Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Show Me the Data!

U.S. economic data will need to justify another rate cut; Powell's not worried about the repo market.

Europe Daily Briefing: Bank of England Won't Cut This Year

Underlying inflation pressures should build this year and into the next.

Equity Analysts May Be Too Optimistic Regarding Containment of Labor Costs

The high-yield bond market has yet to exhibit the high anxiety of equities.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Devil in the Details in Japan's Trade Data

Japan's narrower trade deficit masks weakness in imports and exports to major trade partners.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Plumbing Clogged in Repo Markets

Bad timing and technical issues are likely to blame rather than a crisis of confidence.

U.S. Chartbook: Keep Calm and Shop On

Consumers' pocketbooks stay open in the face of rising headwinds.

After Attack in Saudi Arabia, Code Red

The attack on the Saudi oil infrastructure brings Saudi Arabia, Iran and the U.S. to the brink.

Global Outlook: In the Downswing

Recession fears increase as trade uncertainty and geopolitical risks linger.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index
Aug. 2019: 1.7%
The U.K.’s CPI inflation cooled to 1.7% y/y in August from 2.1% in July, below our expectations and marking the lowest reading since late 2016.

Euro Zone
Consumer Price Index
Aug. 2019: 1.0%
Final numbers confirmed that euro zone inflation held steady at 1% y/y in August, in line with the initial estimate.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
September 13: -0.1%
Mortgage applications ticked down 0.1% over the week of September 13, with the refinance and purchases indexes moving in opposite directions.

United States
New Residential Construction (C20)
Aug. 2019: 1.364 mil
Housing starts recovered in August, gaining 12.3% above the revised July estimate and being 6.6% above total starts from August 2018.

Canada
Consumer Price Index
Aug. 2019: 1.9%
Consumer price inflation softened slightly in August as gasoline and food prices dipped lower.

Russian Federation
Retail Sales
Aug. 2019: 0.8%
Retail sales growth slowed to 0.8% y/y in August from 1% in July.

Russian Federation
Unemployment
Aug. 2019: 4.3%

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
September 13: 143.6
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index continues to increase as it climbed from a revised 143 to 143.6 in the week ended September 13.

United States
Oil Inventories
September 13: 417.1 mil barrels
Commercial crude oil inventories increased by 1.1 million barrels in the week ending September 13, according to the Energy Information Administration.

United States
FOMC Monetary Policy
Sep. 2019: 1.75 to 2.00%
Divided they cut.

Brazil
Monetary Policy
Sep. 2019:

New Zealand
GDP
2019Q2:

Australia
Employment Situation
Aug. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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