| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: The Calming Effect of U.S. Initial Claims The trend looks more solid and has distanced itself from our estimate of the break-even level. Q4 U.S. GDP Revised Lower but Trend Remains Solid The biggest surprise was net exports, now shown to be less of a drag. Turkey Falls Into Recession The country’s woes continued as GDP fell in the third and fourth quarters of 2018. Europe Daily Briefing: More Gloom, More Uncertainty Sentiment has soured in the euro zone, while Brexit gets murkier by the day. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Brazil Outlook: Advancing With Stability The recovery will strengthen in 2019. U.S. Chartbook: Don’t Call It a Comeback The economy wobbled into 2019 but a turnaround appears to be under way. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 22, 2019 Fourth quarter GDP will likely be revised lower, to 2.1%. U.S. Employment Outlook: Immigration and the Labor Force If all immigration stopped, labor force growth would be cut by more than half in coming decades. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Euro Zone
Business and Consumer Sentiment
Mar. 2019: 105.5
The euro zone's business and consumer sentiment index dropped 0.7 point to 105.5. United States
Jobless Claims
March 23: 211,000
The collective psyche and the labor market are critical in ensuring that the soft patch in the U.S. economy doesn’t turn into anything worse. United States
GDP
2018Q4: 2.2%
Fourth-quarter U.S. United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
March 22: -1.28
The St. United States
Pending Home Sales
Feb. 2019: 101.9
The pending home sales index edged down 1% to 101.9 in February on a seasonally adjusted basis. Colombia
Monetary Policy
Mar. 2019: 4.25%
Colombia’s central bank board left the reference interest rate unchanged in March. United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
March 22: -36 bil cubic feet
The decline in natural gas inventories was roughly in line with analyst expectations, which will have little effect on gas prices. United States
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Mar. 2019: 10
Manufacturing conditions within the 10th District accelerated in March, as the composite index rose from 1 in February to 10 in March. Mexico
Monetary Policy
Mar. 2019: 8.25%
The Central Bank of Mexico kept monetary conditions on pause in March as inflation recedes. United States
Agricultural Prices
Feb. 2019: 4.9%
The Agricultural Prices Received Index rose 4.9% in February thanks to a rebound in the crop production index. Argentina
Economic Activity Indicator
Jan. 2019: -5.7%
The Argentina statistics office’s monthly economic activity index (IMAE) fell 5.7% y/y in January after dropping 6.6% in the previous month. South Korea
Retail Sales
Feb. 2019:
Japan
Employment Situation
Feb. 2019:
Japan
Industrial Production
Feb. 2019:
Japan
Retail Sales
Feb. 2019:
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