March 26, 2018 | "Irreverent, but never irrelevant" | | | John Lothian Publisher John Lothian News | |
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Hits & Takes JLN Staff Robby Lothian is home from the hospital and doing well. Thank you for the notes and prayers.~JJL My three nephews collaborated on a music video in support of the March For Our Lives movement. Here is Andrew Lothian's "Good Guy with a Gun" music video.~JJL Our first video from the FIA International Conference in Boca Raton, FL is with Garry Jones, the former CEO of NYSE LIFFE and the LME. Jones is now done with his garden leave and looking for his next challenges. We picked his brain about Brexit, bitcoin and China. See below.~JJL Tom Flake, founder & chief marketing officer of Bcause LLC, recorded an episode of Futures Radio Show with Anthony Crudele in Boca.~JJL JPX has added an "s" to their website address. They are migrating to HTTPS and their website address is now https://www.jpx.co.jp/english.~JJL The March For Our Lives crowd in Washington, DC was bigger than that at Trump's inauguration.~JJL ++++
Brexit, Bitcoin and Benchmarks - Garry Jones JohnLothianNews.com Former Liffe and LME CEO Garry Jones kicks off JLN's annual series of interviews with industry leaders at FIA Boca. In this year's series of some 20 videos, executives from exchanges, fintech companies and service providers give their outlook on the coming year and state of the industry. Jones, no longer under his LME non-compete, talks about the challenge of Brexit, the hurdles facing cryptocurrency trading in Europe and the potential effects of new Chinese product launches on global benchmarks. Watch the video and read the rest here » ++++ Howey; ICOs; Virtual Currencies; Actual Delivery Gary DeWaal - Bridging the Week The Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission opposed a motion to dismiss filed by a defendant named in a criminal indictment, charging him with offering and selling two types of digital tokens issued in initial coin offerings that the DoJ had alleged were securities without required registration. The defendant had argued that the digital tokens were not securities because they were currencies - albeit cryptocurrencies - , and in any case, were not investment contracts, as charged, under applicable law. Separately, over 95 comments were submitted in response to proposed guidance by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as to what constitutes actual delivery of a virtual currency to a retail client in a leveraged or financed transaction. bit.ly/2ITzYu2 ++++
The Spread - Week of 3/19 to 3/23 JohnLothianNews.com The JLN team is back in Chicago to bring you a more conventional episode of The Spread. Thank heavens our teleprompter was back in action - ad libbing a poolside chat was wicked difficult. You are likely up to date on the potential Biden v. Trump title fight that was in the headlines this week, but are you up to date on the week's happenings in options? Watch the video here » ++++ March Madness is driving down work productivity: study Gregory Bresiger - NY Post Put away that report your boss wants and focus instead on your team's last-minute comeback. /goo.gl/1AnbEz ***** Productivity in my office will improve now that Purdue has been eliminated, but the Loyola of Chicago story is special.~JJL ++++ ++++ Friday's Top Three Our top read story Friday was John Lothian's column, Congressional CFTC Budget Decision Lacks Vision and Reason. Second was the link to the CME Lawsuit Langer v. CME Group, Inc.. Third was The New York Times' How Nasdaq C.E.O. Adena Friedman Beat the Odds on Wall Street ++++ MarketsWiki Stats 122,537,253 pages viewed; 23,047 pages; 212,127 edits MarketsWiki Statistics ++++
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Lead Stories | Bank of America 'systematically' misled clients about stock trades Matt Egan - CNN Money Bank of America Merrill Lynch doctored paperwork on 16 million orders to fool institutional clients into thinking stock trades were taking place in-house when they were not, according to New York's Attorney General. /cnnmon.ie/2IMXMzH China seeks to extend oil market clout with new contract; Beijing eyes bigger role for currency through renminbi-based benchmark Anjli Raval - FT China is set to launch its long-awaited renminbi-denominated oil futures contract on Monday, as the world's largest crude importer seeks to extend its influence over the pricing of barrels sold into Asia. The Shanghai International Energy Exchange has set the opening price for the front-month of its crude futures contract at Rmb416 a barrel, about $66. /goo.gl/ZuWGZy Global Trading Giants Dip Toes in China Oil Futures on Debut Day Bloomberg News Nation's first-ever crude futures end day at 429.9 yuan/barrel; Glencore and Trafigura are among foreign participants in debut Two of the world's biggest oil traders gave China's crude futures contract a go on its long-anticipated trading debut. /goo.gl/Nx9gfY Big banks develop new platform for bond issuances; Financial institutions hope to cut costs by streamlining disjointed debt process Eric Platt in New York and Robin Wigglesworth in Oslo - FT JPMorgan, Bank of America and Citi are developing a new platform to overhaul the disjointed bond issuance process, hoping to solidify their control of the lucrative underwriting business that last year generated billions of dollars in fees for investment banks. /goo.gl/hZy1H2 An exchange giant lays out its defense of a bitcoin product that could transform the cryptocurrency Frank Chaparro - Business Insider The exchange behind one of the two markets for bitcoin futures in the US is trying to mollify regulators' concerns about an exchange-traded product tied to the cryptocurrency. /goo.gl/VRSBK6 China aims to challenge Brent, WTI oil with crude futures launch Meng Meng and Tom Daly - Reuters The launch of China's yuan-denominated oil futures will mark the culmination of a decade-long push by the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) aimed at giving the world's largest energy consumer more power in pricing crude sold to Asia. /reut.rs/2IMzYf7 The Growing Influence of Asia in Derivatives Trading Christopher Fix - CME Group OpenMarkets Asian markets have become increasingly important not only for investors from the continent, but also those from around the world. The need for seamless round-the-clock trading has come into sharper focus as global event risks occur with their impact on markets reverberating almost instantaneously throughout our increasingly interconnected world. With futures as a compelling hedging instrument, we have continued to see trading volumes growing in Asia, and more significantly, during Asia trading hours from not just Asia-based but also global participants. /goo.gl/frN1Fh BAML fined $42 million for 'masking' electronic order routing; BAML made agreements with HFT firms including Citadel Securities and Two Sigma to secretly route client orders. Hayley McDowell - The Trade Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML) has been fined $42 million after it admitted to New York authorities that it sent orders electronically to certain liquidity providers secretly as part of a 'masking' scheme. /goo.gl/utsCQ1 America's Libor Replacement Is Ready for Its Debut Alex Harris - Bloomberg Regulators around the globe began work on replacements for Libor, the London interbank offered rate, well before the U.K.'s Financial Conduct Authority set to put the beleaguered interest-rate benchmark out of its misery. In the U.S., enter the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, or SOFR, a new reference rate being introduced next week by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in cooperation with the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Financial Research. The debut of SOFR is a critical step in a quest to wean more than $350 trillion of securities off Libor. /goo.gl/VfxdpJ IMF's Lagarde Urges Euro Powers to Build Unified Capital Market Francine Lacqua, Rainer Buergin - Bloomberg Says Brexit heightens urgency for Germany, France to step up; Fund's managing director comments in Bloomberg interview International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde called on Germany and France to spur further euro-area integration, saying Brexit makes a capital-markets union on the continent more urgent. /goo.gl/1XGPD7 The world's biggest IPO might be limited to its 25th-largest stock exchange Eshe Nelson - Quartz For the past two years, there's has been a behind-the-scenes battle rumbling between New York, London, and Hong Kong to secure the public listing of Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil company. In what promises to be a blockbuster IPO, the company would fetch a valuation as high as $2 trillion. (Apple, which is currently the world's largest listed company, has a market cap of around $840 billion.) In addition to the prestige that would come from listing the world's largest public company, Aramco's IPO would generate a gusher of fees for banks, advisers, and one lucky exchange operator. /goo.gl/t4UsSR
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Exchanges, OTC & Clearing | Top news from exchanges, clearing, settlement and trade execution facilities | TMX to launch cryptocurrency platform focusing on Bitcoin, Ether; TMX Group announced that its subsidiary, Shorcan Digital Currency Network, has entered into an agreement with Paycase Financial. The Canadian Press The TMX Group Ltd. says it's launching a cryptocurrency brokerage service through the launch of its Shorcan Digital Currency Network subsidiary. /goo.gl/ChLWDB Brazilian B3 exchange sets its sights on Asia Louisa Chender - Global Investor Group Brazilian exchange B3 is setting its sights on Asia to expand its network of foreign investors looking to trade in emerging markets. According to Sergio Gullo, B3's chief representative for EMEA & APAC, China, Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and Singapore have been identified as initial targets, with the latter three already proving successful. bit.ly/2IPubFU Tokyo Stock Exchange REIT Core Index Launches JPX The Tokyo Stock Exchange today announced the launch of a new REIT index called "Tokyo Stock Exchange REIT Core Index" to satisfy the diverse needs for stock price indices in the market. /goo.gl/16ExmD
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Fintech | A roundup of today's market tech news and a look at tomorrow's disruptors | Banks deploy ID software for client verification; But customer authentication tools face a challenge from EU data protection rules Aliya Ram - FT The historic failures of big banks including BNP Paribas and HSBC to comply with international sanctions and anti-money laundering rules ushered in a tougher regulatory regime on customer identification. The fallout from those cases has extended beyond financial penalties: watchdogs have increased pressure on banks to spot malpractice through background checks and monitoring transactions. /goo.gl/BXYHsu
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Cryptocurrencies | Top stories for cryptocurrencies | This New Blockchain Platform Aims to Give Gold a Digital Edge Kristine Owram - Bloomberg Goldcorp, Royal Canadian Mint also part of new U.S. venture; 'Most important thing' to hit gold market in decades: Sprott Cryptocurrencies and the blockchain were thought by some to replace gold as the ultimate haven against financial calamity. Now the gold market is using blockchain to kick back at crypto and bring precious metals into the digital age. /goo.gl/NVRDSf China leads blockchain patent applications; Rush to protect technological ideas leads to patent applications trebling in 2017 Laura Noonan in Dublin - FT China was the most active filer of blockchain patent applications last year as the country's technology and financial services groups rushed to claim exclusivity on the "mutual distributed ledger" that could revolutionise finance and other supply chains. /goo.gl/rRySG6 Big Banks Could Eventually Warm Up To Bitcoin And Ripple Panos Mourdoukoutas - Forbes Big banks want to crush Ripple and Bitcoin. At least, that's the impression one gets by listening to speeches of high profile bankers, attacking the very premise and the valuation of Bitcoin. /goo.gl/jgoiDh Crypto projects that raised hundreds of millions of dollars are being 'intentionally non-transparent' Oscar Williams-Grut - Business Insider Startups that raised hundreds of millions of dollars last year issuing their own digital coins are being "intentionally non-transparent" with their investors, according to a new report. /goo.gl/4kwgBX This Startup Is Using Blockchain to Fight Art Forgers Vivianne Rodrigues, Rob Urban - Bloomberg Registry would create image-based records of artworks; Blockchain seen bringing trust to anemic online art market Contemporary artist Philip Colbert, whose colorful, high-spirited art is finding buyers around the world, had been toying with the idea of creating his own catalog system to prove the authenticity of his expanding body of work. /goo.gl/6WoAgH Enough About Cryptocurrency. Let's Talk About Virtual Cats Eric Newcomer - Bloomberg We spend way too much time talking about digital currencies and not nearly enough time on digital cats. /goo.gl/ZqEQqa Telegram On Track to Push Its Cryptocurrency Sale to $1.7 Billion Ilya Khrennikov, Nour Al Ali - Bloomberg Token price triples in second funding round, people say; Investor demand said to be less after Bitcoin led market lower Messaging service Telegram Group Inc., which smashed the world record for selling a new cryptocurrency in February, is on track to raise another $850 million as its initial coin offering extends toward a third month, according to three people familiar with the matter. /goo.gl/KLPKsT
