Excitement, volatility, non-stop action... concepts that have absolutely nothing to do with mortgage rate movement over the course of the past two weeks.  In fact, since rates plummeted in response to the November 10th CPI data, they've been as flat as we've seen in 2022. This is the goal for financial markets and mortgage rates as they traverse a time frame like the Thanksgiving holiday, but it's also a byproduct of relevant events.  Specifically, inflation data dominates the landscape.  It was no surprised to see a big reaction to the CPI data 2.5 weeks ago, and markets may largely be waiting for the next installment before the next substantial shift in rates. This doesn't mean rates will remain as flat as they have been--only that they may resist moving too far in either direction until they have more guidance from economic data and the Fed.  This week will bring some of that economic data, but the next CPI report arrives on December 13th followed a day later by the next Fed announcement.  Fed speakers were making the rounds today reminding markets that there are more rate hikes to come.  The Fed sees the strength of the jobs market as providing a cushion to be aggressive in its fight against inflation.   While the Fed will almost certainly continue to hike rates on the 14th (probably by 0.50%), financial markets have long since baked that assumption into current trading levels.  That means today's mortgage rates already account for the current Fed Funds Rate forecasts.
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November 28, 2022
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Mortgage Rate Watch
Excitement, volatility, non-stop action... concepts that have absolutely nothing to do with mortgage rate movement over the course of the past two weeks.  In fact, since rates plummeted in response to the November 10th CPI data, they've been as ... (read more)
MBS Commentary
Bonds were effectively closed for a 4-day weekend starting with Thanksgiving last Thursday.  True, Friday was technically open for half a day, but volume and participation were so light as to make any of the movement questionable.  This is ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Why does opening every ironing board sound like you’re dipping a witch in scalding oil? Cutting costs can sound like that as well, and while we await the 2023 conforming loan limits tomorrow, and the industry grapples with massive credit reporting co... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries