Today's Economy Nudging Up Our Estimates of U.S. GDP Q4 growth is now tracking 2.9% while Q1 is at 2.4%. Euro Zone Has More to Lose in a Trade War The single-currency area’s economy is much more open, and its trade surplus with the U.S. is huge. The Great Labor Market Experiment The Fed shouldn't panic; it should let the good times roll. China's Distorted February Data The Lunar New Year bias is at play; Q1 GDP growth tracking at 6.7% y/y. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 9 March, 2018 The Phillips curve is not dead. Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 9 March, 2018 China's January-February activity data will show the usual Lunar New Year distortion. Latin America Economic Preview: 12-16 March Industry underperforms in Colombia and Mexico and rebounds in Uruguay. Canada Outlook: A Growing Unease A strong economy faces mounting downside risks. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan Monetary Policy Mar. 2018: ¥80 tril. The Bank of Japan kept its policy levers unchanged in the March monetary policy meeting. France Industrial Production Jan. 2018: -2.0% France's industrial production disappointed and plunged by 2% m/m in January, while December’s rise was revised down by 0.3 percentage point to 0.2%. Spain Industrial Production Jan. 2018: -2.6% Spain’s industrial production unexpectedly lost ground in January. Germany Industrial Production Jan. 2018: 0.1% German industrial production came in weaker than expected, shedding 0.1% over the month in January, following a mild drop in December. United Kingdom Industrial Production Jan. 2018: 1.3% U.K. industrial production rose by 1.3% m/m in January, a little above both the consensus and our expectations of a 1% increase and fully reversing a diametrically opposed decline in December. Brazil Consumer Price Index Feb. 2018: 2.84% Annual inflation adjusted down a little more in February as prices moderated. Peru Monetary Policy Mar. 2018: 2.75% Central bank officials delivered another dose of monetary stimulus in their March meeting, lowering the key reference rate 25 basis points to 2.75%. Canada Industrial Capacity Utilization 2017Q4: 86.0% Canada’s goods producers are performing well. Canada Labor Force Survey Feb. 2018: 5.8% Following January's dismal labor market report, February provided little good news. United States Employment Situation Feb. 2018: 313,000 Payroll growth soared in February. United States Wholesale Trade (MWTR) Jan. 2018: 0.8% The stockpile build came in hot in January, but falling sales bode ill for future growth. United States ECRI Weekly Leading Index March 02: 149.3 The U.S. economy is running smoothly, and signs point to more of the same for the months ahead. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |