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17 August 2020
Hello Voornaam,

Standard Bank will be the first of the large local banks to release results that include the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic when it reports on Thursday. However, all the banks have already given an overview of what to expect in recent trading statements - and it's not good news.

While Covid-19 and lockdown conditions have only affected part of the reporting period to end-June, banks are required to include the credit impairments they expect to incur in the future due to the accounting methodology they use. With rising unemployment, bad debts are also likely to increase. Combined with the big decline in interest rates this year, earnings will be under pressure.

In The Week Ahead, Chris Gilmour lists some of the other companies reporting in the days to come, including resources giant BHP tomorrow and Truworths, also on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Sibanye-Stillwater has outlined what shareholders can expect when it reports back next week - and it's mostly good news thanks to stronger prices for gold and platinum group metals. More on that to follow in today's newsletter, along with updates from Woolworths, KAP Industrial and Master Drilling, as well as full-year results from Tongaat Hulett. Its shares jumped 9% on Friday due to the positive impact a restructuring has had on its performance.

I hope you have a good week.

Stephen Gunnion

Managing Editor, InceConnect


Recent notes of topical interest from Ingham Analytics

"Rolling in the Deep....." will be of topical interest seeing as West Texas Intermediate and Brent oil are well above levels in March this year. Can this last? BHP reports full year results on 18 August so "Iron ore up, all else down" will be of interest - Ingham Analytics expect EBITDA of $22 billion for the group with iron ore contributing 64% of the total, up from 48% last year. Petroleum, copper and coal will all be down. Sasol will be in the spotlight for full-year earnings today so expect further forensic analysis from Ingham Analytics in days to come.


Todays Latest Headlines

Sweeter results as Tongaat cleans up
The sugar producer and agri-business says the restructuring has better positioned it to ride out Covid-19.
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Sibanye-Stillwater flags surge in earnings
After a strike at its gold mines last year, the precious metals producer will return to a strong profit thanks to higher metals prices.
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Woolworths rings up lower earnings due to Covid
Apart from the impact of Covid-19, the retailer has also been affected by new accounting methodology.
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Impairments to push KAP into a loss
The industrial holding company will report a basic loss after Covid-19 and the weak polymer market resulted in impairments.
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Europa Metals rallies on new Toral estimate
The minerals exploration and development company has raised the resource estimate of its Toral project by 40 percent.
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The Week Ahead
S&P 500 almost back at record highs.
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