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Good morning from Warsaw.

French President Emmanuel Macron and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk discussed Ukraine’s ‘day-after’ question and the idea of providing Kyiv with security guarantees against Russia, a diplomat told Euractiv’s Théo Bourgery-Gonse.

While a number of issues were on the table, there was little in the way of concrete outcomes.

The issue of sending troops in the context of a ceasefire was raised, but Tusk said that for now, “we are not planning such actions.”

Some Europeans recently floated the idea of sending peacekeeping forces, although heavyweight Germany remains reluctant, making it clear it doesn’t want to become a “party to the war.”

What is certain for the two leaders is that Ukrainians will decide when peace talks can start, and they must always be sitting at the negotiating table. 

An EU diplomat representing an eastern European state recently told Euractiv that incoming US President Donald Trump wants an immediate ceasefire but doesn’t want Washington to be engaged in the region, meaning there is room for the Europeans to deal with the next day, or rather, pick up the pieces.

Meanwhile, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte called on the Alliance members to switch to a “wartime mindset” as “we are not ready for what is coming our way in four to five years”.

“We are going to need a lot more than 2% (…), but let me be frank, if you would only spend more and not spend better, you have to go to at least 4%, OK?” Rutte said.

Why Georgia’s pivot toward Russia may backfire

In this episode, host Giada Santana speaks with Carnegie's Thomas De Waal about Georgia's apparent shift towards Russia and what the EU can do to respond. Listen here. 
Bubbling in Brussels
Click on the picture to read the story |  [EPA-EFE/OLIVIER HOSLET]

On Friday, member states are set to adopt a position on a new directive establishing minimum rules to combat migrant smuggling, with NGOs raising concerns about the potential criminalisation of migrants and humanitarian aid efforts. 

Meanwhile, Nicoletta Ionta reports that the new commissioner responsible for migration, Magnus Brenner, has clarified that the forced return of Syrian refugees from Europe is at least not on the table for now. But this is something that member states are continuing to bicker about. Either way, the situation remains volatile and unpredictable in Syria but also for those being sheltered in the West.

Meanwhile, for the first time in 10 years, EU governments have agreed on a common set of "strategic guidelines" to shape the bloc's long-term justice and home affairs policies, and migration is the top priority.

On the economic front, the ECB cut interest rates again on Thursday, citing a worsening growth outlook and slowing inflation, with political turmoil in the eurozone adding to the troubled picture.

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Nordics
Click on the picture to read the story |  [EPA-EFE/HENRIK MONTGOMERY]

STOCKHOLM

Sweden is ready to introduce new measures to tackle the country's soaring energy prices, Energy Minister Ebba Busch announced on Thursday, blaming Germany's nuclear phase-out for the crisis in the country and at EU level. Read more.

Southern Europe
Click on the picture to read the story |  [Stefano Madrigali/Getty Images]

ROME

Italy's Supreme Court has cleared the way for a referendum to repeal the autonomy law, one of the most divisive pieces of legislation passed by the Meloni government. Read more.

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MADRID

Sánchez’s PSOE tries to ‘seduce’ Puigdemont, again. Members of Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's Socialist Party will meet with counterparts of the Catalan separatist party JxCat to try to overcome the latest crisis of confidence. Read more.

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LISBON

Portuguese minister snubs PM’s pitch to review 2% defence spending goal. Portuguese Defence Minister Nuno Melo played down comments from Prime Minister Luís Montenegro that the country's 2% of GDP defence spending target for 2029 would have to be reviewed. Read more.

Eastern Europe
Click on the picture to read the story |  [Omar Marques/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images]

WARSAW | ROME

Former PiS prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki will take over from Italian Prime Minister and Fratelli d'Italia leader Giorgia Meloni as president of the EU's conservative ECR group in January, according to Italian media reports. Read more.

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BRATISLAVA

Slovakia’s striking doctors, opposition urge president to block 'forced labour' law. After the Slovak parliament passed a law forcing doctors to work under threat of up to a year in prison, striking health workers and the opposition asked President Peter Pellegrini to veto the bill. Read more.

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BUDAPEST

Russia backs Orbán’s efforts for Christmas ceasefire in Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin backs Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's efforts to achieve a Christmas ceasefire in Ukraine and a major exchange of prisoners of war, the Kremlin said on Thursday, even though Kyiv has scoffed at the idea. Read more.

The Balkans

BUCHAREST | SOFIA

Romania, Bulgaria to fully join Schengen Area in 2025. After more than a decade of debates and opposition, EU interior ministers decided on Thursday to lift internal land border controls with and between Bulgaria and Romania, allowing them to join the Schengen Area fully. Read more.

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BUCHAREST

Full Schengen accession to boost Romania’s GDP by 2%. Romania's full membership in the Schengen Area will save businesses millions of euros a year and increase its competitiveness on the European market, politicians said on Thursday, following the news that it would join on 1 January 2025. Read more.

Agenda
  • EU: Justice and Home Affairs Council in its Justice composition convenes to discuss preventing migrant smuggling, combating sexual exploitation of children, and more;
  • Parliament President Roberta Metsola receives 2024 Forum Europa Prize by Nueva Economía Forum, in Madrid, Spain;
  • Climate, Net Zero and Clean Growth Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra meets with World Economic Forum President Børge Brende;
  • Mediterranean Commissioner Dubravka Šuica holds phone calls with Israeli Foreign Affairs Minister Gideon Sa’ar, Foreign Affairs Minister of Morocco Nasser Bourita;
  • Economy and Productivity Implementation and Simplification Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis holds phone call with U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen.

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[Edited by Sarantis Michalopoulos, Daniel Eck, Alice Taylor-Braçe]

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