In yesterday's weekend recap newsletter, I said I wanted to do a deep dive on Jared Jones' numbers to try and figure out why he's been so mediocre over the past month or so, and that's exactly what I did Monday. 

My takeaway? He's still figuring things out, and that's no surprise. Jones, for all his early success, is still a young, inexperienced pitcher who wasn't viewed as a finished product before he started blowing people away in April, and it turns out he wasn't. He's struggled with lefties especially lately, and he's clearly searching for answers for that, with his changeup usage spiking over the past couple of starts.

You can head here to read more of my breakdown of Jones, but on the whole, I remain pretty optimistic. Partially, that's just because I believe in Jones and have faith he'll figure out a way to right the ship. Whether that's leaning more on his changeup or identifying some other weapon to get lefties out, I think he'll get there. 

You should also head here to get Scott White's breakdown of the biggest performances of the weekend, in his weekly stockwatch piece. The arrow continues to point up for Heliot Ramos and Matt Waldron, but Scott is starting to lose faith in Bailey Ober and Reese Olson amid their recent struggles – and I am too! You got my thoughts on all of those guys yesterday, but you can get Scott's perspective here, too. 

And now, let's turn our attention to what you need to know from Monday, starting with the top waiver-wire targets: 

Just a heads up: Monday was not a great day for potential waiver-wire targets. There just weren't many big performances by lower-rostered players worth talking about, so while I've got a few names from Monday to talk about, I'm also focusing on a few guys who may have fallen between the cracks as they work their way back from injuries. Neither has a clear timetable to return to the majors, but both could be difference makers if and when they get the call, so we'll start there: 

Kris Bubic, SP, Royals (2%) – Remember him? Bubic made three starts last season, but he looked like a different guy, riding a velocity jump and a new slider to 13 strikeouts in his first 11 innings; by the end of his third start, his season was over, as he underwent Tommy John surgery that he is only now getting close to returning from. Bubic's velocity isn't all the way back yet, and it's not clear when the Royals might have a rotation spot for him, so I'm not sure how much you can expect from him. But he does have 25 strikeouts and a 3.43 ERA on his minor-league rehab assignment, and I do wonder if the surprisingly competitive Royals might not view him as a potential option in the back end of their bullpen, given James McArthur's struggles this season. They'd probably like to keep him stretched out to start, but with their rotation playing well, Bubic may be able to make an impact elsewhere. Either way, I think there's a chance he'll matter for Fantasy at some point this season. 

Jordan Lawlar, SS, Diamondbacks (29%) – Lawlar isn't coming back from quite as serious an injury as Bubic, but he has been limited to just seven games at the Arizona Complex League while recovering from a torn ligament in his thumb suffered during spring training. He was activated from the IL and sent to Triple-A this week, and the guess here is he's going to get some time at that level to get his feet under him before the Diamondbacks even consider calling him up. But he needs to be on Fantasy radars, as the 21-year-old hit .278/.378/.496 with 20 homers and 36 steals across the top two levels of the minors last season – he flopped in the majors in a 14-game stint, but he had also just turned 21 at the time, so we won't hold it against him too much. Lawlar is a top-20 prospect who is one step away from the majors, on a team that is struggling offensively and getting just a .256/.305/.361 line from their shortstops, it may not be long before we see him. 

Chris Paddack, Twins vs. COL (63%) – The thing that has been so interesting about Paddack this season are these starts where he has one of the breaking balls working. Monday was the curveball's chance, as he generated five whiffs with the pitch en route to a very strong 36% CSW rate. The curveball hasn't been much of a weapon for Paddack before this one, sporting just an 11.5% whiff rate, so we could just chalk it up to the matchup against the Rockies . But with his fastball looking better than it has in years, it's easy to dream of Paddack taking a leap if either of the breaking balls finds consistency. 

Ryan O'Hearn, 1B, Orioles (55%) – O'Hearn is picking things back, hitting .400 in nine June games after his 3-for-4 showing Monday. He has two homers and two steals in those nine games and remains a consistent presence in one of the best lineups in baseball. He's a strong option in daily leagues, but he's a viable mixed-league option in all formats when the Orioles have a run of right-handed opponents, too. 

Spencer Horwitz, 2B, Blue Jays (5%) – We'll toss one out there for you deep-leaguers. Horwitz was recalled from Triple-A over the weekend and has started each of his first three games, going 2 for 4 with a double Monday. Horwitz probably doesn't have a ton of upside, but he's been a strong hitter throughout his minor-league career, including sporting a .316/.433/.471 line at Triple-A. It'd be nice if there was more over-the-fence power or base-stealing skills here, but if he can get on base and hit for a solid average, he could still be a useful option if the Blue Jays keep giving him playing time. 

Juan Soto returned to the Yankees lineup as the DH after missing the weekend with a forearm injury. He finished 1-3 with a walk and run scored.

Kyle Tucker is no longer using crutches and remains hopeful for a Friday return. He's yet to be cleared for baseball activities as he works his way back from a right shin injury.

Red Sox manager Alex Cora suggested Sunday that Rafael Devers should be back in the lineup Tuesday. Devers missed Sunday's game with left knee soreness.

Manny Machado returned to the Padres' lineup Monday. He finished 2 for 4.

Jordan Romano resumed a throwing program on Monday. He's on the IL with right elbow inflammation, so we'll keep an eye on his progress.

Andres Muñoz is still dealing with his sore back and could be day-to-day for the foreseeable future. Ryne Stanek is next up for saves there.

Blake Snell is scheduled to throw off the mound later this week. He's on the IL with a mild left groin strain, and I'm still trying to stash him even amidst this disastrous start to the season.

Jack Flaherty is expected to make his next start this weekend against the Astros. He left his last outing with back tightness.

Gavin Williams made his second rehab start on Sunday. He allowed two runs over three innings, striking out three. Williams is 62% rostered and is a solid stash candidate as he works his way back. I'd rank him ahead of Clayton Kershaw and Jacob deGrom in any stash list, at least. 

Cade Povich will make another start Wednesday against the Braves. I wasn't particularly interested in him when he got the call, and he didn't do much to change my mind in his debut, but we'll keep an eye out in case he shows some upside. 

Anthony Rizzo has now sat out two games in a row due to performance. According to The Athletic's Ken Rosenthal, the Yankees are not ready to give up on Rizzo just yet, but you probably can. 

Elias Diaz left Monday's game due to a left calf injury.

Matt Chapman has missed two straight due to a hamstring cramp but the Giants are optimistic he will be back in the lineup Tuesday.

Tommy Pham began a rehab assignment in the Arizona Complex League on Monday.

Brett Baty might see action at second base at Triple-A. It looks like the Mets are trying to find any reason not to play Jeff McNeil , who is probably a trade candidate at this point. Baty hasn't given us much reason to think he'll matter even at second base, but there's still upside here if he can start to elevate the ball. 

Ben Lively returned to Cleveland on Monday to undergo further medical exams for an undisclosed injury.

DL Hall is headed to Triple-A to resume his rehab assignment. He experienced a setback with his sprained left knee back in late May.

Corbin Burnes, Orioles @TB: 7 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 6 K – Burnes might be as good as ever right now. Sure, his strikeout rate (24.2) is nowhere near where it was at his best, I'll grant that. But he's generating so much weak contact these days that it just hasn't really mattered – his 2.75 xERA entering this start was the second-best of his career. Backed by that Orioles roster and pitching in that home park, Burnes is very much in the conversation for the No. 1 overall pitcher spot. 

Dylan Cease, Padres vs. OAK: 6 IP, 8 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 8 K – Cease had been a bit shaky lately, sporting a 5.86 ERA over his previous five starts, though notably, that had also come with 33 strikeouts and just six walks in 26.2 innings of work, so I was never too worried. After this one, I hope you aren't, either. 

Carlos Rodon , Yankees @KC: 7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K – Rodon's early-season struggles feel like so long ago. He has made seven starts since he was tagged for six runs on May 2 after Monday, and he has a 2.28 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts over 43.1 IP. Would I like to see more strikeouts from him? Of course I would, and it's possible Rodon just never gets back to being that elite strikeout pitcher again. If he doesn't have that upside anymore, maybe this is a sell-high window – Rodon did have a 4.24 xERA compared to his 3.08 actual mark entering this one, for what it's worth. But Rodon's slider has remained an excellent swing-and-miss pitch this season, while his changeup has shown plenty of potential, and he's showing signs of life with the four-seamer too, including eight whiffs. I'm certainly not actively fading Rodon at this point. 

Ryan Pepiot, Rays vs. BAL: 6 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 9 K – My brain is screaming "BUY" on Pepiot, so why can't I get fully on board? His fastball has been an absurdly dominant pitch this season, sporting elite whiff rates and quality-of-contact metrics, and his K-BB% of 22.6% is the 10th-best mark in the majors, just ahead of Cole Ragans and Ranger Suarez. It's the inflated ERA I'm scared of, and that's up to 4.17 now. But his FIP is 3.53, his xFIP is 3.43, and his xERA was 2.88 entering Monday. It's a weird profile – Pepiot gets most of his strikeouts and whiffs with his fastball, while his changeup and slider are just okay most of the time – but maybe I need to take advantage of the inflated ERA and buy. Maybe we all do.

Seth Lugo , Royals vs. NYY: 7 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 4 K – I don't think this is the end of Lugo's time as a Fantasy-relevant pitcher or anything, but I can't say I'm particularly surprised that we're seeing some regression over his past couple of starts. Despite an ERA below 2.00 through the first two months of the season, Lugo's peripheral stats didn't really back it up, and lo and behold, he's now given up nine runs over two June starts. I would try not to drop Lugo, who will probably continue to be a solid Fantasy option moving forward. But his xERA entering this start was 3.79, so I do expect there to be even more regression to come. 

Erick Fedde, White Sox @SEA: 7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 K – On that topic, I'm not sure I have much reason to think Lugo is a significantly better pitcher than Fedde, and my expectations for them are pretty similar moving forward. Fedde probably even has a bit more strikeout upside, though Lugo's better home park and supporting cast more than help him make up for that gap. They're both solid pitchers, the kind you love to start against, say, the Mariners, and hope to avoid against a team like the Yankees. 

Kyle Harrison, Giants vs. HOU 6.1 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K – This was a fine start, but I just don't know what the path is for Harrison to ever be much more than just "fine." He lowered his fastball usage in this one but still had just nine swinging strikes on 77 pitches, because neither his slurve nor changeup has given us much reason to think they're big weapons. Harrison has a talented arm, but as a pitcher, he still leaves a lot to be desired despite this result.

Spencer Arrighetti, Astros @SF: 5.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K – We've seen much better from Arrighetti lately, but I'm still not sure there's much to be interested in for Fantasy right now. He flashes some strikeout upside, but usually only against the most beatable matchups, and his command and control have continued to leave much to be desired – Arrighetti has walked at least three in four straight starts. I'm still keeping an eye on Arrighetti, but I'm not moved to add him right now. 

Dakota Hudson, Rockies @MIN: 6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 1 K – Hudson was once a prospect of some renown, and he's been getting better results of late, but … there's nothing here. He's got mediocre command and doesn't get strikeouts, and he plays in the worst home park in baseball. Don't get fooled. 

Royce Lewis, 3B, Twins – What else can you even say except the obvious: "Please stay healthy." Lewis might win an MVP if he ever does that for a full season. He's homered in four of seven games so far this season, and has a .310 average and 21 homers in 77 career games in the majors. Just stay healthy. Please. 

Jackson Chourio, OF, Brewers – Chourio has been a big disappointment in his rookie season, and it's fair to wonder how much Fantasy appeal he even has at this point, having started just six of nine games in June. but he is starting to get a little bit hot, with his second homer in that span Monday, to go with 10 combined runs and RBI in those six games. Chourio has had some really bad chase issues, but actually makes a lot of contact on pitches in the strike zone, which is a reason to be optimistic. If those swing decisions start to improve, there's still plenty of five-category potential here, and I'm trying to stash him wherever I can.