Today's Economy Final Thoughts Ahead of U.S. Employment Weather, seasonals, annual revisions, minimum wage—all could be in play. Short-Term Russia Outlook Improves There is likely to be a rebound beginning in the current quarter. Global Growth Starts 2017 Well Despite Seasonality Global growth is tracking at 2.4% at an annual rate. Japan Starts Q1 on Solid Footing The economy is tracking at 3.3% in annualized terms. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Asia-Pacific Economic Preview: 6-10 February Demonetisation is expected to hurt Indian manufacturers and prompt monetary easing. Global Outlook: Stronger Growth with Heightened Volatility Policy uncertainty in the U.S. and political uncertainty in Europe pose downside risks. Immigration Restrictions Could Hurt the Economy Companies already complain about the inability to find qualified workers as the U.S. approaches full employment. A Checklist for Achieving Full Employment in the U.S. We shouldn't attempt to determine it based on a single statistic. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan Consumer Confidence Jan. 2017: 43.2 Consumer confidence in Japan improved at the start of 2017 thanks to the yen's depreciation. United States Semiconductor Billings Dec. 2016: 0.0% Global semiconductor sales broke records in 2016. Euro Zone Producer Price Index Dec. 2016: 1.6% Euro zone producer prices surprised markets heavily on the upside and rose by a strong 1.6% y/y in December following a 0.1% increase a month earlier. Russian Federation Reserve Fund Feb. 2017: RUB0.97 tril The traditionally uneventful January in Russia left the reserve fund untouched. Germany Vehicle Registration Jan. 2017: 9% New-vehicle registrations in Germany rose 9% y/y in January, following a 7.9% increase in the previous month. United States Challenger Report Jan. 2017: 45,934 The labor market is starting the year off strong. United Kingdom Monetary Policy and Minutes Feb. 2017: 0.25% The Bank of England kept its policy stance unchanged in February, with the flagship refinancing rate remaining at the record low of 0.25% and its target for asset purchases at £435 billion. United States Jobless Claims January 28: 246,000 Initial claims improved in the week ended January 28. United States Productivity and Costs 2016Q4: 1.3% Productivity growth showed signs of improvement in the second half of the year, but there is still significant room for improvement. United States ISM - NY Report Jan. 2017: 57.7 Firms in New York City remain sanguine about the current business climate, according to the January New York City ISM survey. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index January 27: -1.21 The St. United States Natural Gas Storage Report January 27: -87 bil cubic feet The fall in natural gas in storage roughly matched analyst expectations, which will have little effect on prices. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |