It’s not 2021, but a certain corner of the internet is trading like it. |
GameStop stock is the talk of the town once again, and it’s inspired plenty of pandemic nostalgia across Reddit, X, and Wall Street. |
Before we get into it, you should know that today the April Producer Price Index is due at 8:30 a.m. in New York. |
Remember, like most recent data dumps, if it comes in hotter than expectations, stocks will likely fall. If it’s cooler, stocks will probably tick higher. |
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Retail traders are revisiting their pandemic playbook |
| Made with AI by Opening Bell Daily |
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“We are so back.” |
Few words mark the rallying cry of retail traders quite like those — and the quip has been impossible to miss to start the week thanks to investor Keith Gill’s first tweet in three years. |
On Sunday night, Gill, also known as Roaring Kitty, tweeted a doodle of a man leaning forward in a chair holding a gaming controller. |
As of early Tuesday morning, it’s been viewed about 23 million times. |
| Roaring Kitty @TheRoaringKitty | |
| | | | May 13, 2024 | | |
| 111K Likes 22.1K Retweets 10.8K Replies |
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The post included zero words, but an army of Redditors and meme-stock enthusiasts seemed to know exactly what it meant: The man of WallStreetBets fame was back. |
When markets closed Monday, GameStop had soared 74%. It continued climbing in after-hours trading. |
Shares of AMC, Reddit, and various GameStop-themed cryptocurrencies also spiked. |
Still, several analysts I spoke with remain skeptical that anything today could ever match the meme-stock pandemonium of 2021, back when Gill first led legions of everyday traders to buy up shares of GameStop as hedge funds bet against it. |
Like last time, Wall Street pros don’t appear to be taking it seriously. |
Here are some words my sources are using to describe what’s going on: |
“Something to ignore” “Detached from reality” “Silly” “Not going to end well [for retail investors]” “Social media isn’t reliable for market sentiment” |
Since I don’t work on Wall Street, that makes me a retail investor by default. Perhaps that makes me more open to paying attention here, but I can’t say I’m confident in how this will unfold for anyone betting on memes. |
We aren’t sitting at home during a pandemic anymore, for one. |
Plus, the free money people received from the government has largely been spent at this point. Any gambling funds now have to come out of pocket. |
Finally, GameStop itself is in a different position at this point. |
In 2021 the company saw an absurd 140% of available shares being shorted. A consequence of that was anyone betting on the stock to fall saw unusually painful losses as it climbed. |
That figure hovers now at roughly 24%, according to AP data. |
Gill, meanwhile, had laid out an admittedly compelling bull-case for the stock during the pandemic. But much of his prognosis has yet to come to fruition. |
Maybe “we are so back” will always be a relevant tweet anytime memes are involved. |
But it’s hard to imagine a return to anything close to how things once were — for retail traders, markets, and GameStop itself. |
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*At a glance: |
| *Data as of Monday 12 a.m. ET |
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Elsewhere: |
Things are good at Goldman Sachs. CEO David Solomon said he sees an uptick in IPO activity and dealmaking — and the bank’s stock recently hit a record. (Bloomberg) Europe’s economy may never rival the US again. The bloc across the pond has underperformed American growth and dynamism for years. EU policymakers are scrambling for solutions. (FT) ChatGPT just got a huge upgrade. In a Monday event, OpenAI revealed GPT-4o, which features a more realistic voice, “eyes” and a package that resembles something like a robo-assistant. (Business Insider) |
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Rapid-fire: |
Melinda Gates is resigning from the Gates Foundation (WSJ) Cocoa prices plunged 19% on new rain forecasts (Bloomberg) A batch of US metros still haven’t recovered from the pandemic recession (Business Insider) Walmart is cutting hundreds of corporate jobs (WSJ) Two huge China banks are set to sell $8.3 billion of loss-absorbing bond sales (Bloomberg) |
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Last thing: |
| The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter | |
| BREAKING: Gamestop, $GME, is now indicated to open at $40.00 for the first time since August 2022. The stock is up 31% in after hours trading and 130% today. Gamestop is now one of the top 600 largest public companies in the US. | | | May 14, 2024 | | |
| 689 Likes 93 Retweets 40 Replies |
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