Stronger Bonds, Before and After (And Regardless of) Economic Data Bonds were stronger overnight with 10yr yields hitting roughly 4.25% even before this morning's economic data came out. Now at the 3pm CME close, 10yr yields are still at 4.25% and they didn't stray too far from that midpoint in either direction. Data was neither friendly nor unfriendly and there was certainly no discernible reaction. We're left to chalk up the rally to serendipitous, temporary factors such as month-end trading, holiday weekend position squaring, and the proverbial skids being greased by a light liquidity environment. It was and always will be the plan to basically ignore market movement on Thanksgiving week and tune back in more attentively during jobs report week (i.e. next week). NOTE: we are not currently planning on scheduled commentary for this Friday's half day unless something momentous happens. Bonds will be open until 2pm ET. Econ Data / EventsGDP 2.8 vs 2.8 f'cast Jobless Claims213k vs 216k f'cast Continued Claims1.907m vs 1.910m f'cast Core PCE Q/Q 2.1 vs 2.2 f'cast, 2.8 prev Core PCE M/M0.3 vs 0.3 f'cast, 0.3 prev Core PCE Y/Y2.8 vs 2.8 f'cast, 2.7 prev Market Movement Recap09:19 AM moderately stronger overnight and no reaction to 8:30AM data. MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 5.2bps at 4.253 10:14 AM Modest weakness after PCE data. MBS still up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 3.8bps at 4.268 but up from lows of 4.24 02:31 PM Near the best levels now. MBS up a quarter point and 10yr down 6.6bps at 4.24
Mortgage Rate Watch | Lowest Mortgage Rates in a Month | The interest rate market continues the healing process after taking heavy damage in October. During the course of that month, the average top tier conventional 30yr fixed rate increased more than 0.75% and broke above 7.0% for the first time si... (read more) |
| | 30 Yr. Fixed Rate | 6.92% -0.03% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage News Daily | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.92% | -0.03 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.12% | -0.25 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. FHA | 6.25% | -0.02 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 7.10% | -0.08 | 0.00 | 7/6 SOFR ARM | 6.90% | -0.04 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. VA | 6.25% | -0.04 | 0.00 | Updates Daily - Last Update: 11/27 | |
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15 Yr. Fixed Rate | 6.12% -0.25% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Freddie Mac | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.84% | +0.06 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.02% | +0.03 | 0.00 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 11/21 | Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage Bankers Assoc. | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.73% | +0.21 | 0.69 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.27% | +0.29 | 0.77 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.77% | +0.04 | 0.49 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 10/30 | |
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| Price / Yield | Change |
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MBS | UMBS 5.5 | 99.66 | +0.23 | UMBS 6.0 | 101.06 | +0.18 | GNMA 5.5 | 99.90 | +0.10 | GNMA 6.0 | 100.93 | +0.12 | Pricing as of: 11/27 5:31PM EST | |
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10 Year US Treasury | 4.2483 -0.0574 |
| Price / Yield | Change |
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US Treasury | 2 YR Treasury | 4.220 | -0.029 | 5 YR Treasury | 4.121 | -0.073 | 7 YR Treasury | 4.180 | -0.059 | 10 YR Treasury | 4.248 | -0.057 | 30 YR Treasury | 4.430 | -0.051 | Pricing as of: 11/27 5:31PM EST | |
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