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Insider Selling Hits Market Leaders—Should You Be Worried?

Written by Thomas Hughes

Insider selling can be a headwind for stock prices that can extend to the broader market, provided the stocks are significant enough to garner broad market interest. Selling in market leaders like Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), and NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), three AI powerhouses, suggests a considerable headwind for stock prices in H2 2025. That is because these stocks are the center of investor attention in 2025 and the AI boom. However, there are some caveats to be aware of.

While insider selling can be a headwind for these markets, there are offsetting factors that drive them higher. The takeaway is that insider selling, at worst, will induce much-needed volatility to open up buying opportunities.

Oracle Insiders Set Record, Selling Into a Strong Rally

Oracle insiders have sold in H1, with CEO Safra Catz setting the YTD record for CEOs. Her $2.5 billion in net sales and $1.83 billion in Q2 are the most from any CEO for the period. However, the sales align with a trading plan, spurred by options expirations, and raise no red flags for investors as the market dynamics remain very bullish.

The chart action alone suggests this market rally is only getting started. The MACD momentum is strong, setting a record and converging with the new highs. The market for ORCL can continue to rally strongly in this scenario, and other indicators align with that outlook. 

The volume in Oracle’s market is strong and rising. The latest highs were driven by a substantial and sustained increase that doubled the 30-day volume, suggesting demand for the stock is growing, as indicated by institutional activity. Institutions bought on balance in Q1 and Q2 and are extending the trend in Q3, having bought on balance for the first two weeks of the period.

They own about 42% of the stock in addition to the 42% owned by insiders, and provide a solid support base and market tailwind. 

Meta Platforms Insiders Sold Broadly in H2, First Weeks of Q3

Meta Platform is the 4th most-sold large-cap stock by the volume of insiders for H1 2025. InsiderTrades.com tracks sales from the entire C-suite and some board members, including sales by CEO Mark Zuckerberg and other notable insiders in the first two weeks of Q3. However, the sales were made according to prearranged plans and raised no red flags.

Insiders benefit from share-based compensation but still hold a considerable portion of the stock, topping 13.5% in early July. 

Insider selling, as with Oracle, is offset by robust institutional buying. The institutional data reveals that they hold 80% of the stock and buy on balance in Q1, Q2, and the first weeks of Q3 2025 at a pace greater than 2-to-1 versus sellers. Likewise, the analysts' activity is bullish for both of these stocks, including increased or steady coverage, firming sentiment, and an uptrend in the price target revisions.

They lead to the high-end range, or a 28% gain for META and 20% for ORCL. 

NVIDIA Insiders Sell Shares! Oh No! Not Really

NVIDIA insiders, including CEO Jensen Huang, are selling shares in 2025. They are selling in large enough quantities for NVIDIA stock to rank 7th in terms of insiders, indicating that share-based compensation is involved. The company’s SBC expense has increased over the past few years as revenue, earnings, and share prices have skyrocketed, so it is no surprise that insiders are taking profits.

The insiders also utilize share-sale trading plans registered with the SEC, so no red flags are raised, and investors should expect them to continue selling this year. 

Institutions, conversely, are buying this semiconductor stock in 2025. The group bought on balance in Q1, Q2, and the first two weeks of Q3, netting more than two dollars in shares for each dollar sold. They own about 65% of the stock, and analysts back up their activity.

Since NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings report, analyst activity has been bullish, including new coverage and improved sentiment rated at Moderate Buy, with a rising price target. The consensus forecasts only 7% upside in early July, but the trend leads to the high-end range or a 40% upside by the end of this year.