Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, July 30, 2020

Today's Economy


Massive Stimulus Softens the Blow From Real GDP's Record Dive

Markets believe that the worst has passed for real GDP.

Economic Roundup: Bad News, Both Old and New

GDP contracted at a historic rate in the 2nd quarter, and labor market weakness has returned.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Pandemic Will Erase Years of Social Advances

Unemployment, and hence poverty, will soar to levels not seen in at least 15 years.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Japan's Retail Sales Pick Up a Notch

Retail sales improved after the state of emergency was lifted, but this is unlikely to last.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview: 31 July, 2020

The pandemic delivers a hit to South Korean trade.

U.S. Consumer Outlook: They're Buying Goods

Service spending will remain weak as headwinds buffet consumers.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, July 27, 2020

Our preliminary forecast is for GDP to have declined around 33% at an annualized rate in the second quarter.

U.S. Chartbook: A Recovery Meets Resistance

Data begin showing signs that the recovery may be losing traction.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Germany
Unemployment
Jul. 2020: 6.4%
The German unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.4% in July, beating our expectations for a second month in a row.

Italy
Unemployment
Jun. 2020: 8.8%
Italy’s employment situation worsened in June.

Euro Zone
Business and Consumer Sentiment
Jul. 2020: 82.3
The euro zone's business and consumer sentiment posted another sharp increase, rising 6.5 points to 82.3.

Euro Zone
Unemployment
Jun. 2020: 7.8%
The euro zone’s jobless rate edged up to 7.8% in June from an upwardly revised 7.7% in May, which is a small increase given the depth of the crisis.

Canada
Earnings, Hours and Employment
May. 2020: 10.4%
As May ended, gradual reopenings started to unfold across most provinces.

United States
Jobless Claims
July 25: 1,434,000
Seasonal factors are distorting weekly initial claims, but the increase in continuing claims is more concerning.

United States
GDP
2020Q2: -32.9%
The collapse in U.S.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
July 24: -0.46
The St.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
July 24: 26 bil cubic feet
Natural gas inventories rose by 26 billion cubic feet during the week ended July 24, slightly exceeding expectations of a 23-bcf build.

South Korea
Retail Sales
Jun. 2020:

Japan
Employment Situation
Jun. 2020:

China
Manufacturing PMI
Jul. 2020:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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