Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, September 30, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Busy European Data Day, Quiet in U.S.

There was both good and bad news in the euro zone data.

Europe Daily Briefing: Euro Zone's Unbelievable Labour Market

Spain's GDP growth is coming off the boil.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Much to Digest

China's manufacturing rallied a bit, while Japan's retail trade spiked ahead of October's tax hike.

Economic Roundup: U.S. Consumer Fatigue Sets In

Spending was weak in August, but it's too early to panic.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, September 30, 2019

The ISM manufacturing survey should edge higher in September.

Vietnam Outlook: Tiptoeing Toward the Winner’s Circle

Despite risks to the downside, the country will remain one of the world's fastest-growing economies.

U.S. Federal Outlook: Multipliers and the Next Recession

Brief White House consideration of a payroll tax cut revived debate about the efficacy of various cuts.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 27 September, 2019

On the Brexit front, things will be hectic.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Germany
Retail Sales
Aug. 2019: 0.5%
German retail sales grew in real terms by 0.5% m/m in August after falling by an upwardly revised 0.8% in July.

Spain
GDP
2019Q2: 0.5%
Spanish GDP increased in the second quarter, up 0.5% on a quarterly basis and 2.3% on a yearly basis.

Thailand
Foreign Trade
Aug. 2019: US$3.6 bil
Thailand's trade surplus widened to US$3.6 billion in August from US$1.7 billion in July.

Italy
Unemployment
Aug. 2019: 9.5%
Italy’s unemployment rate ticked down to 9.5% in August, its lowest since 2011.

Germany
Unemployment
Sep. 2019: 5.0%
Germany's seasonally adjusted unemployment held steady at 5% in September, while the seasonally adjusted number of unemployed fell by 10,000.

United Kingdom
GDP - Quarterly
2019Q2: -0.2%
Final numbers confirmed that U.K.

Euro Zone
Unemployment
Aug. 2019: 7.4%
Beating all expectations, the euro zone’s jobless rate fell to 7.4% in August, its lowest in more than 11 years.

Chile
Employment
Aug. 2019: 7.2%
The national unemployment rate averaged 7.2% in the June-August rolling quarter, down from 7.3% a year earlier.

Chile
Manufacturing Production
Aug. 2019: -1.55%
Manufacturing production adjusted down in August, with annual growth affected by the high volume reported a year earlier, though total industry advanced further.

Canada
Industrial Product and Raw Materials Price Indexes
Aug. 2019: 0.2%
The industrial product price index rose 0.2% in August after falling 0.3% in July.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
September 27: 11.8
Global business sentiment is soft, but has stabilized in recent weeks.

United States
Risk of Recession
Aug. 2019: 13%
The odds that the U.S. will be in recession in the next six months didn’t budge in August, coming in at 13%.

United States
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Sep. 2019: 1.5
Current factory activity in Texas grew in September, though the pace eased somewhat. Most current component indicators remained positive, showing no signs of impending contraction.

South Korea
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2019:

South Korea
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2019:

Japan
Employment Situation
Aug. 2019:

Japan
Tankan Survey
2019Q3:

Australia
Monetary Policy
Sep. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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