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| Wednesday, October 12, 2022 |
| One of the most unlikely stars of the season so far: Geno Smith! |
| Smith hasn't just been a decent bridge QB for the Seahawks so far this season: He's been one of the best passers in the league. And if you saw that coming, you're a liar. He hasn't just been dumping it off to Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, either -- as he showed in last week's win over the Saints, Smith has been making impressive plays in his own right . He's eighth among all passers in intended air yards per attempt, and he's first in completion percentage on passes traveling 15-plus yards down the field. If all you saw were the stats, you'd be forgiven for thinking Russell Wilson never left Seattle. |
| And now he gets to face a Cardinals defense that has allowed the eighth-most points to opposing Fantasy quarterbacks. At a time when maybe a half-dozen quarterbacks look trustworthy, it's hard to make a case against starting Smith. Smith is a top-10 QB for me, but Jamey is one-upping me, ranking him seventh for this week. |
| You can read more about why Jamey expects Smith to be so good this week well as the rest of his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em picks here, and the rest of this evening's newsletter has plenty of other picks for each position. Tomorrow morning, we'll have Dave Richard's Start and Sit picks for Week 6 along with updates on all the injuries you need to know about. But for now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week : |
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| Quarterback Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Aaron Rodgers and Carson Wentz |
| "It's strange to look at Rodgers' game log and see no outings with more than 20 Fantasy points. He's yet to have a three-touchdown game or pass for 300 yards. That might just be who he is this season with a revamped receiving corps, but I'm still hopeful he'll have some standout performances. And it could happen this week against the Jets at home. The Jets have struggled with Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow this season as those quarterbacks combined for six touchdowns and one interception, and each one scored at least 25 Fantasy points. Meanwhile, the Jets have limited Jacoby Brissett, Mitch Trubisky/Kenny Pickett and Teddy Bridgewater/Skylar Thompson to a combined 32 Fantasy points. This could be Rodgers' best game of the season." |
| Sit 'Em: Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan |
| "Wilson is dealing with a shoulder injury, which could explain his poor play, or he could just continue to struggle Monday night at the Chargers. Either way, he has to prove himself first before Fantasy managers can trust him again. He has one game this season with more than 19 Fantasy points, and he just scored eight Fantasy points in Week 5 against the Colts with 274 passing yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. "Let's Ride" has become "Let's Sit" for Wilson and his Fantasy outlook for now. The Chargers also have allowed just two quarterbacks to score more than 17 Fantasy points against them this season." |
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| Running Back Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Rhamondre Stevenson and Jeff Wilson |
| "Damien Harris (hamstring) is out this week and could miss several games, so now we get to see if Stevenson was worth the hype he got this offseason as a breakout candidate. He looked the part in tandem with Harris the past three games, averaging 16.7 PPR points over that span, and he was amazing against the Lions with a full workload of 25 carries for 161 yards, along with two catches for 14 yards on two targets. The Browns have allowed six total touchdowns to running backs in their past three games, and for the season, five running backs have scored at least 13 PPR points against this Cleveland defense. Stevenson has top-five upside this week." |
| Sit 'Em: Najee Harris and Ezekiel Elliott |
| "Mike Tomlin said Tuesday that backup running back Jaylen Warren will continue to get more work in tandem with Harris, and that's a terrible situation for Harris' Fantasy value. Part of his appeal was his expected domination of touches in Pittsburgh's backfield, but Warren played 51 percent of the snaps in Week 5 against Buffalo. Harris has just two touchdowns on the season, and he combined for 13 PPR points the past two games against the Jets and Bills. And now he has to face the Buccaneers in Week 6, and Tampa Bay has allowed just one running back to score more than 10 PPR points all year, which was Clyde Edwards-Helaire in Week 4. Harris is a flex option at best this week." |
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| Wide Receiver Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Christian Kirk and Chris Godwin |
| "Kirk has struggled the past two games against the Eagles and Texans , but I'm going to stick with him for this week in the rematch with the Colts. He's combined for just 10 PPR points in the past two weeks, and he had a season-low three targets for one catch and 11 yards against Houston. Against Indianapolis in Week 2, Kirk had six catches for 78 yards and two touchdowns on six targets. There have been six receivers with at least six targets against the Colts this year, and four of them have scored at least 12 PPR points. Kirk should remain a solid No. 2 PPR receiver this week." |
| Sit 'Em: Garrett Wilson and JuJu Smith-Schuster |
| "Smith-Schuster played through a hamstring injury in Week 5 against Las Vegas, so that could be the reason for his poor production, but he managed just three catches for 33 yards on eight targets. He's yet to score a touchdown this year, and he only has one outing with more than nine PPR points since Week 1. Despite getting eight targets in each of the past three games from Patrick Mahomes, Smith-Schuster is averaging just 9.1 PPR points over that span. It's tough to trust him as anything more than a No. 3 Fantasy receiver even in a potential shootout with the Bills." |
| Tight End Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: George Kittle |
| "It's been a frustrating start to the season for Kittle, who has yet to score a touchdown or top 50 receiving yards. He missed the first two games of the year with a groin injury, and he's not producing up to his usual standards. That should change this week against the Falcons. Atlanta is No. 5 in Fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends, and a tight end has scored at least 10 PPR points in every game this season against the Falcons. This will be his breakout game in 2022." |
| Sit 'Em: Tyler Conklin |
| "Conklin seems to miss Joe Flacco under center from a production standpoint. In three games with Flacco, Conklin scored at least 10 PPR points in each outing. He had at least seven targets in each game, and he had two contests with at least six catches. But in the past two games with Zach Wilson , Conklin has combined for three catches for 52 yards on six targets, and he had no receptions in Week 5 against Miami. Now, part of the reason for Conklin's struggles has been the Jets have been great running the ball. Whatever the cause, you can't trust Conklin as a must-start tight end in Week 6 at Green Bay. And the Packers have yet to allow a tight end to score this year." |
| DST Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Colts at JAX |
| "The Colts defense had a rough start to the season, allowing 17 or more points in their first four games. In that same time span, the Colts defense only forced three turnovers and had seven sacks combined. With that being said, they had a nice bounce back game vs. the Broncos in Week 5 with two interceptions and four sacks, while only allowing nine points. The Jaguars offense has only scored more than 24 points once this season, and Jacksonville scored 27 points in the past two games combined. Trevor Lawrence also has seven turnovers and only two touchdowns in that stretch. This should be another solid performance from the Colts DST, especially after getting embarrassed in Week 2 at Jacksonville." |
| Sit 'Em: Bills at KC |
| "The Bills DST has been elite this season, and it's tough to sit this unit. But this is a good week to avoid the Bills DST at the Chiefs. While Buffalo's defense hasn't given up more than 21 points in a game, the Bills haven't faced Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are scoring 32 points per game, first in the NFL. Mahomes has 15 touchdowns and only two turnovers so far this year. This game will be all about the offenses, and you should fade the Bills DST if you can this week." |
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