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The Daily Reckoning Australia
 
Featured Idea...
 
Announcing Our Most Important
‘Axis Shift’ in Company History
And a new strategic partnership with the best investment ally you have right now…

Fat Tail Investment Research

Urgent publisher’s note: We’ve teamed up with the legendary Jim Rickards for a groundbreaking new portfolio construction project.

The underlying idea is that as crazy and as scary as this market seems right now, you CAN beat it.

But you need your eyes wide open. And the right intel…

Jim Rickards describes this new project as:

Geoeconomic diversification for the most unstable market in living memory, with an Australia-centric focus.

If that sounds a little jargony, think of it this way…

It’s a combination of assets to own right now that makes ongoing chaos manageable — even profitable — for you going forward.

Intrigued? Then click here to stay up to date on this project.

Dear Reader,

At certain times in history, the investment world shifts on its axis.

Sometimes, this shift can take years.

Sometimes, it occurs in months or even weeks…

But there’s always one constant.

If you can anticipate these shifts before everyone else — if you can front run it — you can come out well ahead, even in the most adverse conditions.

It’s a simple, powerful idea.

It’s an idea that the rank-and-file investment press always ignores — mired, as they are, in news out of Ukraine and the day-to-day noise of the markets. 

But this one simple idea is actually what’s driven our business since day one.

Fat Tail Investment Research is, to my knowledge, the only investment analysis firm built around these ‘axis shifts’.

These are high-impact events that don’t happen often.

But when they do, they give huge rewards to those who cotton on early.

Older readers will know we set out our stall here in 2005 to help you front run the biggest axis shift in Australia since the Second World War.

That was the China-driven resources boom.

It seems obvious in retrospect.

But few in the mainstream back then saw what was coming, let alone which tiny explorer stocks were about to go supernova as a result.

As Fortune magazine senior writer Jon Birger wrote at the time:

What we are saying is that now is not the time to plough a lot of money into commodities.

On the surface, this made sense 18 years ago.

Two wars raged in Iraq and Afghanistan. Dark murmurings were coming out of the US about falling property prices and dodgy mortgages.

Resource prices had been falling steadily for 12 months.

The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index was down 11% between September 2005 and September 2006.

Gold had slunk back down to US$600 an ounce.

Oil had dropped from US$104 to US$83 per barrel.

We only had a handful of subscribers in those early days.

But if you were one of them…

We told you — SCREAMED at you — day after day that an ‘axis shift’ was approaching for Australia.

We called it ‘The Big Dig’.  

And as we wrote to our founding readers:

You can read and think and think and read and dither and cringe...

But there are some points in an investor’s career where you have to take action.

Now is one of them.

I’m writing to you today because we believe we’ve reached a very similar point.

It’s not another China-driven resources boom (although surging prices in certain metals ARE a key part of what’s coming…).

It’s not about the end of the big ‘everything’ bull market (even though it will almost certainly encompass that and has probably already started…).

It’s not about economics…or politics.

It’s about geoeconomics.

These are no longer simple times.

And I’m afraid you’re going to see a lot more trouble in the months and years to come.

Once again, you have a financial world about to turn on its axis.

Chances are that you already sense it but can’t quite put your finger on it. 

There’s much to fear about what lies ahead. But there’s also much to gain…

So, as a business, we’ve decided to embark on an ambitious exercise that puts you squarely on the front foot.

And to do so, we’ve enlisted the help of arguably the most qualified analyst on the planet for dealing with where things sit right now.

Someone who has spent his career navigating — in some cases even PERSONALLY INFLUENCING — points in history where investing and geopolitics intersect.

To sign up to Jim Rickards’ Fat Tail Portfolio event — for FREE — click here.

Jim Rickards tweeted on 2 May:

Lots of vectors in play, including inflation, war, the supply chain fiasco, China pandemic lockdowns, borderline recession, and a looming stock market crash.

Jim’s been a very busy man recently.

In between a flurry of interviews and putting finishing touches on an amazing new book on the supply chain crisis called SOLD OUT!, he’s been in Carlisle, PA, at the US Army War College. He’s been leading a financial war seminar with 12 handpicked officers, prepping them for future command and policy roles.

Jim says:

No need for hypotheticals this year. We’ve got a real financial war going on.

All this makes it even more fortuitous that we’ve pinned down Jim’s time and expertise for this uniquely Australian project.

All those ‘vectors’, as Jim calls them, are tilting the financial world on its axis.

As a result, most investors are sitting in the market right now, paralysed.

They’re seeing what’s going on, and they’re worried about what might happen next.

Crushing inflation...

Rising interest rates...

War…

A looming American recession…

Commodity shortages…

Energy prices through the roof...

And stock markets finally starting to trend down…

The problem is that you can’t afford to not be invested.

You need income. Especially now that costs of living are skyrocketing.

You need growth. Especially now that growth assets are tanking.

And if there is anything left in this bull market, you definitely can’t miss out on that by going ‘all out’.

I want to categorically tell you something…

You don’t have to be a victim of this market. You really don’t. And you don’t have to do anything radical like sell all of your stocks or short everything or shift all your money into gold or Bitcoin [BTC].

But you do have to do something.

You can’t be blamed if you have a nagging feeling that the immediate future for your portfolio is one of downside, not upside.

But while it might not be easy for the next several years, we will get through it. The people who will get through it the best are the folks who keep their eyes open and make sure their capital is parked in the right places.

That’s what our new project, Jim Rickards’ Fat Tail Portfolio, aims to help you do.

Shortly after the war began in Ukraine, I assigned Jim two of my best local analysts — guys who I think are among Australia’s elite macro and hard asset investment specialists. They then set to work with him to help populate a very unique new model portfolio.

It’s based on the new ‘geoeconomic’ world you’re investing in.

They’ve constructed a series of moves to make right now. 

We think that if you do this, you have a great chance of coming out ahead over the next few years.

To sign up to Jim Rickards’ Fat Tail Portfolio event — for FREE — click here.

If you click on the link above, Jim and his team will send you a series of emails that we think will RADICALLY change how you approach your investing over the next few years.

These are completely free.

I can’t share too many sensitive details on Jim Rickards’ Fat Tail Portfolio in this invitation.

Except this…

If you feel like your investing future just got hijacked by a bunch of new variables beyond your control…

If you believe central banks when they say they won’t ‘save the market’ in the next big crash…

If you’re at or near retirement age and wondering what this means for the last and most important wedge of your investing life…

Or if you’re simply looking for some clear answers to the ‘WHAT SHOULD I DO NOW?’ question…

…then you’re about to get a plan of action.

To sign up to Jim Rickards’ Fat Tail Portfolio event — for FREE — click here.

Jim Rickards

This is a model portfolio concept that could only really be pulled off properly by one man.

As Jim will show you if you sign up for our new project:

We have the best predictive analytic models around.

I’ve worked on them with associates, applied mathematicians, computer scientists, artificial intelligence experts, subject matter experts…

A lot of people say:

“You can’t predict markets. You’ve got to be ready for everything or get a certain kind of portfolio or just mimic the market or be a passive investor, go for the index.”

None of that is true.

The fact is you CAN predict markets, but it’s hard.

It’s impossible for most people because they don’t have the right models.

Markets are what’s called path dependent. Which means that every day, when you wake up and the market’s open, it’s not a coin toss.It’s not a draw of the card. Those things do apply at the craps table or the roulette table or in a game of poker. But not in markets.

Markets are affected by what has happened before.

So we say it’s not so much that we have a crystal ball. We don’t, but we can see the future because the future is here today.

The future’s here now.

You just have to know where to look, because by looking at the present, you have a very good idea probabilistically as to what’s going to happen next.

If you’re not familiar with Jim already, here’s a quick bio…

Jim has spent the last five decades working behind the scenes on Wall Street, in Washington, and in the intelligence communities.

He helped the Nixon administration craft the petrodollar agreement and helped the Carter administration negotiate the Iran hostage crisis.

Jim Rickards was tapped by the CIA to lead counterterrorism efforts after 9/11.

This century, he’s made a name for himself by calling — IN ADVANCE — some of the biggest ‘axis-shift’ events of our time.

Like the election of Donald Trump…Brexit…and the credit crisis of 2008/09…

He called that event a full two years before it kicked off.

In fact, Jim’s full thesis on the coming capital market crisis was so in-depth that the CIA circulated his warning among its senior staff. It appeared in the CIA’s official journal Studies in Intelligence.

Its material that remains classified to this day.

On 24 August 2007, he shared the same warning with officials from the US Treasury Department.

Jim even supplied the Treasury with a plan for averting the crisis called ‘Proposal to Obtain and Manage Information in Response to Capital Markets Crisis’.

Port Phillip Publishing

In this instance, all the warnings were to no avail. Jim was ignored.

And then he was ASKED BACK in September 2009 to testify to the House of Representatives and explain how he saw it coming and they didn’t.

Put bluntly…

Jim is the investment banking/intelligence analyst you call when you want the truth and not a whitewash.

When Jim makes predictions at times in history just like this…

…YOU LISTEN.

And when he and his team pair those predictions with a series of specific portfolio moves…

…which you can make right now…

…and which are customised to the Australian situation and Australian private investors…you drop everything and pay even closer attention.

If you want to position your portfolio (or your business) to prosper in the midst of the radical changes taking place in the world right now, I urge you to see firsthand what Jim and our team have been constructing over the last few weeks.

You can do so for free by clicking here.

WHAT’S IN JIM’S NEW MODEL PORTFOLIO?

That needs some explaining. So…you’ll need to join this free list to find out.

But based on Jim’s analytic models, we have curated an investment mix that helps you deal with:

INFLATION — Multiple moves to keep you on the right side of the inflation trade.

SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTION — ‘Gap-filling’ stocks we think are prudent to own right now.

CRITICAL METALS — Companies that will keep assembly lines running as inventories continue to empty.

2023 STRATEGY — Moves that put you five steps ahead in the geoeconomic game, which includes the food crisis, the pivot to nuclear, and hedges against war escalation and outright stock market crash.

If this sounds like something that would be useful, then click here to sign up to the event.

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