Bonds Reprise Familiar Role as a Safe Haven Amid Renewed Rout in Stocks You've seen it plenty of times so far in 2025. You've wondered what the heck happened to it during last week's volatile tariff announcement aftermath. Now today, more than any other day this week, a good, old-fashioned flight to safety helped the bond market realize some decent gains. Powell's speech at 1:30pm ET was the clear catalyst, with warnings for the economy and reassurances for the bond market's smooth functioning. At this point, bonds are right back in line with the flat, narrow range seen between late February and late March.  Econ Data / EventsRetail Sales  1.4 vs 1.3 f'cast, 0.2 prev Retail Sales Control Group0.4 vs 0.6 f'cast, 1.3 prev Market Movement Recap08:42 AM sideways to slightly stronger overnight.  Minimal reaction to data.  MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 0.4 bps at 4.33 10:47 AM 5.5 UMBS are now down 1 tick (0.03) on the day and 10yr yields up 1.2bps at 4.348 01:51 PM Some volatility surrounding Powell, but holding gains, mostly.  MBS up an eighth on the day and 10yr down 2.8bps at 4.308 02:40 PM Stronger during and after Powell.  MBS up 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr down 5.8bps at 4.278
MND logo
April 16, 2025
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
MBS Commentary
Bonds Reprise Familiar Role as a Safe Haven Amid Renewed Rout in Stocks You've seen it plenty of times so far in 2025. You've wondered what the heck happened to it during last week's volatile tariff announcem... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
As markets digested implications of several fiscal policy changes over the past 2 months, a predictable trading pattern emerged. Stocks and interest rates moved lower together. This isn't always the way things work, but it is typical during moments w... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
“Every morning, I get hit by the same bicycle… It's a vicious cycle.” Double meanings aside, seasons and the earth’s rotation are cyclical, and Anchorage is picking up nearly six minutes of sun a day. Did you know that the University of Alaska spans ... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries