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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, June 20, 2025

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: More Than Meets the Eye

The Conference Board's leading economic index is signaling a recession, but it may be a false positive.

Geopolitical Tracker: The World Awaits Trump's Next Move

World leaders have called for de-escalation between Israel and Iran as the U.S. considers deeper involvement.

Europe Daily Briefing: Lacklustre Consumer Sentiment Holding Back U.K. Retail Sales

U.K. sales suffered the largest year-over-year decline in 12 months; European energy prices rise.

Europe Daily Briefing: Holding Patterns

Central banks in the U.K. and Türkiye hold rates steady amid rising geopolitical uncertainty.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, June 20, 2025

We forecast a modest gain in the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for June.

G-7 Economies Are Stuttering

Our nowcasts for second-quarter growth have weakened, given a disappointing run of economic data.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 20 June 2025

Monetary policy and inflation dominated this week's headlines.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights & Preview, 20 June 2025

The Bank of Thailand is likely to cut interest rates.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Malaysia
Foreign Trade
May. 2025: MYR766 mil
Malaysia’s trade surplus was MYR766 million in May, down from a revised MYR5.1 billion in April.

United Kingdom
Retail Sales
May. 2025: -2.7% m/m
U.K. retail sales plunged 2.7% month on month in May, fully reversing April’s 1.3% gain and bringing sales to their lowest level since December.

Hong Kong SAR (China)
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 1.9% y/y
Hong Kong's headline composite consumer price index rose 1.9% year over year in May, 0.1 percentage point lower than the April reading.

Canada
New Housing Price Index
May. 2025: -1.0% y/y
Canada's housing market, after showing initial signs of recovery late last year, has experienced a further pullback in May, marking the second consecutive month of decline.

Canada
Industrial Product and Raw Materials Price Indexes
May. 2025: -0.5% m/m
In May, the Industrial Product Price Index fell 0.5% after dropping 0.8% in the previous month.

Canada
Retail Trade
Apr. 2025: 0.3% m/m
Retail sales posted another tepid gain of 0.3% to C$70.1 billion in April, following March's 0.8% rise, after declines in January and February.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Survey
Jun. 2025: -4.0
Manufacturers in the Fed’s Third District noted another contraction in activity in June.

United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
May. 2025: -0.1%
Consistent with our above-consensus forecast, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index fell 0.1% in May.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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