Today's Economy Back-of-the-Envelope Calculation of the Current U.S. Unemployment Rate The unemployment rate now could be as high as 16%. Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Government Embraces Monetary Financing The move is not unprecedented, and should only be temporary. Fed Adds to Its Tools as Economy's Lender of Last Resort It will provide $2.3 trillion in loans aimed at supporting businesses and households as well as state and local governments. U.S. Schools' Non-Teaching Staff Feel the Pain Classroom aides and others face layoffs in prolonged COVID-19 shutdowns. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 10 April, 2020 China's March data should show improvement, but the economy is far from pre-COVID-19 levels. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 9 April, 2020 The pandemic has overhauled the 2020 outlook for euro zone inflation. Forecaster’s Mailbag: The Economic Damage of Uncertainty and Fear We quantify how Japan's economy is influenced by sentiment and uncertainty. The Essential Economy A key segment of the U.S. workforce is at risk of furloughs and temporary layoffs. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
South Korea Monetary Policy Apr. 2020: 0.75% The Bank of Korea held fire and kept the policy rate at 0.75% in April. United Kingdom Monthly GDP Feb. 2020: -0.1% The U.K. Italy Industrial Production Feb. 2020: -1.2% Italy's industrial production fell 1.2% m/m in February, after gaining 3.6% in January. Brazil Consumer Price Index Mar. 2020: 3.30% Annual inflation in Brazil trended down quickly as the high comparison base of last year benefited annual growth. India Industrial Production Feb. 2020: 4.5% Industrial production accelerated considerably in February, coming in at a surprising 4.5% y/y and building on January’s 2%. United States Producer Price Index Mar. 2020: -0.2% The producer price index slipped 0.2% in March but the disinflationary pressures will intensify over the next couple of months. Canada Labor Force Survey Mar. 2020: 7.8% The labor market suffered one of its worst job loss reports on record in March, losing a staggering 1,011,000 workers during the month. United States Jobless Claims April 04: 6,606,000 The incredibly high level of initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits continues to stun, but at least claims appear to be flattening. United States University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey Apr. 2020: 71.0 Consumer sentiment continues to fall rapidly, not surprising given the continued expansion of shutdowns and clear evidence of massive job losses. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index April 03: 2.72 Support from the Federal Reserve is helping to calm financial markets. United States Wholesale Trade (MWTR) Feb. 2020: -0.7% Wholesale inventories fell by 0.7% in February, steeper than consensus expectations of a 0.5% decline. United States Natural Gas Storage Report April 03: 38 bil cubic feet An unexpected increase in natural gas stocks is bad news for already-struggling gas prices. China Consumer Price Index Mar. 2020: China Producer Price Index Mar. 2020: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |