Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, July 20, 2017

Today's Economy


Be Skeptical, but Don't Ignore U.S. Initial Claims

Claims suggest job growth was very strong in July, but we don't buy into all the hype.

Timing of ECB's QE Change Is Uncertain

Europe's central bank shouldn't rush to adjust its policy stance.

Delving Into Our Aussie CPI Forecast

There's added downside risk following New Zealand's disappointing consumer price print.

Economic Briefing: Hawks Invading the ECB

The ECB will drop its QE bias at its July policy meeting.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Latin America Economic Preview: 24-28 July

Activity likely grew slowly in Argentina and Mexico, and Chile's industry will show improvement.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 21 July, 2017

Japan's inflation is going nowhere quickly.

Germany Outlook: Economy in High Gear

Despite robust expansion, imbalances are increasing because of ultra-low interest rates.

Thailand Outlook: Improvement Clouded by Uncertainty

The export-driven recovery is overshadowed by the continued weakness in investment.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Indonesia
Monetary Policy
Jul. 2017:

Japan
Monetary Policy
Jul. 2017: ¥80 tril.
The Bank of Japan has slowed its pace of asset purchases in recent months despite lowering its inflation forecast.

Germany
Producer Price Index
Jun. 2017: 2.4%
Producer prices rose 2.4% y/y in June, following a 2.8% increase in the previous month.

United Kingdom
Retail Sales
Jun. 2017: 2.9%
U.K. retail sales came in line with expectations and increased by 0.6% m/m in June, partially reversing May’s 1.1% decline.

Euro Zone
Monetary Policy
Jul. 2017: 0.0%
The European Central Bank made no significant changes to its monetary policy in July.

United States
Jobless Claims
July 15: 233,000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits in the week ended July 15 confirm the case for a steadily improving labor market.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Survey
Jul. 2017: 19.5
The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey disappointed in July, yet remains in positive territory.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
July 14: -1.505
The St.

United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
Jun. 2017: 0.6%
Better times appear to lie ahead for the U.S. economy.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
July 14: 28 bil cubic feet
Natural gas inventories increased by less than industry analysts were expecting, which will put upward pressure on prices.

Argentina
Retail Sales Index
May. 2017: 12.3%
The index that tracks nominal sales at Buenos Aires’ largest shopping centers increased 12.3% y/y in May, after 8.9% in the previous month.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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