Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Today's Economy


Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Inflation Falls Below Target

The central bank can stay put until there's clarity on Brexit.

Webinar Replay: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

We examine details of the Fed's Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review stress test for banks.

Casualties in the Trade War

Farmers and factory workers get the brunt as the U.S. and China approach the negotiation deadline.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: South Korean Employment Fails to Launch

The unemployment rate jumped to 4.4% in January and employment growth held at 0.1% y/y.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


South America Under Hypothetical Stress Scenarios

Applying the Fed's latest CCAR parameters, the region’s recessions would be deeper than in the U.S.

Latin American Currency Highlights

Introducing the Moody's Analytics Currency Depreciation Indicator.

U.S. Chartbook: Businesses, Lenders Get a Little Jittery

Sentiment among producers and lenders is moderating as conditions soften.

Latin America Economic Preview: 11-15 February

Colombia's economy advanced at a steady rate.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Dec. 2018: 0.6%
Household consumption ended the year with mild growth after advancing steadily in the previous two months.

United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 1.8%
The U.K.’s consumer price inflation plunged to 1.8% in January from 2.1% in December, in line with our expectations but below the consensus.

Euro Zone
Industrial Production
Dec. 2018: -0.9%
Euro zone industrial production fell by a below-consensus 0.9% m/m in December, building on a sharp 1.7% decline in November, though we caution that individual country data had already warned of a grim headline.

New Zealand
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2019: 1.75%
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate at 1.75% in February as expected.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
February 08: -3.7%
The mortgage market contracted in the week ending February 8. Despite this, both four-week moving averages posted positive gains.

United States
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 0.0%
The U.S. consumer price index was unchanged in January, coming in a little lighter than we had anticipated.

United States
Oil Inventories
February 08: 450.8 mil barrels
The increase in crude oil inventories exceeded analyst predictions, which will put downward pressure on oil prices.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Jan. 2019:

China
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2019:

United States
Treasury Budget
Dec. 2018: -$13.5 bil
The December Treasury budget report is the first to be released since the end of the 35-day partial government shutdown.

Japan
GDP
2018Q4:

Malaysia
GDP
2018Q4:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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