Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Today's Economy


Europe Daily Briefing: Euro Zone Factories Still Open for Business

U.K. unemployment beat expectations, dropping to 3.8% in the first quarter.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Two Sides to the Story

Knowing China’s perspective makes it easier to appreciate why reaching agreement has been difficult.

Implied Probability of a Fed Rate Cut by Year’s End Approaches 75%

The 10-year Treasury yield was down to 2.4% for its lowest close since the 2.38% of March 27.

Economic Roundup: I’ll See You and Raise You

China retaliates after the U.S. increases tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imported goods.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Tariffs Tracker: This Could Hurt

The trade war has gone from bad to worse.

Debt Ceiling Tracker: Taxpayers’ Pain, Treasury’s Gain

After a favorable filing season, Treasury expands its headroom under the reinstated limit.

Trade War Update: Will Trump Push Too Far?

The dispute is a costly and likely ineffective way of getting China to reform.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, May 13, 2019

Trade-war tensions will remain in the spotlight.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Canada
RPS House Price Index
Apr. 2019: -0.2%
House prices rose 0.1% in April across the 13 largest Canadian markets; however, year-ago price growth slowed to -0.2% from 0% in March.

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2019: 1.8%
Germany's national measure of inflation accelerated further in April to 1.8% y/y, seasonally adjusted, after ticking up to 1.6% in March.

Spain
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2019: 1.5%
Spain’s consumer price index increased to 1.5% in April on a year-ago basis.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
Apr. 2019: 3.8%
Beating all expectations, the U.K.’s jobless rate fell to 3.8% during the March quarter, its lowest in 44 years.

Euro Zone
Industrial Production
Mar. 2019: -0.3%
Euro zone industrial production fell by 0.3% m/m in March, building on an upwardly revised 0.1% decline in February.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Apr. 2019: 103.5
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased in April, but this could prove short-lived, as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China escalated in May.

United States
Import and Export Prices
Apr. 2019: 0.2%
U.S. import prices rose less than expected in April, and the details suggest that upward pressure on core consumer prices isn’t significant yet.

Canada
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Mar. 2019: -2.0%
New-vehicle sales are recovering from their late-2018 tumble but still trail their pace from a year prior.

United States
MBA Delinquency Rates
2019Q1: 4.42%
Mortgage performance declined in the first quarter of 2019.

United States
NAR Metro Prices
2019Q1: 3.9%
Single-family home prices continue to appreciate, but the pace is slowing, according to first quarter data.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
May 10: 126.0
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index hit 126 in the week ended May 10, and there were some downward revisions to prior weeks.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Mar. 2019: 3.2%
Manufacturing output expanded 3.2% y/y in March after 2.8% in the previous month.

South Korea
Employment
Apr. 2019:

Indonesia
Foreign Trade
Apr. 2019:

China
Fixed Asset Investment
Apr. 2019:

China
Industrial Production
Apr. 2019:

China
Retail Sales
Apr. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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