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Economy.com: Daily Update

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, August 19, 2024

Today's Economy

The economic calendar is light at the start of the week but will pick up with eyes fixed on Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday.

Inside Economics Podcast: Episode 177—Groceries and Gouging

What do higher profit margins imply in the current economy?

Credit Market View: September Fed Rate Cut All but Certain

The bigger question is whether stress signals from the U.S. labor market between now and then would force the Fed to cut by 50 basis points rather than 25.

Europe Daily Briefing: Slow Start

We look forward to HICP, PMI, and negotiated wage data due later this week.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY

Commentary

Stress-Testing States: Looking Toward the Next Recession

At least 36 U.S. state governments have the cash balances needed to weather at least a moderate downturn, with five more within striking distance.

U.S. Chartbook: Have a Little Confidence

The latest CPI report set the stage for a September rate cut, but sentiment remains poor.

Global Outlook: In the Nick of Time

For a world economy wracked by higher rates, monetary easing will arrive just in time.

China Risk Matrix: Shaky Growth

Economic growth is uneven, largely because households are reluctant to spend.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY

Today's Economic Indicators

Malaysia
Foreign Trade
Jul. 2024: MYR6.4 bil
Malaysia’s trade surplus fell to MYR6.4 billion in July from MYR14.3 billion in June.

Chile
GDP
2024Q2: 1.6% y/y
Chile’s economy disappointed in the second quarter as activity lost traction after a significant rebound in the previous quarter.

World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Jul. 2024: 0.5% m/m
The Moody’s Analytics estimate of worldwide consumer prices increased 0.5% month over month in July, adding to a 0.3% increase in June.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
August 16: 17.3
Global businesses are upbeat.

United States
Internet Sales (E-Commerce Sales)
2024Q2: $291.6 bil
E-commerce sales continued to edge forward in the second quarter, totaling $291.6 billion.

United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
Jul. 2024: -0.6%
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index plummeted in July.

South Korea
Consumer Sentiment Index
Aug. 2024:

New Zealand
Foreign Trade
Jul. 2024:

China
Monetary Policy
Aug. 2024:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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