Bonds Can Seemingly Do No Wrong Another day, another example of bonds ignoring the potentially negative cues while continuing to react from the positive ones. Correlation may not be causality, but stock losses have appeared to help facilitate bond buying on multiple occasions since last Friday. Today brought another example with stocks start to falter around 12:30ET following headlines regarding a 25% tariff rate on European imports. Even as stocks have moved off the lows heading into after hours trading, bond yields didn't follow.  That leaves us at another "best since early December" level in both Treasuries and MBS. Econ Data / EventsNew Home Sales657k vs 680k f'cast, 698k prev Market Movement Recap09:48 AM Slow, sideways morning so far.  MBS unchanged and 10yr up 0.2bps at 4.3 12:43 PM Best levels of the day with MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 2.3bps at 4.274 03:28 PM New best levels.  MBS up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 5.1bps at 4.246
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February 26, 2025
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MBS Commentary
Bonds Can Seemingly Do No Wrong Another day, another example of bonds ignoring the potentially negative cues while continuing to react from the positive ones. Correlation may not be causality, but stock losse... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates are directly connected to the bond market, and bonds can seemingly do no wrong over the past week.  Specifically, demand for bonds has been strong and steady.  Higher demand begets higher prices and, when it comes to bonds, h... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
While the House passed President Trump’s budget resolution, the industry is abuzz about the TV at HUD’s headquarters showing an AI video of Donald Trump… There are some shifty IT folks out there. Meanwhile, focusing on reality, borrower psychology is... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries