Today's Economy Hurricane Florence and the U.S. Economy We address some questions about the economics of the storm. Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Wages Pick Up, but Employment Slows The labour market may be less tight than the jobless rate suggests, so wages won't rise much further. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: What if Monetary Tightening Gets More Aggressive? Central banks in Asia's emerging markets are poised to tighten further, hurting GDP growth. Another Day, Another Drop by the Shanghai Composite Meanwhile, slower growth of residential rents has big implications for core CPI inflation. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Road to Recession: Boom Phase Under Way The U.S. economy is in good shape and remains in a mid-cycle expansion. U.S. Chartbook: The Fed Gets the Green Light Strong U.S. job growth and firming wage growth support the plan to raise rates this month. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, September 7, 2018 The CPI will be scrutinized even further following the August employment report. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 7 September, 2018 The BoE and the ECB will each hold a monetary policy meeting Thursday; neither will be decisive. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United Kingdom Unemployment Aug. 2018: 4% The U.K.'s jobless rate held steady at 4% in the July quarter, its lowest since 1975, matching the consensus. United States NFIB Small Business Survey Aug. 2018: 108.8 The NFIB small business optimism index increased from 107.9 in July to 108.8, coming in better than we had anticipated. Canada Housing Starts Aug. 2018: 201 ths The pace of new residential construction ticked down in August. Mexico Industrial Production Jul. 2018: 1.3% Mexico’s industry advanced slowly in July, reporting low growth. Russian Federation Foreign Trade Jul. 2018: US$13.4 bil Russia’s trade surplus retreated seasonally in July. United States Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Jul. 2018: 4.4% openings rate Data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey are consistent with other labor market indicators in showing ongoing strength. United States Wholesale Trade (MWTR) Jul. 2018: 0.6% The inventory build is picking up speed. United States Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index September 07: 107.5 U.S. economic policy uncertainty remains elevated, but we don’t believe the economic costs are significant. China Monetary Aggregates Aug. 2018: Uruguay Industrial Production Jul. 2018: 20.5% Uruguay’s index of industrial production continues to notch impressive annual gains. South Korea Employment Aug. 2018: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |