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Today’s edition is brought to you by MoonPay – the app that takes you from “I’m just starting out in crypto” to “Oh, I get it now!” in minutes (instead of months). |
Download the MoonPay app, free – here! |
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GM. This is Milk Road, we make catching up on crypto "Easy like a Sunday morning", every day of the week! |
Here’s what we got for you today: |
✍️ Is alt season cancelled? ✍️ The ripple effects of a new regulation 🎙️ The Milk Road Show: How Bad Is This Pullback? Bitcoin, Macro & Key Support Levels w/ Real Vision’s Chief Crypto Analyst 🍪 Trump org files trademark to launch metaverse and NFT trading platform |
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IS ALTCOIN SEASON CANCELLED? 😰 |
Back in the day, there were only three TV channels – which meant media attention was highly focused. |
(If there was a hot new TV show, most people would be invested in it.) |
Now, there are 126 cable channels in the US alone, and hundreds of thousands of shows spread across multiple streaming platforms globally. |
So while the amount of content has skyrocketed, the focus of each viewer has been fragmented. |
We believe we’re seeing the same thing happen in the altcoin space. |
In January alone, there were an estimated 3M new tokens released, and as of right now, there are a total 39.5M crypto tokens in existence. |
And it’s only going to increase from here. 👇 |
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For context: there were an average of 1.63M coins/tokens in existence in 2020-2021, ~40k in 2017-2018 and less than 500 in 2013-2014. |
Meaning, right now, investors’ altcoin attention is more fragmented than it has ever been. |
So much so that some are saying there won’t be a prolonged altcoin season this cycle (aka: a time in which 75% of the Top 50 coins outperform Bitcoin over the trailing 90 days). |
But we disagree with that theory. |
We still believe an altcoin season is likely – but it comes with a couple caveats. |
1/ Forget timing, focus on the data. |
People love to get stuck on the timing of altcoin seasons – but alt seasons don’t correlate with specific dates as much as they do the ISM. |
(The ISM is a survey where US companies are asked: “Are you stocking up on goods right now in preparation for future growth?”) |
The more goods they’re buying → the more positive their future outlook is → the brighter the outlook → risky assets (like altcoins) do well in times of increased growth. |
Long story longer: once the ISM is over 50, it typically indicates that altcoin season is approaching. |
And guess who just breached 50 for the first time in about a year… |
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We could dip below 50 again (this thing is updated monthly) – but for now, it’s a good sign! |
2/ This altcoin season won’t be sector-wide |
With the 39M+ altcoins in existence – the days of ‘throw a dart at an alt and it will probably rip throughout altseason’ are likely behind us. |
This means if you’re looking for returns, it’s time to stop guessing, and start looking at fundamentals. |
The second easiest method for picking fundamentally strong alts right now is this: |
Look for those implementing token buybacks and burns (explained here), think: Maker ($MKR), Raydium ($RAY), Jupiter ($JUP), etc. |
(If they literally have money to burn, they’re doing something right.) |
The easiest method? That would be going PRO and letting our research team find the winners for you. |
…but before alt season can begin, we need this pullback to reverse itself. |
Good news is, we just spoke to Real Vision’s Chief Crypto Analyst, Jamie Coutts, about when we can expect markets to shift! |
Check it out below. 👇 |
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YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts |
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THE RIPPLE EFFECTS OF A NEW REGULATORY REGIME 🌊 |
Here are four pieces of quick-hitting bullish news coming from the US regulatory space that’ll send you into the weekend buzzing with excitement. ⚡️ |
1/ $SOL Futures launching on the CME |
Why should you care that fuddy-duddy TradFi folk will soon be able to bet on the future price of Solana via the stock market? |
‘Cause Futures ETFs usually precede US-based spot crypto ETF launches. |
Which could indicate the SEC is slowly but surely getting ready to make spot $SOL TradFi-tradeable, and open the token up to a whole new audience of deep-pocketed investors! |
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2/ The SEC’s ‘Enforcement Era’ is coming to a quick close |
We’ve already written about the SEC closing its enforcement cases against Coinbase, Robinhood, OpenSea, and Gemini – but now we get to add another to the list! |
Consensys (creators of MetaMask) just had their case dropped. Hell yeah! 💪 |
3/ Banks and payments companies are ready to build in the stablecoin space |
Bank of America (the second-largest US bank by total deposits, holding $1.91T) said it is ready to launch a stablecoin if the STABLE and GENIUS Acts pass. |
Meanwhile, Stripe (the biggest payment company in the world) mentioned stablecoins no fewer than 13 times in their annual letter – calling them "room-temperature superconductors for financial services". |
(Which is nerd talk for: “they are the holy grail of financial services”.) |
4/ “Most memecoins are not securities” – The SEC |
Pinch me. No. Harder. |
The SEC just released an official statement saying most memecoins do not meet the criteria of securities. 😧 |
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If anyone needs us, we’ll be doing jumping jacks in the corner, trying to burn some of this excited energy off. |
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WE JUST LAUNCHED OUR OWN DEX! 😎 |
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Does your current DEX go ‘MOOO!’ every time you place a trade? Ours does! |
We’ve just partnered with CoW Swap and Raydium to launch Milk Road Swap! |
A super simple, user-friendly decentralized exchange that lets you trade on Ethereum (mainnet), Base, Arbitrum, and Solana! |
Here’s everything you need to know about Milk Road Swap: |
It is the only DEX that allows you to trade both ERC-20 and Solana tokens Boasts 0.15% fees via CoW Swap (ERC-20), compared to 0.25% with Uniswap or 0.5-1.2% with Coinbase, and has zero MEV on all ERC-20 trades Plus: Milk Road Swap features super-simple guides on how to swap onchain for those that are new to crypto (baked right into the interface) |
Ready to consolidate your Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum and Solana trading into a single decentralized interface – AND save money in the process? |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 |
Want a cash loan without selling your crypto? SALT lets you lock up your crypto as collateral and get fiat loans in return. Yep, this is a thing—and it’s pretty genius.** |
More features coming in hot! MetaMask plans to add Solana functionality to their wallet by May 2025, and Bitcoin by Q3 2025. |
Trump org files trademark to launch metaverse and NFT trading platform. What is this, 2021? |
Base has a need. A need for speed! ‘Flashblocks’ are promising to make Base the fastest EVM chain to date! |
Meet Fast $USDC—because your $USDC should work as hard as you do. Instant, low-cost transfers with zero headaches.* |
*This is sponsored content. **This is partner content. |
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MILKY MEMES 🤣 |
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research. |