Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, August 09, 2017

Today's Economy


U.S. Quits Rate Has Room to Rise

Confidence in the labor market is strong and more quits would be a good sign for wage growth.

Inventories Now Set to Add to Q2 U.S. GDP

We are raising our second quarter tracking estimate from 2.3% to 2.5%.

Examining the North Korea Risk

The economic implications of North Korea's actions have so far been minimal.

Economic Briefing: Chinese Inflation Cools a Whisker

China's Q3 GDP is tracking at 6.4% y/y, reflecting the handful of disappointing July datapoints.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Euro Zone Labour Market May Hit a Wall

Joblessness is declining, but structural problems will hold back further gains at some point.

New Zealand Outlook: The Quiet Achiever

Consumption will remain above trend thanks to the healthy labour market; wages are the laggard.

U.S. Macro Outlook: What Could Go Wrong?

Despite good prospects for the economy, political bedlam in Washington means uncertainty in the near term.

U.S. Chartbook: Whither Wage Growth?

July employment paves the way for the Fed to begin normalizing its balance sheet, but wage growth underwhelms.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Italy
Industrial Production
Jun. 2017: 1.1%
Italy’s industrial production expanded sharply in June, rising by 1.1% from May, well above our expectation of a 0.3% gain.

Brazil
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2017: 2.71%
Brazil’s inflation plunged further from the 4.5% central target in July as the economy underperformed.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
August 04: 3.0%
Mortgage applications increased last week, as most rates declined.

Canada
Housing Starts
Jul. 2017: 222 ths
New construction ramped up in July.

Canada
Building Permits
Jun. 2017: 2.5%
The value of Canadian building permits rose 2.5% to C$8.1 billion in June, causing year-ago growth to rise to 22.5%.

United States
Productivity and Costs
2017Q2: 0.9%
Nonfarm productivity rose 0.9% at an annualized rate in the second quarter.

Mexico
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2017: 6.44%
Annual inflation keeps climbing well above the upper limit of the official target as some prices adjust upward.

United States
Wholesale Trade (MWTR)
Jun. 2017: 0.7%
Stockpile growth closed the second quarter on a high note, but sales were not strong enough to drive down the inventory turnover rate.

United States
Oil Inventories
August 04: 475.4 mil barrels
A much larger than expected decline in crude oil inventories will put upward pressure on prices.

Philippines
Industrial Production
Jun. 2017:

New Zealand
Monetary Policy
Aug. 2017:

Japan
Machinery Orders
Jun. 2017:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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