Today's Economy Final Thoughts Ahead of June Employment We look for U.S. nonfarm employment to have risen 190,000 in June. Italy’s Banks Threaten Europe’s Financial Stability A solution is needed promptly, but a government bailout would go against EC rules. U.S. Banking System Can Weather Britain and Italy Exposure to the U.K. is significant, but there are few signs of dollar funding issues. U.S. June Retail Comes in Below Target The final week of the month shows modest gains in sales over last year. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Asia-Pacific Economic Preview: 11-15 July China's GDP will slow again. U.K. Decision to Break From the EU Is Helping U.S. Homeowners Refis are climbing and mortgage rates have room to fall. U.S. Chartbook: Dodging a Bullet, for Now Financial markets are weathering the U.K. break from the EU. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, July 1, 2016 June employment should ease fears that the job market has weakened. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United States California Manufacturing Survey 2016Q3: France Trade balance May. 2016: -€ 2.8 bil France's foreign trade deficit contracted to €2.8 billion seasonally adjusted in May after a revised €4.8 billion deficit in the previous month. United Kingdom Halifax Housing Price Index Jun. 2016: 8.4% The U.K. Germany Industrial Production May. 2016: -1.3% German industrial production fell 1.3% m/m in May, following a revised 0.5% increase in April. United Kingdom Industrial Production May. 2016: -0.5% The U.K. industrial production index fell 0.5% m/m in May after a 2.1% rebound in the previous month. United States Challenger Report Jun. 2016: 38,536 One of the first indications of June's labor market, the Challenger job cut report, points to continued health. United States ADP National Employment Report Jun. 2016: 172,000 The labor market remains on track, but the pace of growth is slowing compared with recent years. United States Jobless Claims July 02: 254,000 Swings in initial claims need to be interpreted carefully this time of year because of seasonal adjustment issues surrounding the Fourth of July holiday and the annual retooling by auto manufacturers. Canada Building Permits May. 2016: -1.9% Canadian building permit values weakened following an upwardly revised gain last month. Chile Foreign Trade Jun. 2016: -US$32.8 mil Chile's foreign trade balance reported a deficit of $32.8 million in June, its first deficit in eight months. Mexico Consumer Price Index Jun. 2016: 2.54% Mexico’s inflation remains below the 3% target, although it is feeling some pressures generated by currency depreciation. Canada Purchasing Managers' Index Jun. 2016: 51.7 The seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 51.7 in June from 49.4 in May. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index July 01: -0.928 Financial market stress decreased from the prior week as investor fears about the U.K.'s surprise decision to leave the European Union subsided. United States Natural Gas Storage Report July 01: 39 bil cubic feet Natural gas inventories built by less than analysts predicted, which will put upward pressure on prices. United States Oil Inventories July 01: 524.4 mil barrels A drop in crude oil inventories just shy of analyst predictions will put some downward pressure on prices. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |