUV
Suburban House districts could be a big problem for the GOP on Tuesday, as several GOP strongholds are now in play -
http://bit.ly/2Ql0D6f
The 2018 midterms will be America's costliest election ever -
https://yhoo.it/2Qs3dqY
Voting rights advocates are worried about attempts to limit access to the polls in many states this year -
https://wapo.st/2Qj5rsT
Federal election officials have seen more than 160 attempts to hack into voter registration databases and election systems since August -
http://bit.ly/2Ql0UGj
Tech firms are seeing evidence that the same bad actors are attempting to interfere in this year's elections -
http://bit.ly/2Qj4Kjh
Twitter deleted thousands of accounts that were posing as Democrats trying to spread false information to discourage people from voting -
http://bit.ly/2Qpfr41
Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh will appear with President Trump during his final pre-election rally in Missouri Tuesday night. Just two weeks ago, Limbaugh was touting a baseless claim that several pipe bombs mailed to prominent Democrats and President Trump's critics was a "false flag" operation from Democrats designed to gin up support ahead of the midterm elections -
http://bit.ly/2Qs2WUY
Trump says Democrats will "blame Russia" if they do poorly on Tuesday -
http://bit.ly/2QkBVDb Monday's other political news:
President Trump would lose the 2020 election against every woman mentioned as a possible Democratic opponent according to a new survey -
http://bit.ly/2Qillne
The Trump administration is set to reimpose all of the sanctions against Iran that had been lifted as part of the 2015 nuclear agreement -
https://cnn.it/2Qkvpfo
The White House is bracing for a massive exodus of staffers and Cabinet officials following Tuesday's midterms -
https://wapo.st/2QgPJhT
President Trump keeps falsely claiming that construction on his promised border wall is underway. His supporters are getting angry with anyone who points out that claim is not true -
http://bit.ly/2Ql2sQD
North Dakota Democrats ran a misleading Facebook ad designed to discourage hunters from voting -
http://bit.ly/2QjRVFj
Michael Cohen, President Trump's former personal lawyer, says Trump repeatedly used racist language before he was elected. Cohen alleges Trump once said black people "are too stupid" to vote for him -
http://bit.ly/2QkK7TI
For years, American law enforcement failed to recognize the threat of violence posed by white nationalists. Now, they don't know how to stop it -
https://nyti.ms/2Qm0G1x
Representatives for billionaire Democratic donor George Soros says he wants to appear on Fox News, but the network won't book him. Soros has become a frequent target of right-wing conspiracy theories -
https://cnn.it/2Qj7Nbd
Gas prices have dropped recently, but don't get too used to it as oil prices are set to rebound soon-
https://cnn.it/2QqdKTW
ON THIS DAY IN HISTORY
1605 - Guy Fawkes and fellow conspirators attempted to blow up the English Parliament and failed. They were captured, tried and beheaded.
1872 - In defiance of the law, suffragist Susan B. Anthony votes for the first time and is later fined $100.
1916 - An armed confrontation in Everett, Washington between members of the Industrial Workers of the World and local police resulted in what's become known as the Everett Massacre.
1979 - Iranian students seized control of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran, sparking a hostage crisis that would last 444 days and bring down the presidency of Jimmy Carter.
2006 - Saddam Hussein, former president of Iraq, is sentenced to death for his role in the 1982 massacre of 148 Shi'a Muslims.
Policy News
U.S. Treasury releases proposed guidelines for Utah Opportunity Zones The U.S. Treasury has released proposed guidelines for the Federal opportunity zones program, including Utah's 46 zones....
More National Headlines
A Kavanaugh Accuser Recants (Wall Street Journal)
FBI seeks info on woman identified as Democratic volunteer after Georgia voter system attacked (Washington Examiner)
In small town Kentucky, Trump supporters dig their heels in (Al Jazeera)
US troops lay down barbed wire along border ahead of caravan (New York Post)
Leading into Election Day, severe weather outbreak could bring possible tornadoes (ABC News)
Trump on false Kavanaugh accusation: 'How about the other ones?' (The Hill)
More than 4.5 million people vote early in Texas (The Hill)
A Test of Trump: Midterms Could Result in a Mixed Verdict (Wall Street Journal)
Big Brother Isn't Watching You (Wall Street Journal)
Why this Idaho chipmaker is suddenly at the center of the US-China trade war (CNN)
Tech Billionaires' Obligation to the Cities Around Them (Atlantic)
Positive
"In every day, there are 1,440 minutes. That means we have 1,440 daily opportunities to make a positive impact." Les Brown
Justice Reform
"If this amendment passes, over 1.4 million ex-felons who have served their time will regain their right to vote. That is huge. And you know, I'll be honest, what's really great to see is that this is an issue that has bipartisan support: Democrats like that it's criminal justice reform; Republicans like it because it would let a lot of former Trump officials vote again." - TREVOR NOAH
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