Hey there, nil! The market's morning meal is looking a bit bland today as tariff-induced inflation fears are leaving investors with indigestion, despite yesterday's mostly positive bank earnings serving! While the S&P 500 briefly tasted that sweet 6,300 level, concerns about Trump's expanding tariff menu—now featuring pharmaceuticals and semiconductors—have traders pushing away from the table. With more banking heavyweights reporting today and PPI data on the side, let's see if the market can regain its appetite! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁 - Dan
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Iran Parliament: Rules out resuming U.S. talks until preconditions met - Middle East tensions simmering Japan Election: 'Japanese First' party shaking up politics with anti-foreigner messagingAustralia-China Relations: PM Albanese defending foreign investment screening at Great Wall visit Gaza Developments: U.S.-backed Humanitarian Foundation reports 20 killed in crush incidentQatar Diplomacy: Trump set to meet Qatar PM on Gaza ceasefire deal discussionsIceland Volcano: 12th eruption since 2021 emitting smoke and glowing lava Indonesia Trade: Trump sets 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, EU preparing retaliation measuresUkraine Weapons: Celebrating Trump's weapons reversal, but "devil's in the details" |
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Chef's Pick: Steady Dividend Recipe |
Stock of Interest Yesterday |
Brinker International (EAT) Brinker’s Chili’s turnaround blends smart ops and viral buzz, cutting menus and boosting service speed just as TikTok drove new traffic. With 21% revenue growth expected and trading at just 11x free cash flow, the stock looks undervalued. While $430M in debt is a risk, $330M in earnings offers a solid cushion. A clear edge without relying on promos makes EAT a standout value in the restaurant sector. (Price at call: $165.56, Current price: $165, Analyst expectation: $190) |
Western Digital Corporation (WDC) Western Digital represents a compelling AI infrastructure play that's flying under the radar while everyone focuses on semiconductors. The company's HAMR (Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording) technology offers 4x storage density improvements, just as the AI data explosion creates unprecedented demand for cost-effective storage solutions. With hyperscalers driving 87% of business and ASPs rising 23% annually, WDC is positioned to capture significant market share in the emerging AI data storage ecosystem. Trading at 12.85x TTM P/E versus 30.66x sector median (58% discount), the market hasn't priced in HAMR's revenue potential, estimated at $2.7B by 2027 from projected 25% market share of 1200 EB global shipments. (Current price: $67.42, Analyst expectation: $80) |
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Tariff Inflation Hedge Strategy: Core CPI showed tariff impacts with 0.2% core goods inflation (fastest since February) and a 1.9% household appliance jump. Recipe: Reduce exposure to import-heavy consumer discretionary while increasing domestic manufacturing and services allocation.Focus on companies with pricing power and domestic supply chains to weather tariff-driven cost pressures. Monitor PPI data today for early signals of pipeline inflation pressures requiring defensive positioning. Banking Earnings Momentum Play: Goldman, BofA, and Morgan Stanley reporting today after mixed but generally positive bank results Tuesday. Recipe: Use any earnings-driven weakness as an entry opportunity for quality names with strong net interest income growth.Focus on banks with diversified revenue streams and strong credit quality metrics that outperform expectations. Regional banks are facing pressure, but money center banks are benefiting from higher rates and trading revenues. China Trade Normalization Bet: Nvidia and AMD chip export approvals signal potential broader U.S.-China trade relationship improvement. Recipe: Position in semiconductor names with significant China exposure while managing geopolitical risk through position sizing.Monitor for additional export license approvals as a leading indicator of relationship normalization. Pair long semiconductor positions with defensive hedges given ongoing trade policy uncertainty. PPI Inflation Volatility Play: Producer price index data today could trigger market moves on wholesale inflation trends. Recipe: Prepare for bond market volatility with core PPI expected at 2.7% Y/Y, potentially showing tariff pipeline effects.Use any Treasury yield spikes as an opportunity to add duration in rate-sensitive sectors. Monitor for divergence between consumer and producer inflation, indicating margin compression risks. Activist Investment Opportunity: Elliott Management's Global Payments stake highlights activist targeting of undervalued payment processors. Recipe: Identify similar activist targets in the fintech and payment processing space with operational improvement potential.Focus on companies with strong market positions but execution challenges, creating value creation opportunities. Payment sector consolidation and margin expansion themes are providing multiple catalyst opportunities. |
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Investment Bite: Future Cardia Alternative Investment Spotlight
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Future Cardia is raising capital through a Reg A+ offering at $3/share with a $51 million valuation. The company develops AI-powered implantable cardiac monitors for continuous heart failure monitoring, targeting the $65+ billion global cardiac monitoring market. Their minimally invasive device provides real-time cardiac data through a simple two-minute implant procedure, enabling early detection and proactive interventions. The company has successfully implanted 39 devices and collected over 60,000 hours of cardiac data while being incubated by Johnson & Johnson's JLABS and Stanford StartX. They've raised $14 million from 8,500+ investors and are preparing for FDA 510(k) submission this year. The AI-powered platform monitors heart electrical activity (ECG), heart and lung sounds, and patient movement through smartphone connectivity to cloud-based clinician portals. Key Investment Details: Offering Type: Common StockPrice Per Share: $3.00Valuation: $51 millionFunding Goal: $348 - $15MDeadline: June 24, 2026 Minimum Investment: $348Risk Level: Speculative, illiquid investment with high risk of loss Investor Considerations: Pioneering AI-powered cardiac monitoring with continuous real-time data collection Strong clinical validation with 39 successful implants and 60,000+ hours of dataExperienced team with 200+ years combined expertise from Medtronic and StanfordLarge addressable market opportunity in the growing cardiac monitoring sector Pre-market company requiring FDA approval with associated regulatory uncertainties |
USD News Core PPI m/m – Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.1% PPI m/m – Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.1%Capacity Utilization Rate – Actual: 77.4% | Forecast: 77.4%FOMC Member Hammack SpeaksIndustrial Production m/m – Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: -0.2% FOMC Member Barr SpeaksCrude Oil Inventories – Actual: -1.8M | Forecast: 7.1MBeige BookFOMC Member Williams Speaks
Today's Banking Banquet: Bank of America (BAC): Consumer banking giant with a significant deposit franchise Goldman Sachs (GS): Investment banking and trading revenue focusMorgan Stanley (MS): Wealth management and trading combinationJohnson & Johnson (JNJ): Pharmaceutical and medical device diversification Additional Servings: United Airlines (UAL): Travel demand and fuel cost pressures Progressive (PGR): Insurance pricing and claim trendsPNC Financial Services (PNC): Regional banking health indicatorAlcoa (AA): Industrial metals and commodity cycle insights |
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Kawasaki Shipping Tariff Adjustment: Japanese shipper K-Line preparing to reroute more ships away from U.S. routes as the company braces for higher tariffs. The CEO reports reduced container service frequency from East Asia to the U.S. with a 30 billion yen ($200M) annual impact factored into forecasts. South Africa Job Risk Warning: Central bank governor warns Trump's 30% tariff could eliminate 100,000 jobs by August 1. Agriculture and automotive sectors face a "devastating" impact, with citrus, grape, and wine exports particularly vulnerable to trade disruptions. Australia-China Canola Breakthrough: Sources indicate Australia nearing agreement allowing five trial canola cargoes to China, potentially ending years-long trade freeze. Development could reduce Canada's market dominance as China conducts an anti-dumping probe. Nvidia's China Victory Lap: CEO Jensen Huang calling Chinese AI models from Deepseek, Alibaba, and Tencent "world-class" during the Beijing exhibition. Third China visit this year demonstrates commitment to "massive, dynamic, and highly innovative" Chinese market. Asian Bond Outflow Reality: Foreign investors pulled $2.11 billion from Asian bonds in June, the first monthly outflow in five months. Tariff deadline concerns and Middle East tensions weigh on sentiment despite $31.97 billion YTD inflows. MiniMax IPO Ambitions: Chinese AI startup targeting $4+ billion valuation in Hong Kong listing before year-end. The company could raise $510-637 million with CICC and UBS as sponsors, showing continued AI sector investor appetite. Trump's Pharma Tariff Timeline: President indicates pharmaceutical tariffs likely by month-end, starting low with a year-long buildup period before "very high" rates. Semiconductor tariffs are following a "similar timeline" as a less complicated implementation. Japanese Shipping Adjustment: Kawasaki Kisen CEO confirms fleet capacity adjustments and potential further U.S. route reductions as the company prepares for an escalating tariff environment affecting car carrier and container businesses. |
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Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR ⬆️ 23%): Crypto-mining stock rockets after billionaire Peter Thiel acquired a 9.1% stake (5.09M shares). Thiel's investment validates the crypto-mining infrastructure story as institutional backing grows. Treasury firm positioning shows sophisticated investors are still hungry for Bitcoin exposure. Passive investor status suggests long-term conviction in digital asset mining infrastructure. Global Payments (GPN ⬆️ 7%): Payment processor jumps on reports Elliott Management built "sizeable" stake. Activist involvement typically drives operational efficiency and strategic value creation. Stock down 31% YTD despite $24.25B Worldpay acquisition, creating activist opportunity. Elliott's track record of payment sector value creation has investors anticipating strategic pressure. ASML (ASML ⬇️ 7%): Dutch chip equipment maker plunges despite 23% revenue growth in Q2. The CEO flags "increasing uncertainty" from tariffs, and can't confirm the 2026 growth outlook. Orders of €5.54B exceeded analyst targets, but 2026 guidance uncertainty spooked investors. Geopolitical headwinds are creating volatility despite strong fundamental performance and market leadership. Nvidia (NVDA ⬇️ 0.8% premarket): AI chip giant retreats after Tuesday's 4% surge to $170.70 record. Stock up 27% YTD following U.S. government assurances on H20 chip sales to China. Profit-taking is natural after a strong rally on China trade development news. Long-term AI demand thesis remains intact despite short-term volatility. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD ⬇️ 1.7% premarket): Chip rival declining after Tuesday's 6.4% jump to $155.61. The company received approval to resume MI308 chip shipments to the Chinese market. Stock gained 29% in 2025 but is facing premarket pressure amid sector rotation. China trade normalization is still a positive catalyst despite near-term consolidation. J.B. Hunt Transport (JBHT ⬇️ 1.1% after hours): Logistics firm reports Q2 EPS of $1.31 vs $1.32 prior year. Operating income fell 4% to $197.3M due to higher casualty, medical, and wage costs. Transportation sector weakness reflects broader economic uncertainty themes. Freight demand softness indicates potential economic headwinds ahead. Brighthouse Financial (BHF ⬆️ 7.4%): Life insurer surges on exclusive acquisition talks with Aquarian Holdings. The deal could be completed in the coming weeks, according to the Wall Street Journal report. The financial sector consolidation trend continues as buyers seek scale advantages. Premium valuation reflects strategic value in life insurance market consolidation. Goldman Sachs (GS slightly lower premarket): Investment bank reporting Q2 results, expecting $9.65 EPS vs $8.62 prior. Revenue growth of 6% to $13.51B anticipated, with trading revenues key focus. Wall Street bonuses and M&A activity recovery could drive upside surprises. Premium valuation requires strong execution across trading and investment banking divisions. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ ⬆️ 0.3% premarket): Pharma giant reports Q2 earnings with pharmaceutical portfolio strength expected. Medical device segment recovery and pharmaceutical pipeline progress are key catalysts. Defensive healthcare positioning is attractive amid broader market uncertainty. Dividend aristocrat status provides income stability in a volatile environment. Bank of America (BAC) & Morgan Stanley (MS): Major banks reporting earnings today, completing sector coverage. Net interest income trends and credit quality metrics will drive sector sentiment. Banking sector leadership in earnings season validates higher interest rate environment benefits. Credit card and consumer lending trends provide economic health indicators. United Airlines (UAL), Progressive (PGR), PNC Financial (PNC), Alcoa (AA): Diverse earnings coverage today. Airlines are facing fuel cost pressures and travel demand normalization challenges. The insurance sector is benefiting from higher investment yields and disciplined underwriting. Industrial metals exposure through Alcoa provides commodity cycle insights. |
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ETF Gainers: GraniteShares 2x Long BABA Daily ETF: ⬆️ 16.15% - China tech optimism returning GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF: ⬆️ 13.93% - AI infrastructure appetiteDefiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF: ⬆️ 13.64% - Server demand acceleration Tradr 2X Long ASTS Daily ETF: ⬆️ 13.63% - Satellite communications momentumGraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF: ⬆️ 12.82% - Semiconductor China trade benefits ETF Losers: AdvisorShares MSOS Daily Leveraged ETF: ⬇️ 16.53% - Cannabis sector continued pressureDefiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF: ⬇️ 13.50% - AI infrastructure bears squeezedTradr 2X Long QUBT Daily ETF: ⬇️ 13.39% - Quantum computing correction Direxion Daily Homebuilders Bull 3X: ⬇️ 11.59% - Housing sector weaknessDirexion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X: ⬇️ 10.22% - Banking leverage unwind |
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: Iran parliament rules out resumption of U.S. talks until preconditions are met – Reuters Japanese First Party shakes up election with alarm over foreigners – Reuters Australia PM Albanese: Great Wall defends foreign investment screening – Reuters U.S.-backed Gaza humanitarian foundation says 20 people killed in crush – Reuters Trump to meet Qatar’s PM to discuss Gaza ceasefire deal – Axios – Reuters Iceland volcano erupts for 12th time since 2021 – Reuters U.S. planes, cars, drinks on EU list of potential tariffs – Reuters Ukraine celebrates Trump’s weapons reversal but warns ‘devil’s in the details’ – Reuters Biggest stock movers Wednesday – Barron’s Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, BNY Mellon Earnings – Barron’s Biggest stock movers Wednesday: ASML, GPN, and more – Seeking Alpha S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Outlook: Stock Market – Seeking Alpha Japan’s Kawasaki Kisen prepared to reroute over conflict risks – Yahoo Finance Trump’s tariffs could put 100,000 U.S. jobs at risk – Yahoo Finance Exclusive: Australia nears breakthrough in canola trade deal – Yahoo Finance Nvidia’s Huang wins China reprieve in chip battle – Yahoo Finance Asian bonds see first monthly inflow in six months – Yahoo Finance Chinese AI firm MiniMax files for IPO – Yahoo Finance Nvidia CEO calls Chinese AI models ‘world-class’ – Seeking Alpha Trump eyes drug and chip tariffs by month’s end – Seeking Alpha Western Digital: HAMR commercialization is not too far – Seeking Alpha |
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