Today's Economy Economic Roundup: Fed Searching for New North Star The Fed is deemphasizing the unemployment rate gap, but maybe it should turn to prime EPOP. Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Retail Sales Continued to Beat Consensus But this strength won’t be sustained in the coming months. Canada Weekly: New Motor Vehicle Sales Gain Ground The industry is making a recovery after being rocked by the pandemic. Fed Still Needs a Guiding Star for the Labor Market Policymakers should focus on the prime-age employment-to-population ratio, not unemployment. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview: 18 September, 2020 We expect flash PMIs to show confidence faltered across most countries at the end of Q3. U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: Reason for Optimism The labor market continues to heal from the crisis. Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, September 18, 2020 Argentina GDP and unemployment data will show a sharp deterioration in the second quarter. Americans Clocked Out and Dined Out in Early September Regional labor markets are exhibiting fatigue, but restaurants show signs of life. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United Kingdom Retail Sales Aug. 2020: 0.8% U.K. retail sales rose 0.8% m/m in August after a 3.7% increase in July, marking the fourth consecutive month of gains and bringing sales 4% above their February levels. Russian Federation Monetary Policy Sep. 2020: 4.25% The Central Bank of Russia held the repo rate steady at 4.25% at its September meeting. Uruguay GDP 2020Q2: Russian Federation Retail Sales Aug. 2020: -2.7% The recovery in Russian retail took a pause in August. Canada Retail Trade Jul. 2020: 0.6% Having fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, Canadian retail resumed a slower pace of growth in July. Canada Wholesale Trade Jul. 2020: 4.3% The wholesale sales recovery extended into a third month, rising 4.3% to a record C$65 billion in July, following an 18.5% gain in June. United States Current Account 2020Q2: -$170.5 bil The U.S. current account deficit ballooned in the second quarter as the COVID-19 pandemic upended global trade and income flows. United States Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index September 16: 76.2 The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index reveals a decline in the recent week. United States University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey Sep. 2020: 78.9 Somewhat surprisingly given the economy seems to have gone flat, consumer sentiment turned higher in September. United States Regional and State Employment Aug. 2020: State and regional employment numbers for August provide more evidence that the worst of the economic fallout from the global pandemic is behind us but that the pace of improvement is moderating and there is still a long way to go before returning to pre-virus levels of activity. Russian Federation Unemployment Aug. 2020: 6.4% The Russian labor market is still grappling with COVID-19 but is showing signs of improvement. United States Conference Board Leading Indicators Aug. 2020: 1.2% Aligning with other data from August, leading economic indicators suggest a decelerating recovery. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |