Today's Economy U.S. Q2 GDP Tracking Is Getting Closer to Being Negative Housing starts cut second-quarter GDP to 0.7% at an annualized rate. ECB’s Unscheduled Meeting Helps, but Only So Much The meeting signaled that the central bank is monitoring the situation, but no real news. U.S. Retail Inventories Are High Discounts on excess goods could slow inflation, at least in some segments. LatAm Daily Briefing: Mexico’s Transitory Inflation Moderation A government-induced slowdown offers a brief respite from inflation’s ongoing gallop. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Russia-Ukraine Tracker: Fierce Fighting and a Food Crisis Time is running out for policymakers to help get grain trapped in Ukraine into global markets. Japan Risk Matrix: Stumbling Forward External disruptions are adding to domestic weakness. Bond Markets Didn’t Like What ECB Told Them Last Week The central bank’s June meeting revealed a shift in mood, resulting in a dramatic repricing. Northern Ireland Protocol: Risks Connected to Brexit Reemerge A negotiated resolution remains our baseline assumption, but downside risks have increased. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Netherlands Unemployment May. 2022: 3.3% Despite the ongoing tightness in labour conditions, the unemployment rate rose from 3.2% in April to 3.3% in May. Switzerland Monetary Policy Jun. 2022: -0.25% The Swiss National Bank unexpectedly hiked its policy rate and the interest rate on sight deposits by 50 basis points to -0.25%. Italy Consumer Price Index May. 2022: 6.8% y/y Italy’s headline year-on-year inflation rate climbed to 6.8% in May, after declining in April. Canada Wholesale Trade Apr. 2022: -0.5% m/m Wholesale trade dropped in April, with sales volume declining for the third consecutive month. United States Jobless Claims June 11: 229,000 U.S. initial claims for unemployment insurance can be volatile around holidays, but if they don’t drop more over the next couple of weeks it would suggest that the labor market is softening. United States Philadelphia Fed Survey Jun. 2022: -3.3 Slipping further in June, manufacturing activity in the Federal Reserve’s Third District is no longer shown to be expanding. United States New Residential Construction (C20) May. 2022: 1.549 mil, SAAR The Federal Reserve is getting what it wants as financial market conditions tighten and interest-rate-sensitive parts of the economy respond to the removal of monetary policy accommodation. United Kingdom Monetary Policy and Minutes Jun. 2022: 1.25% The Bank of England raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at this month’s meeting—in line with market expectations and marking the fifth consecutive rise since December. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index June 10: -1.51 U.S. financial market stress increased for the first time in a month with the St. United States Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index June 10: 371.5 4-wk MA The four-week moving average in our U.S. United States Natural Gas Storage Report June 10: 92 bil cubic feet Last week’s build in gas stocks was just a hair under consensus expectations, so this report will do little to move gas prices. Uruguay GDP 2022Q1: 8.3% y/y Singapore Foreign Trade May. 2022: Japan Monetary Policy Jun. 2022: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |