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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, June 12, 2025

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Another Tame Inflation Report

U.S. producer prices ticked up 0.1% in May, or 2.6% on a year-ago basis.

European Daily Briefing: No Surprises From Today's CPI Data

CPI growth varied but is converging to target; downtrodden April data from the U.K.

Economic Roundup: Mild in May

The 0.1% rise in the headline figure aligned with the Moody’s Analytics forecast but was weaker than consensus expectations of a 0.2% rise.

European Daily Briefing: Slowing Wages, Summer Travel Still On

Negotiated wage growth to ease; foreign plans to travel ease but remain strong.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Risk Matrix: Flagging Foreign Investment China Chartbook: Stuck in First Gear

London trade talks offer some relief.

U.S. Household Debt Tracker: Getting Stressed

The delinquency rate on first mortgages jumped 15 basis points in May to 2.13%, the highest since September 2018.

Could U.S. Consumers Weather a Storm?

Maybe, kinda, sorta, a little better than some past storms.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Netherlands
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 3.3% y/y
Dutch headline inflation fell to 3.3% y/y in May from 4.1% in April, marking the lowest rate since January.

United Kingdom
Monthly GDP
Apr. 2025: -0.3% m/m
The 0.3% month-on-month fall in U.K.

Ireland
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 1.7% y/y
Inflation in Ireland dropped back to 1.7% in May, as transport prices weighed more heavily on the headline rate, and mortgage interest costs are no longer adding to price pressures. Meanwhile, utilities and local charges rose, up 1.2% y/y.

India
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 2.82% y/y
In May, India’s consumer price index grew 2.8% year over year, down significantly from 3.2% in the prior month.

Portugal
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 2.3% y/y
Portugal’s headline inflation rate rose slightly in May to 2.3%, from 2.1% in April.

Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Apr. 2025: 4.8% y/y
Household consumption reported an annual rebound in April after a contraction in the previous month.

World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
May. 2025: 3.7% y/y
Moody’s estimate of global consumer price inflation was 3.7% y/y in May, unchanged from April.

United States
Jobless Claims
June 07: 248,000
U.S. initial claims for unemployment insurance remain elevated.

United States
Producer Price Index
May. 2025: 0.1% m/m
In May, the U.S. producer price index ticked up 0.1%.

United States
Quarterly Services Survey
2025Q1: 1.0% q/q
In the first quarter, revenue growth in U.S. service industries held steady.

United States
State and Local Government Tax Revenue
2025Q1: 5.8% y/y
State tax revenues have started the year strongly.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
June 06: -0.81
Financial market stress decreased last week.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
June 06: 109 bil cubic feet
Last week’s increase in natural gas stocks was not too far from analyst predictions, so this report will not move prices much.

United States
Financial Accounts - Households
2025Q1: $169.31 tril
Household wealth fell for the first time in a year and a half in the first quarter as equity prices fell, undermining the value of financial assets.

United States
Financial Accounts - Nonfinancial Corporate
2025Q1: $33.65 tril
Nonfinancial corporations' wealth rebounded to start the year.

Canada
RPS House Price Index
May. 2025: 1.8% y/y
The Canadian housing market slowed in May, with tariff uncertainty—rather than high interest rates—now largely responsible for keeping buyers on the sidelines.

Uruguay
Industrial Production
Apr. 2025: 7.2 % y/y
Industrial production in Uruguay recorded another impressive year-on-year increase of 7.2% in April, following a 16.2% rise in March.

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
May. 2025: 43.5% y/y
The national consumer price index increased 1.5% month on month in May, following a 2.8% rise the previous month and a 4.2% increase a year earlier.

Uruguay
GDP
2025Q1: 3.4% y/y
The Uruguayan economy began the year on a strong note, experiencing a growth rate of 3.4% in the first quarter.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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