The latest moves in crypto markets, in context By Jamie Crawley, CoinDesk News Reporter Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Sign up here. |
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Happy Friday! Here’s what you need to know in crypto today. |
BTC trades below $68,000.Microsoft recommends shareholders vote against assessing BTC as an inflationary hedge.Canadian custodian Balance wants to bring ETF assets "back home." |
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CoinDesk 20 Index: 2,081.93 +0.82% Bitcoin (BTC): $67,929.41 +1.33% Ether (ETH): $2,539.37 +0.56% S&P 500: 5,809.86 +0.21% Gold: $2,723.02 -0.42% Nikkei 225: 37,913.92 -0.6% |
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Bitcoin traded between $67,500-$67,900 during the European morning following a retreat from above $68,000. BTC remains over 1.3% higher in the last 24 hours, outperforming other major tokens, which have posted more modest gains. ETH and SOL have risen around 0.75%, while DOGE is up nearly 1%. The broader digital asset market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index, has risen just under 0.8%. Bitcoin looks on course to close the week over 1% lower, according to CoinDesk Indices data, having failed to sustain any of its ascents north of $68,000. |
The board of Microsoft has recommended shareholders vote against a proposal for the company to assess bitcoin as an inflationary hedge. In a filing with the SEC on Thursday, Microsoft laid out issues to discuss at the company’s next shareholder meeting. One of the proposals suggests that the tech firm should look into bitcoin to hedge against inflation and other macroeconomic influences. “As the proposal itself notes, volatility is a factor to consider in evaluating cryptocurrency investments for corporate treasury applications that require stable and predictable investments to ensure liquidity and operational funding. Microsoft has strong and appropriate processes in place to manage and diversify its corporate treasury for the long-term benefit of shareholders and this requested public assessment is unwarranted,” it said. Balance, Canada’s long-standing crypto custodian, finally attained qualified custodian status this week, prompting the firm’s CEO, George Bordianu, to say it’s time to start bringing the country’s ETF digital assets “back home.” Bordianu is alluding to the fact that the safekeeping of crypto assets underlying funds issued by ETF providers 3iQ, Purpose Investments and Evolve, end up in sub-custody arrangements and held by blue chip U.S. exchanges like Coinbase and Gemini, rather than remaining on Canadian soil. “We have billions worth of retail assets in Canada’s crypto ETFs that sit in the United States,” Bordianu said in an interview. “We're trying to simplify the picture, to make it cheaper and a little bit easier for new asset managers to do a few more ETF and mutual funds in Canada.” |
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Market Insight: BTC Has Less Than 10% Chance of Hitting $100K By Year-End, Says Options Market |
The bitcoin options market is assigning a low probability of BTC reaching $100,000 by the end of the year. Dominant exchange Deribit is showing a 9.58% chance of BTC topping the $100,000 mark by the end of December, according to data source Deribit Metrics. The near 10% figure may seem puzzling to the bulls, given the market has moved beyond the supply overhang fears of the second and third quarters and is reportedly on an bullish trajectory, largely due to the Federal Reserve's renewed bias for interest rate cuts. That said, it seems consistent with the steady bitcoin implied volatility, suggesting that market participants don't expect wild moves in the short term. Deribit's bitcoin implied volatility index (DVOL), which shows expected price turbulence over 30 days in annualized terms, remains locked between the three-month range of 50% to 60%, well below the 2024 high of 85% hit in March. |
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The chart shows bitcoin's options-based implied volatility and forward implied volatility, which is the projected volatility of BTC over the coming months.The higher forward IV for the Nov. 8 expiry indicates expectations for price turbulence likely stemming from the U.S. election result.The 72% annualized forward IV figure means traders expect a price swing of around 3.8% on that day. Source: Amberdata |
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Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments. |
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