Today's Economy Economic Roundup: Kicking the Can U.K. vote against a no-deal Brexit suggests an extension of Article 50 is coming. Surprises in Latest U.S. Data Durable goods orders and construction spending lowered our tracking estimate for Q4 GDP but nudged Q1 higher. Europe Daily Briefing: Brexit Eclipses Spring Statement Any fiscal stimulus measures will wait until a Brexit deal is struck. High-Default Rate’s Projected Slide Implicitly Assumes an Expansion of Profits Into 2020 Since 1982, the growth of profits has helped to assure adequate systemic liquidity. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary What Happens After May's Bitter Defeat? An extension of Article 50 is likely, but this doesn’t mean Brexit is resolved. The Next Budget Battle in Washington DC Trump’s budget, though a wish list, kicks off the next showdown over the federal budget. U.S. Chartbook: Economy Hits a Big Bump A trifecta of factors will cause GDP growth to be soft this quarter. Global Outlook: Weaker Growth, Pervasive Downside Risks Elevated geopolitical risks threaten to accelerate the slowdown in global demand. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Spain Consumer Price Index Feb. 2019: 1.1% Spain's inflation rose 1.1% in year-ago terms in February, insignificantly different from the 1% rise in January, as clothing sales are assumed to be an ongoing drag on the prices. Euro Zone Industrial Production Jan. 2019: 1.4% Euro zone industrial production rose by an above-consensus 1.4% m/m in January, fully reversing December’s 0.9% fall. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey March 08: 2.3% In the week ended March 8, the mortgage market picked back up, with the top-line market index increasing 2.3%. Brazil Industrial Production Jan. 2019: -2.6% Though Brazil's national industry stayed in negative territory at the start of the year, it reported a milder contraction. United States Producer Price Index Feb. 2019: 0.1% Producer prices pose little immediate threat to U.S. inflationary dynamics. United States Durable Goods (Advance) Jan. 2019: 0.4% New orders for durable manufactured goods increased 0.4% in January, their third consecutive monthly advance. United States Internet Sales (E-Commerce Sales) 2018Q4: $132.8 bil Internet sales are making robust gains, even as total retail sales weaken. Mexico Industrial Production Jan. 2019: -0.9% Mexico’s industry started the year with an extended annual contraction, typical of the political transition. United States Construction Spending (C30) Jan. 2019: 1.3% Construction spending increased 1.3% from the revised December estimate, solidly above consensus expectations of a 0.4% increase. United States Oil Inventories March 08: 449.1 mil barrels An unexpected decline in oil inventories will put upward pressure on oil prices. China Fixed Asset Investment Feb. 2019: China Industrial Production Feb. 2019: China Retail Sales Jan. 2019: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |