Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Today's Economy


Would Amazon Have Swamped New York?

The retail giant's decision to pull the plug on a Long Island City headquarters has significant ramifications.

Q4 U.S. GDP Now Tracking 2%

Retail sales and business inventories disappointed.

A Puzzling Plunge for U.S. Retail Sales

The unexpected weakness in December sales was broad-based.

Europe Daily Briefing: Germany Barely Avoids Recession

Domestic demand still supported growth, as investment, consumer spending and government consumption all rose.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Global Outlook: Synchronized Deceleration

Advanced economies will converge toward lower growth as geopolitical uncertainties weigh.

South America Under Hypothetical Stress Scenarios

Applying the Fed's latest CCAR parameters, the region’s recessions would be deeper than in the U.S.

Latin American Currency Highlights

Introducing the Moody's Analytics Currency Depreciation Indicator.

U.S. Chartbook: Businesses, Lenders Get a Little Jittery

Sentiment among producers and lenders is moderating as conditions soften.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


China
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2019: US$39.2 bil
China’s exports rebounded in January, rising by 9.1% y/y following a 4.4% drop in December.

World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Jan. 2019: 0.1%
Global inflation has moderated over the past few months because of the drop in oil prices.

Canada
RPS House Price Index
Jan. 2019: 0.9%
House prices remained unchanged in January across the 13 largest Canadian markets, causing year-ago price growth to remain at 0.9%.

Canada
New Housing Price Index
Dec. 2018: 0.0%
The Canadian market for new houses is at a standstill.

Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Dec. 2018: -1.3%
Manufacturing sales declined for the third straight month in December.

Canada
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Dec. 2018: -7.5%
New-vehicle sales fell for the fourth consecutive month in December, down to 118,185.

United States
Jobless Claims
February 09: 239,000
Jobless claims are bouncing higher, but they still remain quite low.

United States
Producer Price Index
Jan. 2019: -0.1%
Energy prices continue to put a dent in U.S. producer prices.

United States
Retail Sales
Dec. 2018: -1.2%
Retail sales fell in December and by far more than expected.

United States
Tech Pulse
Jan. 2019: 105.5
The U.S. tech sector is maintaining its positive streak.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
February 08: -1.07
Financial market stress decreased for the sixth straight week.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Nov. 2018: -0.1%
Stockpiles fell in November by 0.1%, at odds with consensus expectations and the Moody's Analytics forecast, which predicted an increase in stockpiles.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Dec. 2018: -0.8%
Manufacturing output contracted 0.8% y/y in December after a 4.7% expansion in the previous month.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
February 08: -78 bil cubic feet
The decline in natural gas inventories was smaller than analyst expectations, which will put some downward pressure on gas prices.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Jan. 2019:

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 49.3%
The statistics office’s national consumer price index increased 2.9% in January, up from 2.6% in the previous month and 1.8% a year earlier.

Indonesia
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2019:

China
Producer Price Index
Jan. 2019:

China
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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