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Politics | An overview of politics as it relates to the financial markets | Dow dreamers show Trump's war on elites is pure fantasy Thomas Frank - The Guardian Observers of the thousand-man wrecking crew now smashing up America's executive branch often grouse about the many ways in which it violates the "norms" of our country's politics. What impresses me as I observe the unfolding Trumptacular is the opposite: how familiar it sometimes is. /goo.gl/4zBhRj Wall Street wonders how long Kudlow will last in Trump's White House John Aidan Byrne - NY Post Even though Larry Kudlow has not officially started as the director of the National Economic Council at the White House, Wall Street is already wondering when he will hear, "You're fired." /goo.gl/LpVJnJ Trump Veers Into Uncharted Trade Territory as China Waits Andrew Mayeda - Bloomberg Investors await details of China tariffs and levies on steel; Analyst sees a 'huge amount of uncertainty' over next steps The Trump administration is under growing pressure to explain the details of its trade policies after fears of a tit-for-tat economic conflict between the U.S. and China sent stocks tumbling last week. /goo.gl/epbr1Y What Should Worry Americans Most About Trump; His tweets on the FBI, the law and the press show a singular disrespect for U.S. institutions. Cass R. Sunstein - Bloomberg President Donald Trump has shown little or no respect for the independence of the nation's institutions. That lack of respect is what distinguishes him from his recent predecessors, both Republican and Democratic, and above all it is what demonstrates an authoritarian disposition. /goo.gl/LgeA4F
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Regulation & Enforcement | For more regulatory, visit MarketsReformWiki, our website focused on current market reform efforts. | TRACE Ratings Source FINRA Beginning Tuesday, April 3, 2018, FINRA will update the way it sources rating information for TRACE-eligible securities. This update will occur as part of FINRA's regular maintenance for the analysis of the TRACE Grade (Investment Grade or High-Yield) it places on these securities. /goo.gl/jhH9EZ Holiday Reminder Regarding TRACE Market Data FINRA In observance of Good Friday, the TRACE system will be closed on Friday, March 30, 2018. As stated in the data feed interface specifications, FINRA may send out unmarked test data via its data feeds on market holidays. Direct data feed subscribers, including recipients of TRACE data via the Bond Trading Dissemination Service (BTDS), Agency Trading Dissemination Service (ATDS), Structured Products Dissemination Services (SPDS) and/or 144A Trade Dissemination Services (144A) feed(s) should take the necessary precautions to prevent data corruption. Thank you for your attention to this matter. Please contact FINRA Operations at (866) 776-0800 if you have any questions. /goo.gl/2kNFjk Holiday Reminder Regarding ORF Market Data FINRA In observance of Good Friday, the ORF System will be closed on Friday, March 30, 2018. As stated in the data feed interface specifications, FINRA may send out unmarked test data via its data feeds on market holidays. Direct data feed subscribers, including recipients of the Trade Data Dissemination Service 2.0 (TDDS 2.0) and Bulletin Board Dissemination Service (BBDS) feed(s) should take the necessary precautions to prevent data corruption. Thank you for your attention to this matter. Please contact FINRA Operations at (866) 776-0800 if you have any questions. /goo.gl/xELbNa SEC Stops Ponzi-Schemer Targeting Retail Investors and Obtains Preliminary Injunction SEC The Securities and Exchange Commission today announced charges and a preliminary injunction and asset freeze against Niket Shah, a New Jersey resident who stole more than $250,000 in a Ponzi scheme in which his friends and coworkers invested. /goo.gl/8K2jE2 Mifid's calm start belies research 'devils in detail'; Institutions are grappling with rules around carve-outs and inducements Hannah Murphy - FT The January launch of Mifid II  the sprawling European legislation that runs to 1.7m paragraphs and touches banks and brokerages, as well as institutional investors and exchanges  passed without the financial Armageddon that some had predicted. /goo.gl/7uYwF2 Regulators Split Over How to Keep Banks Out of Trouble; Ten years after the financial crisis, Washington's bank regulators don't agree on best way to examine financial firms Ryan Tracy - WSJ Should bank examiners work every day inside the offices of banks they oversee, or not? Two federal banking regulators have opposite answers, showing how 10 years after the 2008 bailouts, regulators are still trying to figure out the best way to stop bankers at Wells Fargo WFC -2.95% & Co. and other firms from causing trouble. /goo.gl/uMEFR4 Sebi plans new buyback rules, maximum limit likely to be capped at 25%; Under the proposal, the maximum limit of any buyback would be 25 per cent or less of the aggregate of paid up capital and free reserves of the company Press Trust of India Markets regulator Sebi is considering to come out with new norms on share buyback programme, under which maximum limit for share repurchase will be 25 per cent of the company's paid-up capital and other reserves. /goo.gl/1M2Tw7 Japanese regulator warns major cryptocurrency exchange for operating without a license, bitcoin falls Evelyn Cheng - CNBC Japan's Financial Services Agency issued a warning Friday to major cryptocurrency exchange Binance for operating without registration in the country. /goo.gl/cgCwxz
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Investing & Trading | Today's top stories from equities, indices and FICC (fixed income, currencies and commodities) | The Big Interview: Jonathan Clark; Former global head of trading at BlackRock and CEO at Luminex Trading & Analytics, Jonathan Clark, discusses block trading trends, his time on the buy-side and the decision to add conditional orders to Luminex's platform. Hayley McDowell - The Trade Hayley McDowell: What is driving block trading in the US and how has it evolved in recent years? /goo.gl/5Pk54g Bond Traders Face Gut-Check in Record $300 Billion U.S. Auctions Brian Chappatta - Bloomberg Short-term Treasury yields had rare drop last week after Fed; But largest 2-year sale since 2014 brings supply back in focus Bond bulls who enjoyed a rare rally in short-term Treasuries last week might not want to get too comfortable: The world's biggest debt market is about to be inundated with an unprecedented wave of issuance. /goo.gl/AQid3J Oil Trader Vitol to Post 25% Profit Drop as Market Shifts Andy Hoffman, Javier Blas - Bloomberg Income from asset sales fails to offset weaker trading; Vitol Chairman Taylor has said oil trading is 'bloody tough' Vitol Group, the world's biggest independent oil trader, suffered a 25 percent drop in annual profit as income from assets sales failed to offset weaker trading results. /goo.gl/vk5bQP The World's Most Controversial Interest Rate Is Haunting Us Again Tracy Alloway, Joe Weisenthal - Bloomberg Remember LIBOR? The London Interbank Offered Rate measures the cost of money when banks borrow from each other. It famously blew out during the financial crisis, but for a long time since then it's been dormant. Only lately it's started to creep higher again. On this week's Odd Lots podcast, we talk to Scott Peng, the founder, CEO and CIO of Advocate Capital Management, who warned in early 2008 that there was something fishy about the way the measure was being priced. In the post-crisis period, it was discovered that the rate -- which helps price trillions of dollars worth of other assets -- was being gamed or manipulated by traders. Peng walks us through the history of the rate, what it's telling us now, and what may ultimately replace it. /goo.gl/fC3HnM Wall Street's beloved FANG stock quartet may be breaking up Noel Randewich - Reuters The quartet of technology stocks that has driven Wall Street indices to record highs in recent years may be breaking up, possibly undermining one of the best growth stories in a nine-year bull market. /goo.gl/QaLU7m Could the Libor Mystery Be All about Taxes?; The U.S. tax bill has penalized U.S. branches of foreign banks for borrowing cash from their headquarters, which could explain the money market's strange behavior Jon Sindreu - WSJ Investors are scratching their heads about why a key measure of distress in financial markets is at its highest level since the financial crisis in 2009, even though there isn't any panic about banks' health. /goo.gl/Aa6PKx Sliding Silver Sends Scary Signal; Gold is priced 82 times higher than silver, the highest such discrepancy in two years and seen as a negative economic indicator Amrith Ramkumar - WSJ Investors have soured on silver to start 2018, after prices rose over the last two yearsÂa possible warning signal to the broader market. /goo.gl/bqN32t
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Banks, Brokers & Managed Funds | The latest from banks, brokers, hedge funds and managed futures | What's wrong with AQR - Part II RCM Alternatives We went into depth about a year ago on what was wrong with AQR's behemoth of a mutual fund: the AQR Managed Futures Strategy Fund (AQMIX), when their trailing 1yr returns as of last April were down about -10% and the NAV sitting around $9 years after starting out at $10 (although that doesn't include dividends paid out). We spoke of their size, of their skew towards financials, and of the overall poor environment for their type of strategy perhaps meaning nothing was really wrong - it was just doing what it does. And, as it turned out, all those were on point - with our contrarian headline powers a little early, but still, spot on as AQMIX rallied about +11% a few months after we wrote about it. bit.ly/2IMjS5n Hardworking Hedge Funds Might Have the Upper Hand; Funds that accessed Edgar filings performed better than ones that didn't, but the data isn't so clear-cut. Matt Levine Public companies in the U.S. have to make public filings -- annual and quarterly reports on Form 10-K and 10-Q, announcements of material events on Form 8-K, descriptions of trading by insiders and big shareholders, etc. -- on the Securities and Exchange Commission's Edgar website. Should you read them? For amateur investors that is perhaps a difficult question: There is an obvious conventional wisdom that you should read them so you can be informed about the companies you invest in, but there is also an argument that reading SEC filings gives casual retail investors merely the illusion of competence. After all these filings are publicly available and you are competing with professionals whose only job it is to analyze stocks; surely those professionals are also reading the filings and then also doing a lot of other research that you just can't do. /goo.gl/QaJyUj JPMorgan Brings Amazon's Alexa to Wall Street Trading Floors Hugh Son, Katherine Chiglinsky - Bloomberg Voice-activated assistant can now send reports from analysts; Other firms such as New York Life using it to help employees "Alexa, ask JPMorgan what the price target for Apple is." It's a request that JPMorgan Chase & Co. institutional clients can now get quickly answered through Amazon.com Inc.'s ubiquitous voice-activated assistant. The bank and the e-commerce giant have partnered to provide JPMorgan's Wall Street users with another way to access its research. Alexa is able to send analysts' reports and related queries, and the bank is testing other features, like providing prices on bonds or swaps, according to David Hudson, global head of markets execution for the New York-based bank. /goo.gl/uCi9S3 JPMorgan Sees Market Overcoming Stock Rout, But Beware Trade War Joanna Ossinger - Bloomberg Asset allocation stays geared toward growth in second quarter; A risk premium for 'bad policies' to threaten global trade Despite a harrowing week for U.S. stocks, market conditions are looking favorable heading into the second quarter, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. /goo.gl/VXJoh7
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Regions | Stories of local interest from the Americas, EMEA and Asia-Pacific regions | China's Oil Futures Soar on Debut; Beijing takes on global oil markets with launch of yuan-denominated futures WSJ China's yuan-denominated crude-oil futures surged on their long-awaited debut Monday, indicating positive initial sentiment toward the new market, which Beijing hopes will eventually give the country an oil benchmark to rival those in the U.S. and Europe. /goo.gl/nKtrnM Turning Sour on China's Oil Benchmark; Shanghai futures are off to a good start, but they're at the mercy of an illiquid currency. David Fickling - Bloomberg How serious is China about setting up its new Shanghai crude oil futures as a challenger to Brent and West Texas Intermediate? /goo.gl/cKjwCA China steps up effort to avert US trade war; Beijing set to ease foreign investment rules and buy more American semiconductors Tom Mitchell in Beijing and Sam Fleming in Washington - FT Chinese officials are rushing to finalise new regulations by May that will allow foreign financial groups to take majority stakes in securities companies as they seek to avert a looming trade war with the US. /goo.gl/NKCjow China to Join Major Global Bond Index for First Time; Chinese bonds will represent 5.49% of the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index Saumya Vaishampayan and Shen Hong - WSJ Bloomberg LP said Friday it will add Chinese bonds to its Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index next year, the first such major global benchmark to include debt from the world's second-largest economy. /goo.gl/BHc9TM
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Brexit | Financials stories regarding the decision of the United Kingdom to leave the European Union | Brexit 'Leave' Camp May Have Broken Spending Rules, Observer Says Viren Vaghela - Bloomberg Directing how funds are spent flouts rules, whistleblower says; Foreign secretary Johnson calls story 'utterly ludicrous' The main group that campaigned for Britain to leave the European Union, which included Boris Johnson among its advocates, may have broken campaign spending laws, according to the Observer newspaper, which cited comments by a whistle-blower. /goo.gl/3Bw9rA Brexit delivers longer blow to bank sentiment than global crisis - survey Emma Rumney - Reuters The prospect of quitting the EU has hurt sentiment in Britain's finance industry for longer than the global financial crisis that plunged economies into recession and destroyed some of the world's biggest banks, a survey found on Monday. /goo.gl/NnkwJt
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