Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, October 16, 2020

Today's Economy


A Drop in Remittances Spells Trouble for the Philippines

Muted spending during the summer and a slowdown in the global recovery stunted remittance flows.

Economic Roundup: The Harder You Fall, the Higher You Bounce

Third-quarter GDP tracking gets a boost from strong September retail sales.

A Big Jump in Our Tracking Estimate of Q3 GDP

Retail sales were strong in September but favorable seasonals helped juice growth.

COVID-19 Policy Tracker: No Stimulus This Week

Policy will remain a key differentiator of country performance.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: Optimism and Concern

The economy lost some momentum but is holding up well.

Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview: October 16, 2020

Two new datapoints will round out the economic picture for August.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 16 October, 2020

September retail sales likely fell in both the U.K. and Russia.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview: 16 October, 2020

Japan's exports can't overcome weak global demand.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Euro Zone
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2020: -0.3%
Final numbers confirmed that euro zone consumer prices fell by 0.3% y/y in September, adding to the 0.2% drop in August.

Euro Zone
External Trade
Aug. 2020: €14.7 bil
The euro zone’s not seasonally adjusted trade surplus in goods increased to €14.7 billion in August 2020 from €14.4 billion a year earlier.

Italy
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2020: -0.6%
Italy's headline CPI fell by 0.6% y/y in September, for the fifth month in a row, below preliminary estimates of a 0.5% drop.

Canada
International Transactions in Securities
Aug. 2020: C$15.5 bil
Foreign investors reversed course in August and increased their holdings of Canadian assets, while Canadians continued to invest abroad.

Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Aug. 2020: -2.0%
Manufacturing slipped in August with sales falling by 2% to C$52.4 billion for the month.

United States
Retail Sales
Sep. 2020: 1.9%
Retail sales growth exceeded expectations and our above-consensus forecast despite the fact that in total the recovery is nearly complete.

United States
Industrial Production
Sep. 2020: -0.6%
U.S. industrial production fell 0.6% in September, its first decrease in the last five months.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Aug. 2020: 0.3%
Business inventories reversed their decline again in August, though by less than expected.

United States
Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index
October 14: 81.3
The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal index remains unchanged this week, coming in at 81.3.

United States
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey
Oct. 2020: 81.2
U.S. consumer sentiment added modestly to its September gains in October despite the economy barely growing.

United States
Median usual weekly earnings
2020Q3: 8.2%
Nominal wage growth posted another solid gain in the third quarter.

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Aug. 2020: $27.8 bil
Net long-term capital flows were positive for the fourth straight month in August.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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